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fxus62 kmfl 251900 
afdmfl

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Miami Florida
300 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

Discussion...
today and tonight: ridge building over the region will dominate the
weather pattern today through Thursday with dry and clear skies
across the area. Temperatures will remain seasonably warm in the mid
to upper 80s. Lower humidities ranging from 35 to 40 percent this
afternoon will allow for cooler overnight lows ranging from the
upper 50s over the interior and mid to upper 60s along the coasts.

Thursday into friday: into Thursday, most of the peninsula will
still be under the influence of the ridge with dry air over the
area. Models keep showing several strong shortwaves within the upper
trough. Model to model inconsistencies remain, but overall it looks
like these features will drive the development of another weak
surface low that will bring another diffuse and slow moving frontal
boundary through the Florida Peninsula this weekend. Most of the abundant
moisture associated with this low will move northeast. Over South
Florida, still look to see increasing moisture from south to north
Friday and Saturday as the old frontal boundary drifts back into the
region. Expect at least isolated showers across the region both
days, with coverage more scattered across Miami-Dade and Mainland
Monroe.

This weekend and next week: frontal boundary moves across the area
pushing most of the moisture over the Atlantic waters. Any
development will remain over the waters with drier conditions over
the peninsula. Temperatures will warm up into the mid to upper 80s
across the interior and west Gulf Coast while in the mid 80s along
the East Coast Metro areas.

&&

Marine...
brief northwest wind surge behind initial frontal passage will
keep speeds around 10-15kts. Otherwise, expect drier conditions
and prevailing west-northwest winds around 10kts to linger into
Saturday. Speeds will be light enough to allow the Atlantic
seabreeze to develop near the coast each afternoon, bringing winds
out of the south-southeast. Another frontal passage late this weekend
will bring winds out of the east-northeast on Sunday, with increasing
speeds expected as we head into early next week.



&&

Aviation...dry and VFR conditions will prevail throughout the
period as skies continue to clear behind the front. Latest model
guidance shows the East Coast sea breeze moving into all the East
Coast terminals. Therefore, have included a wind shift later this
afternoon to the south-southeast. Tonight winds will return to the west-northwest and
diminish.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
West Palm Beach 64 83 66 85 / 0 0 0 30
Fort Lauderdale 67 83 69 84 / 0 0 0 30
Miami 67 84 69 86 / 0 0 10 30
Naples 64 82 68 83 / 0 0 0 20

&&

Mfl watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Am...none.
GM...none.
&&

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