U.S. Severe Weather Forecast (Previsión convectiva)

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acus02 kwns 231711 
swody2 
Storm Prediction Center ac 231711 


Day 2 convective outlook 
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 
1111 am CST Sat Feb 23 2019 


Valid 241200z - 251200z 


..there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms over a portion 
of central and southern Georgia... 


... 
A few storms with gusty winds might occur Sunday morning, mainly 
across a portion of central and southern Georgia. 


..southeast states... 


A strong synoptic upper trough will move northeast through the Ohio 
Valley, Great Lakes and northeast U.S. Sunday with attendant area of 
low pressure occluding over the Great Lakes. Trailing front will 
extend south from the low through the southern Appalachians into the 
western Florida Panhandle. A moist boundary layer with mid 60s f 
dewpoints will advect through the pre-frontal warm sector as far 
north as central Georgia and the coastal Carolinas. However, instability 
will remain very weak (mucape less than 500 j/kg) owing to 
widespread clouds and marginal lapse rates. A low topped band of 
convection will likely accompany the cold front early in the period, 
much of which will produce little to no lightning. This activity 
will be embedded within strong wind fields with 40-50 kt in the 
lowest 2 km, and potential will exist for some of this momentum to 
be transported down to the surface. However, the tendency will be 
for deeper forcing accompanying the upper trough to remain well 
north of the warm sector which, in conjunction with the expected 
very marginal thermodynamic environment, suggest any severe threat 
will remain marginal at best. 


..maximum risk by hazard... 
Tornado: <2% - none 
wind: 5% - marginal 
hail: <5% - none 


.Dial.. 02/23/2019 


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