Caribbean Weather Outlook

By: nigel20 , 3:47 PM GMT en Marzo 26, 2012

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Caribbean Weather Outlook

Saharan Air Layer (SAL)


Wind Shear


Surface Winds


Wave Height


Global SST Anomaly


Global SST's


48hrs Tropical Cyclone Probability


Water Vapor


Infrared Satellite


Visible Satellite


Satellite Imagery-Puerto Rico




Surface Analysis


Tropical Atlantic


Cayman Islands Radar


Belize Radar


Puerto Rico Radar



Cuban Radars


Venezuelan Radar


NE Dominican Republic


Anegada Cam


South Coast of St John Cam


Barbados Cam


Grenada Cam


Westbay Cayman port


Cancun


Rincon,Puerto Rico


St Maarten


St Barts


Soufriere Volcano in the island of Monteserrat


Grand Palladium Jamaica Resort & Spa


Locations of Site Visitors


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1891. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
4:21 AM GMT en Junio 24, 2013
nigel20 has created a new entry.
1890. nigel20
6:45 PM GMT en Junio 23, 2013
Cuba Weather

2013-06-23 13:00 WEATHER ACTUAL. HAVANA CITY.
Mostly clear sky with plenty of sunshine. Very hot.

2013-06-23 03:00 WEATHER FORECAST. NATIONWIDE.

It will be a another very warm day with mostly sunny sky throughout Cuba. In the afternoon, the clouds will develop over the interior and southern areas bringing occasional showers and thunderstorms that will not be significant in the rest of the territory.

The highs will remain around 33 C (91 C) while overnight it will be between 24-27 C (75-81 F).
There will be some waves on the eastern coasts and calm sea in the rest of the country.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1889. nigel20
6:36 PM GMT en Junio 23, 2013
Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Services

ISSUED AT: 10:13AM
Date:Sunday 23rd of June 2013

Meteorologist: Sarah Sammy

FOR THE PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT:
:
Trinidad & Tobago:
Increased cloudiness accompanied by light to
moderate showers is expected in a few areas
interrupting otherwise predominantly hazy and
hot, yet breezy daytime conditions. Tonight is
expected to be initially clear yet hazy with a
light breeze, but cloudiness is expected to
increase towards midnight.

The Remainder of the Lesser Antilles:
Generally hot, sunny, breezy and hazy daytime
conditions are expected to transition into cool
and hazy nighttime conditions with a light breeze
expected at times.

NB: Relatively high wind speeds being
experienced currently may result in choppy sea
conditions being experienced at times.

SEAS: Normal to Moderate
WAVES: 2.0 to 2.5mIN OPEN WATERS
Less than 1.0m IN SHLTD AREAS

Temperature Units:Celsius

FORECAST MAX TEMP.
Piarco: 33 Crown Point: 31
Tides ISSUED AT: 05:55PM
Date:Saturday 22nd of June 2013

Port of Spain HIGH 03:18am 04:31pm LOW 09:53am 09:55pm
Scarborough HIGH 02:55am 04:01pm LOW 09:37am 09:40pm
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1888. nigel20
6:30 PM GMT en Junio 23, 2013
Good afternoon all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC THROUGH AN UPPER LOW N
OF E CUBA TO S OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NEAR 17N84W COVERING THE NW
CARIBBEAN. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT FEATURE IN
THE CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON AND EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR
9N76W ALONG 11N81W TO ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR 10N84W AND IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND W PANAMA S OF 11N
W OF 81W. A BROAD UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE TROPICAL ATLC IS
GIVING THE E CARIBBEAN MOSTLY S TO SW FLOW ALOFT WHICH IS
ADVECTING MOISTURE ALOFT. THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE USHERING
IN SOME LOW LEVEL ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY WITHIN A 90 NM OF LINE
FROM PUERTO RICO ALONG 16N74W TO NICARAGUA NEAR 12N83W. A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO E CARIBBEAN MON REACHING THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE AND THE W CARIBBEAN BY THU. A SECOND
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN WED AND THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN THU.

HISPANIOLA...

THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN/TROPICAL ATLC IS
DRAWING MOISTURE ALOFT OVER THE ISLAND AND IS GENERATING SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS. THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER
LOW N OF E CUBA REMAINING STATIONARY THROUGH MON BEFORE PULLING
NE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER
THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY ON MON AND TUE AS A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN S OF HISPANIOLA. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE EVEN MORE ON
LATE WED AHEAD OF A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL ENTER THE E
CARIBBEAN WED INCREASING SHOWERS FOR HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1887. Tropicsweatherpr
10:20 AM GMT en Junio 23, 2013
Good morning. Good weather is expected in PR today with only a few showers. Two Tropical Waves will increase the showers this week.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
501 AM AST SUN JUN 23 2013

.SYNOPSIS...MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WEST OF THE AREA WILL RELOCATE
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY MIDWEEK. SUBEQUATORIAL UPPER RIDGE
WILL DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN BASIN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SHOWERS
CARRIED BY THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR THE WINDWARD
SIDE OF THE ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST NOON AST. A PULSE OF SAHARAN DUST
IS FORECAST TO ENCOMPASS THE LOCAL AREA IN THE AFTERNOON. TWO TROPICAL
WAVES WILL BRING AN INCREASE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL
REGION MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH IS BRINGING LAYERS
OF HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. DOPPLER RADAR DATA
HAVE BEEN INDICATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFFECTING MOST
OF THE LOCAL WATERS AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SINCE MIDNIGHT. THIS WET
TRADE WIND PATTERN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. THEN...A PULSE OF SAHARAN DUST SURROUNDING BY A DRIER
AIR MASS WILL ENCOMPASS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AFTER 18Z... AND
SPREAD OVER PUERTO RICO THIS EVENING. WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD
START BECOMING WETTER TOMORROW THROUGH MID-WEEK AS TWO TROPICAL
WAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE FIRST WAVE WILL
BRING A MODEST INCREASE IN CLOUDS/SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON
MONDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE ARRIVAL OF THE SECOND WAVE ON
WEDNESDAY. THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR SQUALLY WEATHER CONDITIONS IS
ON WEDNESDAY...IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE. IN
GENERAL...EXPECT WETTER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS
THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME VCSH EXPECTED ON AND OFF DURING
THE FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS AL TAF SITES. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS
WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER TJMZ LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY EAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS AND SEAS BETWEEN 3-6 FEET WILL
PREVAIL DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS/SEAS WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY ON WEDNESDAY...WHEN A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS
THE REGIONAL WATERS. THEREFORE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE
REQUIRED ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 78 87 77 / 60 40 60 30
STT 87 80 87 80 / 50 40 60 30
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1886. nigel20
5:47 PM GMT en Junio 22, 2013
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles

Issued: 12:00 PM on Saturday, June 22, 2013

A temporary improvement in conditions is expected during the next 24 hours as a ridge of high pressure is now the dominant feature. This will be followed by the approach of a westward moving tropical wave by tomorrow afternoon through early Monday. Most of the significant shower activity associated with this wave is expected across the extreme southern section of the island chain.

Meanwhile, another westward moving tropical wave located in the Atlantic Ocean is expected to approach the area by Tuesday.

Persons in areas prone to flooding, landslides and falling rocks should exercise caution.

Moderate sea conditions are expected during the next 24 hours with swells peaking near 7.0 feet.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1885. nigel20
5:41 PM GMT en Junio 22, 2013
Belize National Meteorological Service

Date:

SATURDAY 22ND JUNE 2013

Time:

5:00 AM

General Situation:

MOISTURE IS GRADUALLY DECREASING ACROSS THE AREA...

24hr Forecast:

SUNNY WITH SOME CLOUDY SPELLS TODAY AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GENERALLY ISOLATED.

Winds:

EAST 10-20 KNOTS...WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS.

Sea State:

MODERATE....BECOMING LOCALLY ROUGH AT TIMES. ***SMALL CRAFT CAUTION IN EFFECT***

Outlook:

THROUGH TO MONDAY MORNING:PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH GENERALLY ISOLATED SHOWERS.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1884. nigel20
5:41 PM GMT en Junio 22, 2013
Yes, 62901 and thanks for visiting...Good afternoon friends

Tropical Weather Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE CARIBBEAN IS LARGELY INFLUENCE BY A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
LOW CENTERED NORTH OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 21N73W. THE TROUGH AXIS
DIPS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO A BASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 13N77W
WITH ANOTHER WEAKER AXIS EXTENDING FROM OVER JAMAICA NEAR 18N78W
TO OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 22N86W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
INDICATES THE AREAS WITHIN THE TROUGHING ARE RELATIVELY DRY AND
STABLE ALOFT WHICH IS PROVIDING FOR OVERALL TRANQUIL CONDITIONS
N OF 14N BETWEEN 72W-86W. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
HOWEVER OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS FROM 18N-
21N BETWEEN 79W-83W. OTHERWISE ON THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE
TROUGH...NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT DOMINATES AND IS
PROVIDING FOR SUFFICIENT UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS SW OF A LINE FROM NORTHERN BELIZE
NEAR 18N88W TO NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 11N75W...INCLUDING INLAND
PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...NICARAGUA...AND COSTA RICA. A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 81W WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AND INCREASE CLOUDINESS AND PRECIPITATION FOR CENTRAL
AMERICA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EAST OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
AXIS...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES TO ADVECT MOISTURE
FROM OVER NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA TOWARDS THE MONA PASSAGE AND
PUERTO RICO. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE REMAINS AS INCREASED CLOUD
COVER ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...HOWEVER A FEW ISOLATED LOW-
TOPPED SHOWERS ARE NOTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY N OF 12N E OF
72W...THAT STRETCH NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ADJACENT WATERS OF THE
SW NORTH ATLC.

HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY CONDITIONS REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE ISLAND. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW IS CENTERED NORTH OF THE ISLAND NEAR 21N73W WITH PRIMARILY
MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT LOCATED EAST OF A TROUGH AXIS
WHICH EXTENDS JUST WEST OF THE ISLAND. GLOBAL MODEL DATA
INDICATES THE LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND LIFT
GRADUALLY NORTHWARD WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT BECOMING
DOMINANT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL FAVOR BECOMING MORE UNSTABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS EXPECTED DUE TO
PEAK DAYTIME HEATING AND INSTABILITY.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1883. 62901IL
1:52 PM GMT en Junio 22, 2013
nigel, you've kept this blog up for over a year.
Member Since: Junio 14, 2013 Posts: 2 Comments: 1591
1882. Tropicsweatherpr
10:29 AM GMT en Junio 22, 2013
Good morning. Good weather is expected this weekend in PR with only a few showers. Two Tropical Waves will increase the showers next week.



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
549 AM AST SAT JUN 22 2013

.SYNOPSIS...BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC/EASTERN
CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER HISPANOLA
NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE TRADE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY
DURING NIGHTS AND MORNINGS. ANOTHER PULSE OF SAHARAN DUST IS FORECAST
TO ENCOMPASS THE LOCAL AREA ON SUNDAY. TWO TROPICAL WAVES WILL BRING
AN INCREASE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION MONDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST
ORIENTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE/HISPANOLA. THE
UPPER TROUGH WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA IS SUSTAINING A DENSE CI/CS
CLOUDS ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. AT LOW LEVEL...
DOPPLER RADAR HAVE BEEN INDICATING SCATTERED SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADE WINDS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
AS WELL AS THE SURROUNDING WATERS OF VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SINCE MIDNIGHT. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS PLENTY OF
LOW CLOUDS/SHOWERS UPSTREAM OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS SUGGESTING THE SAME
NOCTURNAL ACTIVITY SHOULD BE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

THE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEK REFLECTS A RECONFIGURATION OF THE SYNOPTIC
WEATHER PATTERN...STARTING EARLY NEXT WEEK. FIRST...A WEAK TROPICAL
WAVE WILL BRING A FEW ROUNDS OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON MONDAY.
SECOND...A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE LOCAL REGION
WEDNESDAY...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR ACTIVE AND SQUALLY WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. IN GENERAL...EXPECT WETTER CONDITIONS
TO PREVAIL OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS STARTING EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH AT LEAST 22/17Z. VCSH SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS
TIST...TISX...AND TJSJ DURING THE MORNING HOURS. BRIEF PERIODS OF
MVFR CONDITIONS WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
TJMZ LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY EAST
NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS AND SEAS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 FEET
WILL PREVAIL DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
THE WINDS/SEAS IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY...WHEN A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE
MOVES ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 76 88 78 / 20 40 40 40
STT 88 78 87 80 / 30 40 40 30
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1881. nigel20
4:51 PM GMT en Junio 21, 2013
Meteorological Department Curaçao

Weather Forecast for Bonaire and Curacao valid until Saturday midday 12:00 l.t., June 22, 2013.

Issued: Friday June 21, 2013 06:00 l.t. (10:00 UTC ).

Weather:
Today through Saturday midday: Partly cloudy, during the morning hours temporarily mostly cloudy with a chance of a local shower.

Forecast high will be 33ºC and the low will be 27ºC.

Sunrise will occur at 06:12 and sunset at 19:03.

Winds:
Easterly and moderate to fresh; force 4 to 5 (20 to 39 km/hr, 11 to 21 knots).

Occasionally strong to possibly near gale in gusts; force 6 to 7 (40 to 61 km/hr, 22 to 33 knots).

Synopsis: A temporary increase in clouds could induce a brief local shower over parts of Curacao and Bonaire, especially during the morning hours. Otherwise, a generally dry weather pattern will prevail. Furthermore, the wind regime will continue to be moderate to strong during the next 24 hours.

Sea conditions: Generally moderate 3 to 7 feet waves. Locally fairly rough seas.
Significant tropical weather systems:None

Special features: None.

Outlook until Sunday morning: Generally partly cloudy

Forecaster: Figueroa
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1880. nigel20
4:46 PM GMT en Junio 21, 2013
Tropical Weather Discussion

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE
32N67W-TO-HISPANIOLA-TO-NORTHERN COLOMBIA TROUGH
SPANS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN SEA. MIDDLE LEVEL
EASTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER
OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 14N TO 20N TO THE WEST
OF 80W.

PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL
WEATHER DISCUSSION...MIATWDEP...FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT THE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION THAT IS IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF THE COUNTRIES OF CENTRAL AMERICA.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N/9N BETWEEN 74W IN
COLOMBIA...INTO CENTRAL PANAMA...BEYOND SOUTHERN
COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
STRONG TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LINE 9N77W AT THE
COLOMBIA COAST AND 14N83W AT THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF NICARAGUA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...
AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE
DETAILS ABOUT THE EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND
8 TO 11 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN
67W AND 80W.

HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH
32N67W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 26N71W...TO A
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS IN THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE NEAR 20N73W JUST OFF THE NORTHWESTERN COAST
OF HAITI...TO THE COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA NEAR
9N77W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG FROM 24N TO 25N BETWEEN 68W AND 70W.
ISOLATED MODERATE TO THE NORTH OF 17N BETWEEN
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND WESTERN CUBA. RAINSHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND IN
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 14N BETWEEN 60W
AND 80W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE PERIOD
ENDING AT 21/0000 UTC FOR BERMUDA WAS 0.36 OF AN
INCH...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE
AND PRECIPITATION TABLE.

THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB AND FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT
AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE
TROUGH WILL BE REPLACED BY A RIDGE. THE 250 MB
TROUGH WILL CONTINUE IN PLACE ACROSS HISPANIOLA
FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. BROAD
SURFACE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
FOR CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ARE FORECAST NEAR
HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1879. nigel20
4:44 PM GMT en Junio 21, 2013
Barbados Weather

Lesser Antilles Forecast

This Afternoon's Forecast Valid From 1600Z Friday 2013-06-21 To 2200Z Friday 2013-06-21

Synopsis: A ridge of high pressure is the dominant feature.

Wx : Fair to occasionally cloudy,hazy and breezy with some scattered showers.

Winds: E - ENE at 15 - 35 km/h.

Seas: Moderate in open water swells 1.5 - 2.0 metres.


Tonight's Forecast Valid From 2200Z Friday 2013-06-21 To 1000Z Saturday 2013-06-22

Synopsis: A ridge of high pressure will continue to be the dominant feature.

Wx : Fair to occasionally cloudy,hazy and breezy with some scattered showers.

Winds: E - ENE at 15 - 35 km/h.

Seas: Moderate in open water swells 1.5 - 2.0 metres.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1878. Tropicsweatherpr
10:10 AM GMT en Junio 21, 2013
Good morning. A nice weekend in general is expected for PR with only a few showers mainly in the afternoon hours.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
456 AM AST FRI JUN 21 2013

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT REMAINS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE A SUBEQUATORIAL UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.
THE BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SUSTAIN A SUBSIDENCE CAP ACROSS
THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN ISLES. THEREFORE...HAZY SKIES WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL DOMINATE THE ISLAND WEATHER
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO
APPROACH THE LOCAL ISLANDS BY MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH...TUTT...WEST
OF THE ISLANDS IS BRINGING SOME HIGH CLOUDS TO THE SKIES OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN...BUT IS HAVING LITTLE IMPACT ON THE FORECAST AREA.
RADAR DATA SHOWED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE WATERS AROUND
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. 21/00Z SOUNDING
AT TJSJ SHOWED A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION BASED AROUND 5000 FEET...PLACING
A CAP ON THE INCOMING MOISTURE...BUT HIGH ENOUGH TO ALLOW LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION. INDEED...A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
MOVED INLAND OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...LEAVING A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH EARLY THIS MORNING.

IN GENERAL...AN OVERALL "DRIER" AND STABLE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. PULSES
OF SAHARAN DUST WILL CONTINUE TO REACH THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN ISLANDS
THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK...PRODUCING HAZY SKIES AND SOME AREAS OF REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CHANGE BY MIDWEEK WHEN THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL MOVE OVER THE LOCAL REGION...
INCREASING THE CLOUD AND SHOWER COVERAGE ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF
SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. VCSH SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS
TIST...TISX...AND TJSJ DURING THE MORNING HOURS. SURFACE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE MAINLY EAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDED BELOW THE ADVISORY CRITERIA
ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. THEREFORE...SCA WERE CANCELLED FOR AMZ710...
AMZ725...AMZ732...AMZ741. ALTHOUGH...SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED SLIGHTLY...
SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST OF THE
LOCAL WATERS DUE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS.

&&

.CLIMATE...TODAY...JUNE 21ST IS OFFICIALLY THE FIRST DAY OF SUMMER
IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE. THE 2013 SUMMER ENDS ON SEPTEMBER 21.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 76 87 78 / 20 30 30 30
STT 88 77 88 80 / 20 30 30 40
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1877. nigel20
4:17 PM GMT en Junio 20, 2013
Cayman Islands Weather Service

VALID FOR THE MORNING OF JUNE 20TH 2013
THROUGH THE MORNING OF JUNE 21ST 2013.

SYNOPSIS:

The National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida is issuing advisories on Tropical storm Barry. Further information can be found at www.nhc.noaa.gov.

THIS STORM POSES NO THREAT TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

Light to moderate easterly winds and seas is expected over the Cayman Islands for the next 24 hours due to a high pressure system in the Atlantic Ocean.

THE FORECAST:

Today: Partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers. Temperatures will rise to the low 90’s. Winds will be east 10 to 15 knots. Seas will be moderate with wave heights of 3 to 5 feet.

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers. Temperatures will fall to the upper 70’s. Winds will be east 5 to 10 knots. Seas will be slight to moderate with wave heights of 2 to 4 feet.

TIDES:
Today: High 6:20 a.m. Low 1:11 p.m. High 8:02 p.m.
Tomorrow: Low 2:08 a.m. High 7:08 a.m. Low 1:57 p.m. High 8:45 p.m.

SUNSET: 7:06 p.m. Today. SUNRISE: 5:48 a.m. Tomorrow.

OUTLOOK: is for an increase in cloudiness and shower Friday night as a tropical wave moves across our area.

FORECASTER
Porter
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1876. nigel20
4:16 PM GMT en Junio 20, 2013
Meteorological Service of Jamaica

June 20, 2013 at 5:00 a.m.

LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST

SIGNIFICANT FEATURE… Trough across the central Caribbean, east of Jamaica.

Comment
A Tropical Wave is expected to move across the island tomorrow.

24-HOUR FORECAST
This Morning… Mainly sunny.
This Afternoon… Isolated showers over central and western parishes.
Windy across the island.
Tonight … Partly cloudy.

Maximum temperatures expected today:
Kingston...33 degrees Celsius
Montego Bay...34 degrees Celsius

3-DAY FORECAST (starting tomorrow)
Fri… Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Sat… Isolated morning showers over eastern parishes. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms over western parishes.
Sun… Mainly sunny morning. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Regionally… The Tropical Wave is generating cloudy conditions with embedded showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola.
At 4:00 a.m. Tropical Storm Barry was located about 45 kilometres north of Veracruz, Mexico.
cdj

Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1875. nigel20
4:14 PM GMT en Junio 20, 2013
Good morning all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE
BERMUDA-TO-HISPANIOLA-TO-NORTHERN COLOMBIA TROUGH
COVERS THAT PART OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT IS TO
THE EAST OF 80W. SOME OF THE WIND FLOW THAT IS
MOVING FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SOUTHEASTWARD
IS PART OF THE ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW THAT IS
SPIRALLING AWAY FROM T.S. BARRY. MIDDLE LEVEL
EASTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER
OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 15N TO 19N TO THE WEST
OF 80W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH NORTHERN COLOMBIA...
THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS OF PANAMA...AND COSTA
RICA...ALONG 9N/10N...BETWEEN 74W AND 86W...INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN
COLOMBIA AND PANAMA...AND IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 84W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...
AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE
DETAILS ABOUT THE 25 KNOT EAST WINDS AND 8 TO
11 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 115N TO 15N BETWEEN 68W
AND 77W. EXPECT 20 TO 25 KNOT NORTHEAST TO EAST
WINDS AND 10 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 14N TO 18N
BETWEEN 63W AND 80W. EXPECT 20 KNOT OR LESS WINDS
AND 9 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 77W AND 83W. EXPECT ALSO
EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS
TO THE SOUTH OF 18N TO THE WEST OF 83W...INCLUDING
IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS.

HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH
BERMUDA...TO A 23N69W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...
ACROSS HISPANIOLA...TO 14N73W IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
TOWARD NORTHERN COLOMBIA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 21N TO 23N
BETWEEN 65W AND 68W...AND IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BETWEEN THE MONA PASSAGE AND
71W ON THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN SHORES. RAINSHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 30N BETWEEN 59W
AND 73W...AND TO THE NORTH OF 16N BETWEEN 71W AND 83W.
THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
20/0000 UTC FOR GUADELOUPE WAS 0.60 OF AN INCH...
ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE
AND PRECIPITATION TABLE.

THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND IT WILL COVER
HISPANIOLA FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST 24 TO 30 HOURS OF
THE NEXT 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WESTWARD...REPLACED BY A RIDGE. THE 500 MB GFS
FORECAST SHOWS THAT AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL COVER
HISPANIOLA FOR THE FIRST 36 HOURS OF THE NEXT 48 HOUR
TIME PERIOD. THE TROUGH MOVES WESTWARD...REPLACED BY
SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW. THE GFS MODEL FOR 250 MB SHOWS
THAT A TROUGH WILL COVER HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. BROAD SURFACE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION
ARE FORECAST NEAR HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1874. Tropicsweatherpr
10:20 AM GMT en Junio 20, 2013
Good morning. Moisture left behind by the Tropical Wave will combine with the Upper Trough to bring scattered showers today for PR and adjacent islands but better weather is expected starting on Friday and lasting thru the weekend.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
530 AM AST THU JUN 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH...TUTT...EXTENDS
FROM HISPANOLA INTO THE SW NORTH ATLANTIC THIS MORNING. THIS
TROUGH ALOFT WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT
LEAST SATURDAY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENS. LARGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE LEFT
BEHIND BY THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE
TUTT TODAY. THEREFORE...AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE COMBINED WITH HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE ISLANDS TODAY. MOISTURE WILL DECREASE ON FRIDAY...RESULTING
IN LESS CLOUD AND SHOWER COVERAGE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED
WITH AFOREMENTIONED TUTT OVER HISPANOLA/SW NORTH ATLANTIC THIS MORNING.
IN ADDITION...IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS THAT LIES ALONG AND BENEATH THE EASTERN FLANK OF TUTT.
DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THIS PERSISTENT LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL LEFT LESS THAN A QUARTER
OF AN INCH SINCE MIDNIGHT OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HOWEVER...
LITTLE RAINFALL WAS OBSERVED ACROSS PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT.

SATELLITE DERIVED PWAT ANALYSIS SHOWS DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING. THIS HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT
COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE UPPER DYNAMICS WILL BE ENOUGH TO FUEL
SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI DURING THE
NEXT 12-18 HRS. UNDER A LLVL SOUTHERLY FLOW...SHOWERS WILL BE MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE USVI..CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND EAST AND SOUTH
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THE REST OF THE MORNING...FOLLOWED BY
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE INTERIOR...
WEST AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO IN THE AFTERNOON.

LATEST FORECAST CHARTS INDICATE SOME UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND DRIER
AIR MASS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ISLANDS FRIDAY THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN A GENERALLY STABLE AIR MASS
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
LOCAL TAF SITES AS LINGERING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED TO THE TROPICAL
WAVE CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF
LOCAL ISLANDS. WIND BLO FL100 MAINLY SOUTHEAST 15-25 KT.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDED BELOW THE ADVISORY CRITERIA
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI. AS A
RESULT...SCA FOR THESE MARINE ZONES WERE CANCELLED. IN CONTRAST...
CHOPPY CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS...THEREFORE
SCA CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR AMZ710-732-741 THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 75 88 77 / 50 20 20 20
STT 88 78 88 78 / 40 20 20 20
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1873. nigel20
5:50 PM GMT en Junio 19, 2013
Cuba Weather

2013-06-19 13:00 WEATHER ACTUAL. HAVANA CITY.

Mostly sunny with maximum temperature around 32 C. Light winds from the East.

2013-06-19 03:00 WEATHER FORECAST. NATIONWIDE.

Today we will have a dry and sunny morning with slightly overcast sky only in the westernmost part of the country. There is a slight chance of some pop-up afternoon showers and thunderstorms in inland and southern areas, but they will be very isolated.
The temperature will continue to be very hot, with a top between 31-34 C (88-93 F) and a minimum overnight around 23 C (66 F).

Gusty winds from the East will cause dangerous waves in the North-east part where swimming is advised with caution. In the rest of Cuba the sea will be relatively calm, with some minor surges in the south-east.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1872. nigel20
5:49 PM GMT en Junio 19, 2013
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles

Issued: 12:00 PM on Wednesday, June 19, 2013

A gradual reduction in cloudiness and shower activity is expected by late afternoon into tonight as a ridge of high pressure begins to re-establish itself across the island. Hazy and breezy conditions will be maintained.

Moderate to rough sea conditions are expected during the next 12 hours with swells peaking near 10.0 feet. A small craft warning remains in effect for above normal sea swells. Small craft operators and sea bathers, particularly on the east coast, should continue to exercise caution.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1871. nigel20
5:48 PM GMT en Junio 19, 2013
Good afternoon all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
COVERS THE AREA. SOME OF THE WIND FLOW IS MOVING
AWAY FROM THE AREA OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO.
SOME OF THE NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS ON THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THE 22N66W 10N65W TROUGH.

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH NORTHERN COLOMBIA...
PANAMA...AND SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...ALONG 9N/10N...
BETWEEN 74W AND 86W INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO
9N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W IN COLOMBIA...AND FROM 3N TO 7N
BETWEEN 77W AND 80W IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF COLOMBIA...
AND TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF PANAMA WITHIN A 30 NM
RADIUS OF 7N82W AND BETWEEN 81W AND 82W FROM 9N TO 10N.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...
AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE
DETAILS ABOUT THE 25 TO 30 KNOT NORTHEAST TO EAST
WINDS AND 8 TO 12 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 11N TO 14N
BETWEEN 70W AND 76W. EXPECT EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS
AND 11 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 66W
AND 81W. EXPECT ALSO EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND
8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 16N TO 18.5N INCLUDING IN THE
GULF OF HONDURAS.

HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER IS NEAR 22N66W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
22N66W CENTER...ACROSS PUERTO RICO...INTO THE
CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 14N67W...TO THE COAST OF
VENEZUELA NEAR 10N65W. THE TROUGH ALSO EXTENDS
NORTHWARD FROM THE 22N66W CYCLONIC CENTER TO 28N65W
AND BEYOND 32N64W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
NUMEROUS STRONG IS FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 59W AND
65W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE
FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 57W AND 60W...AND FROM
PUERTO RICO TO 20N BETWEEN 65W AND THE MONA PASSAGE.
THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE PERIOD ENDING
AT 19/0000 UTC FOR GUADELOUPE WAS 0.13 OF AN INCH...
ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLE.

THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-GULF OF MEXICO
RIDGE. AN INVERTED TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AREA
DURING THE LAST HALF OF THE 48 HOUR PERIOD.
THE 500 MB GFS FORECAST PATTERN STARTS WITH
NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF
OF THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE PERIOD. AN INVERTED
TROUGH EVENTUALLY MOVES WESTWARD AND ENGULFS
HISPANIOLA. THE INVERTED TROUGH SHIFTS WESTWARD
SLIGHTLY DURING THE REST OF THE PERIOD. A 250 MB
TROUGH COVERS HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
BROAD SURFACE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ARE FORECAST
NEAR HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1870. Tropicsweatherpr
10:26 AM GMT en Junio 19, 2013
Good morning. Scattered showers will dominate the weather today in PR as a wave moves thru.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
506 AM AST WED JUN 19 2013

.SYNOPSIS...MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING
WILL RELOCATE WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A FAST MOVING TROPICAL WAVE WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. THE TROUGH
ALOFT WILL ENHANCE THE CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION...
RESULTING IN MORE INTENSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE ON THURSDAY AS A DRIER AIR MASS WITH SAHARAN DUST
MOVES OVER THE ISLANDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN THE ANEGADA PASSAGE...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING. MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD AT 20 KT. GUSTY WINDS
NEAR 37 KT WERE OBSERVED WITH THIS ACTIVITY...SPECIFICALLY AT BUOY
41052 JUST SOUTH OF ST JOHN. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE
WILL QUICKLY SURGE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY...REACHING A
MAXIMUM OF AROUND 2.25 INCHES BY 19/18Z. THIS TROPICAL WAVE WILL
BRING AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN AS WELL AS SQUALLY WEATHER ACROSS
THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. THE
TROUGH ALOFT WILL COMBINE WITH THE DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
OF THE WAVE TO ENHANCE THE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. OVERALL...EXPECT AN ACTIVE WEATHER
DAY WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THE
LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ON
THURSDAY AS DRIER AIR WITH A DECENT AMOUNT OF SAHARAN DUST WILL
MOVE OVER THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS PSBL ACROSS TNCM...TKPK...
TIST AND TISX IN SHRA/TSRA ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE.
SHRA/TSRA WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL TAF SITES BY 19/12Z AS
THE TROPICAL WAVE MOISTURE MOVES OVER THE REGION. TJSJ 19/00Z
SOUNDING INDICATED AN EASTERLY WIND FLOW OF 10-25 KNOTS ALL THE
WAY FROM THE SURFACE TO 15K FEET...BECOMING WESTERLY ALOFT.

&&

.MARINE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...SCA...IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR FRESH TRADE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY
NIGHT...PROBABLY ENOUGH TO ALLOW US TO DROP THE SCA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 77 88 78 / 50 50 40 0
STT 87 78 88 80 / 60 40 20 10
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1869. nigel20
5:38 PM GMT en Junio 18, 2013
Meteorological Department Curaçao

Weather Forecast for Bonaire and Curacao valid until Wednesday midday 12:00 l.t., June 19, 2013.

Issued: Tuesday June 18, 2013 11:00 l.t. (15:00 UTC ).

Weather:
Today and Wednesday: Generally partly cloudy and a chance of a few brief local showers.

Forecast high will be 33ºC and the low will be 27ºC.

Sunrise will occur at 06:12 and sunset at 19:02.

Winds:
Easterly and moderate to fresh; force 4 to 5 (20 to 39 km/hr, 11 to 21 knots).

Occasionally strong to possibly near gale in gusts; force 6 to 7 (40 to 61 km/hr, 22 to 33 knots).


Synopsis: A tropical wave located this morning over the southeastern Caribbean area moves Westwards. During the next 24 hours patches of cloudiness are expected to increase over the local area with a few passing showers, due to the approaching tropical wave.

Sea conditions: Generally moderate 3 to 7 feet waves. Locally fairly rough seas.
Significant tropical weather systems:Tropical Depression Two was located this morning over the Yucatan Peninsula while it slows down somewhat inland. The cyclone is foreseen to move on a more west northwest track over the Bay of Campeche by Wednesday. The tropical depression doesn't pose a threat to the local islands.

Special features: None.

Outlook until Thursday midday: Generally partly cloudy and a possible local shower.

Forecaster: Luciano
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1868. nigel20
5:36 PM GMT en Junio 18, 2013
Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Services

ISSUED AT: 10:20AM
Date:Tuesday 18th of June 2013

Meteorologist: Sarah Sammy

FOR THE PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT:

Trinidad:
Persistent cloudiness is expected throughout the
forecast period and may be accompanied at times
by light showers and/or intermittent light rain.

Tobago and the Southern Windward Islands:
Moderate to heavy showers and/or intermittent
rain are expected to accompany cloudy to overcast
conditions. Over the Southern Windward Islands,
there is the chance that some of these showers
may become thundery.

The Remainder of the Lesser Antilles:
Mostly hot and breezy daytime conditions are
expected to transition into a clear night with a
light breezy at times.

NB: Occasionally gusty conditions are expected
over the forecast period during
showers/rain/thundershowers and may result in
choppy sea conditions being experienced at
times.

SEAS: Moderate occasionally Rough
WAVES: 2.0 to 2.5m occasionally 3.0mIN OPEN WATERS
Near 1.0m IN SHLTD AREAS

Temperature Units:Celsius

FORECAST MAX TEMP.
Piarco: 32 Crown Point: 31
Tides ISSUED AT: 05:50PM
Date:Monday 17th of June 2013

Port of Spain HIGH 11.18am 11.40pm LOW 5.03am 4.57pm

Scarborough HIGH 11.12am 11.29pm LOW 5.01am 5.03pm
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1867. nigel20
5:34 PM GMT en Junio 18, 2013
Good afternoon all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 23N65W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER...TO PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
TO THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N63W. MIDDLE LEVEL
TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...AWAY FROM THE WIND FLOW THAT
SURROUNDS TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO. RAINSHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE FROM 16N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO 32N IN
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 50W AND 67W.

A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
TO THE SOUTH OF 14N TO THE EAST OF 66W. RAINSHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF 16N TO THE
EAST OF 70W...IN TRADEWIND FLOW.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N47W IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...TO 28N56W 22N65W...INTO THE NORTHEASTERN PART
OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 16N66W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH NORTHERN COLOMBIA
ALONG 9N/10N FROM 74W...ALONG THE CARIBBEAN SEA COAST
OF PANAMA...THROUGH WESTERN PANAMA AND SOUTHERN COSTA
RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN COASTAL WATERS OF COSTA RICA. WIDELY SCATTERED
TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N IN
COLOMBIA TO 10N BETWEEN 74W IN COLOMBIA AND 83W IN THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...INCLUDING IN PARTS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...
AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE
DETAILS ABOUT TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...NEAR 17.0N
89.4W 1009 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN 18 MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST
7 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 25 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. EXPECT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
20 TO 25 KNOTS AND 9 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 16N TO 19N
TO THE WEST OF 85W. EXPECT 20 KNOT WINDS OR LESS AND
8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 18.5N TO THE
WEST OF 83W. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL
CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY
IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE...AND INTENSITY.

EXPECT 25 TO 30 KNOT NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS AND
8 TO 13 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W AND
78W. EXPECT EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND 8 TO 10 FOOT
SEA HEIGHTS FROM 11N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 67W AND 81W.
EXPECT 20 KNOT WINDS OR LESS AND 8 TO 9 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS
FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 72W AND 83W. EXPECT ALSO 20 KNOT
WINDS OR LESS AND 9 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 12N TO 15N
BETWEEN 64W AND 67W.

HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
CROSSES HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND FLOW IS ON THE WESTERN
SIDE OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS FROM AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 23N65W CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER...TO PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...TO THE COAST OF VENEZUELA NEAR 11N63W.

THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT SOUTHEASTERLY
WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA...BEING ON THE
WESTERN SIDE OF A RIDGE. THE 500 MB GFS FORECAST
PATTERN STARTS WITH NORTHEASTERLY FOR AT LEAST THE
FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE PERIOD. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER IS FORECAST TO BE ON TOP OF PUERTO RICO. AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS FORECAST TO BE ON
TOP OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. AN INVERTED TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO COVER HISPANIOLA FOR THE REST OF THE
48 HOUR PERIOD. THE 250 MB GFS FORECAST STARTS WITH
A TROUGH CROSSING ON TOP OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TROUGH SHIFTS
WESTWARD DURING THE REST OF THE REST OF THE PERIOD...
WITH HISPANIOLA RIGHT IN THE TROUGH.
BROAD SURFACE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ARE FORECAST
NEAR HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1866. Tropicsweatherpr
10:09 AM GMT en Junio 18, 2013
Good morning. A Tropical Wave interacting with an upper trough will bring scattered showers to PR and adjacent islands starting on Wednesday.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
520 AM AST TUE JUN 18 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE IS ABOUT 290 MILES
NORTH OF SAINT THOMAS AND WILL MOVE NORTH AND SLIGHTLY WEST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH TROUGHING EXTENDING OVER HISPANIOLA. THIS
LOW WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN. BY MID WEEK NEXT WEEK A RIDGE
WILL HAVE BUILT INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND EXTEND NORTH TO
FLORIDA.

AT MID LEVELS...A WEAK TROUGH OVER AND NORTH OF THE AREA WILL MOVE
SLOWLY WEST AND WEAKEN ONLY TO RE-FORM OVER THE WEEKEND NORTH OF
THE AREA. LOWER PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ENSCONCED TO THE NORTHEAST OF
PUERTO RICO THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC THROUGH MID WEEK NEXT WEEK WHILE LOW PRESSURE REMAINS IN
THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL KEEP MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE
WINDS OVER THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH SOME RAIN...AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY GUSTY WINDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AGAIN VERY FEW SHOWERS WERE SEEN OVERNIGHT IN
RELATIVELY BRISK EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW. DUST FROM THE SAHARA
WILL PERSIST TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT WITH THE COMING TROPICAL WAVE
SURFACE VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE SOMEWHAT. MOISTURE OVER THE
LOCAL AREA REACHED A MINIMUM OVERNIGHT AND WILL BEGIN TO
RECOVER...TO AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES BY 19/18Z. MOISTURE OVER SAINT
CROIX IS ALREADY APPROACHING 1.7 INCHES. THIS HERALDS THE TROPICAL
WAVE THAT WILL APPROACH ON WEDNESDAY WITH A DOUBLE TROUGH AT 700
MB. THE FIRST TROUGH WILL PASS OVER PUERTO RICO AT ABOUT 19/12Z
WHILE THE SECOND AND STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH BETWEEN
20/06 AND 20/12Z. THIS WAVE IS ACCOMPANIED BY A VERY STRONG
SOUTHEAST WIND SURGE OF BETWEEN 925 AND 700 MB...WHICH ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WILL REACH 40 KNOTS ACCORDING TO THE GFS AND CONFIRMED BY
THE WRF AND NMM MODELS IN BOTH THE 17/18Z AND 18/00Z GFS RUNS. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM IN THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL BE LIKELY TO HAVE
VERY STRONG GUSTS WHICH COULD...IN A FEW PLACES...EXCEED SEVERE
LIMITS...ESPECIALLY IN THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. BECAUSE MOISTURE IN
THE LOWER LEVELS IS LIMITED AND FOLLOWED IMMEDIATELY BY MORE
SAHARAN AIR...HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED IN COVERAGE...AND
FLOODING...EXCEPT FOR LOCAL DRAINAGE PROBLEMS...IS NOT EXPECTED WITH
THIS WAVE. MOISTURE REACHES A MINIMUM ON FRIDAY EVENING AFTER THE
WAVE PASSES SIMILAR TO THE ONE THAT JUST OCCURRED. AT THAT TIME
WINDS WILL ABATE AND SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH CONSIDERABLY. A SECOND
PULSE OF MOISTURE DEVELOPS EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THURSDAY
NIGHT AND MOVES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR COND WILL CONTINUE XCP ON TUE AFTERNOON WHERE ISOLD/SCT
SHRA AND ISOLD TSRA OVR INTERIOR/WEST PR WI MTN OBSC ARE POSSIBLE.
WIND SFC TO 2K FT GENERALLY FROM EAST AT 10-20 KT. SAHARAN DUST AT
TIMES TO CAUSE SLIGHTLY LWR VSBY.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS OF 16 TO 20 KNOTS HAVE ALREADY BROUGHT SEAS OF 4
TO 6 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL EXPOSED WATERS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A TROPICAL WAVE. SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL LIKELY REACH 20 TO 25 KNOTS...LOCALLY 30 KNOTS...WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON BEGINNING IN THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA.
GUSTS IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACH 45
KNOTS IN A FEW PLACES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 75 85 76 / 10 50 50 60
STT 88 77 85 76 / 10 50 50 40
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1865. nigel20
8:33 PM GMT en Junio 17, 2013
Belize National Meteorological Service

Date:

MONDAY 17TH JUNE 2013

Time:

12:00 PM

General Situation:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION#2 WILL CROSS BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON.

24hr Forecast:

CLOUDY TO OVERCAST WITH SEVERAL OUTBREAKS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST AREAS, ALONG WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN. (THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE AT TIMES. THERE IS A RISK OF FLOODING FOR LOW LYING AREAS.)

Winds:

NORTHEAST 15-25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 15-25 KNOTS TONIGHT.

Sea State:

MODERATE BECOMING LOCALLY ROUGH AT TIMES **SMALL CRAFT WARNING FOR COASTAL WATERS OF BELIZE**

Outlook:

THROUGH TO WEDNESDAY NIDDAY: CLOUDY WITH SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER NORTHERN DISTRICTS.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1864. nigel20
8:30 PM GMT en Junio 17, 2013
Barbados Weather

Lesser Antilles Forecast

This Afternoon's Forecast Valid From 1600Z Monday 2013-06-17 To 2200Z Monday 2013-06-17

Synopsis: A ridge of high pressure is the dominant feature.

Wx : Fair to occasionally cloudy, hazy and windy with a few scattered showers.

Winds: ENE - ESE at 15 - 45 km/h.

Seas: Moderate to rough in open water swells 2.5 - 3.0 metres. A small craft warning remains in effect for above normal sea swells.

Tonight's Forecast Valid From 2200Z Monday 2013-06-17 To 1000Z Tuesday 2013-06-18

Synopsis: A tropical wave will be approaching the southern part of the region.

Wx : Over the southern Windwards. Partly cloudy to cloudy, hazy and windy with some scattered showers. Elsewhere: Fair to occasionally cloudy, hazy and windy with some scattered showers.

Winds: ENE - ESE at 10 - 45 km/h.

Seas: Moderate to rough in open water swells 2.5 - 3.0 metres. A small craft warning remains in effect for above normal sea swells.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1863. nigel20
8:28 PM GMT en Junio 17, 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... ...APPROACHING COAST OF BELIZE...

11:00 AM EDT Mon Jun 17
Location: 16.2°N 87.6°W
Moving: WNW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 35 mph
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1862. nigel20
8:28 PM GMT en Junio 17, 2013
Good afternoon all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE PRIMARY FEATURE ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN CARIBBEAN IS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO MENTIONED ABOVE. IT IS LOCATED ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED
NEAR 13N80W. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES TO
PROVIDE AMPLE SUPPORT TO SUSTAIN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DEPRESSION AS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 11N-
22N WEST OF 82W. THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS FOCUSED ALONG A LINE
FROM 11N82W TO 16N84W NEAR THE COAST OF NICARAGUA. TO THE SOUTH
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN...THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ALONG
09N PROVIDING FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S
OF 10N. ELSEWHERE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN...NW
FLOW ALOFT AND OVERALL GENERAL WEAK SUBSIDENCE REMAINS IN PLACE
BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY...AND
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR 25N65W.
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIR OVERALL THIS AFTERNOON WITH ONLY A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS OCCURRING OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE
US/UK VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS N
OF 17N BETWEEN 63W-66W.

HISPANIOLA...
CURRENTLY CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL ACROSS THE ISLAND
THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N65W IN
THE SW NORTH ATLC. ASIDE FROM A FEW PASSING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES RELATIVELY DRY AIR ALOFT COTNINUES
TO PROVIDE A STABLE ENVIRONMENT. WHILE THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN PEAK DAYTIME
HEATING AND INSTABILITY.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1861. Tropicsweatherpr
10:34 AM GMT en Junio 17, 2013
Good morning. A Tropical Wave interacting with a trough will cause scattered showers starting on Wednesday.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
520 AM AST MON JUN 17 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE WILL CUT OFF NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO AND COME TO WITHIN 320 MILES OF THE ISLANDS BY TUESDAY
EVENING. LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN PULL NORTH SOMEWHAT BUT REMAIN
NEARBY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

AT MID LEVELS...THE TROUGH OVER THE LOCAL AREA WILL DRIFT WEST
DURING THE WEEK THEN RE-FORM NORTH OF PUERTO RICO OVER THE
WEEKEND. MOISTURE IS SPARSE UNTIL A TROPICAL WAVE PASSES BY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL DOMINATE THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS FLORIDA OR GEORGIA
FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 10 DAYS. LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE IN THE
SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN AND GENERATE MODERATE TO FRESH EAST SOUTHEAST
TRADE WINDS. A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 53 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.


&&

.DISCUSSION...FEW SHOWERS OCCURRED OVERNIGHT...BUT A LITTLE MORE
SHOWER ACTIVITY WAS OCCURRING NORTH AND SOUTH OF VIEQUES BY 5 AM
AST. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS WILL COME ONSHORE IN EASTERN PUERTO
RICO BUT RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE SLIGHT. DRY MID LAYERS AND SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER CONTINUE TODAY AND EXPECT SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO BE SIMILAR TO SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN PUERTO RICO. EXPECT A LITTLE MORE
ACTIVITY ON TUESDAY AS THE TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES BUT MAIN
ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT HAPPEN UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BEST
DIVERGENCE ALOFT DUE TO THE INTERACTION OF THE WAVE WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL 20/06Z AND MAY NOT COINCIDE WITH
WAVE PASSAGE AND AFTERNOON HEATING MAXIMUM FOR MORE ENHANCED
ACTIVITY...BUT MOISTURE AND GOOD DYNAMICS PERSIST UNTIL AT LEAST
20/18Z AND SOME SHOWERS MAY PERSIST FOR A GOOD DEAL OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OVER PUERTO RICO. IN THE 00Z RUN OF THE GFS WINDS AT 850 MB
INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS AT 19/18Z. THIS IS DOWN FROM THE 16/18Z
MODEL RUN WHICH SHOWED UP TO 40 KNOTS OVER THE LOCAL AREA ON
20/06Z. THIS WOULD BE OF SOME CONCERN SINCE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
AT NO MORE THAN 15 KNOTS COULD PRODUCE GUSTS OF UP TO 50 KNOTS IN
ISOLATED AREAS SHOULD THEY BECOME STRONG ENOUGH. LIFTED INDICES OF
-5 TO -7 ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN NOW AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BEST
CAPE IS ABOUT 3250 BUT OCCURS ON TUESDAY...AND BULK RICHARDSON
NUMBER RELATIVELY HIGH AND MAY NOT SUPPORT WELL ORGANIZED DOWNDRAFT
ACTIVITY. WITH SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND IN THE FORECAST...WILL SAY
THAT SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN GUSTS APPROACHING SEVERE
LIMITS. WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND LOOKS LESS ACTIVE...BUT WOULD EXPECT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR COND FOR ALL SITES THRU MON...THOUGH HZ FROM SAHARAN
DUST WILL AFFECT VSBY. WIND SFC TO 2K FT ESE 15-20 KT BCMG GENERALLY
FROM E.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS WERE BELOW 6 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING AT BUOY 41043
AND MODEL SHOWS LITTLE INCREASE UNTIL WEDNESDAY. THEREFORE EXPECT
NO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES UNTIL WEDNESDAY. NEVERTHELESS SEAS OF 4
TO 6 FEET OR WINDS UP TO 20 KTS MAY BE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE WAVE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MAY HAVE
VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS DUE TO DRY AIR AND WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS
IN THE LAYER FROM 700 TO 1000 MB.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 77 88 77 / 20 10 20 50
STT 88 77 88 78 / 20 10 20 60
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1860. nigel20
5:03 PM GMT en Junio 16, 2013
Cuba Weather

2013-06-16 03:00 WEATHER FORECAST. NATIONWIDE.

It will remain sunny and hot in the most of Cuba, apart from the Eastern region where the presence of a tropical wave will bring overcast skies and locally heavy rainfall during the afternoon hours.

The daytime temperature will be in the range of 31-34 C (88-93 F), while overnight it will be between 24-27 C (75-81 F).

The sea will be mostly calm all day through, apart from the North-east area where it will become rough after the midday.

Winds will blow from the Atlantic ocean at the speed of 10-25 KmPH 6-15 MPH).
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1859. nigel20
5:01 PM GMT en Junio 16, 2013
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles


Issued: 12:00 PM on Sunday, June 16, 2013

A ridge of high pressure is the dominant feature. This will maintain a relatively dry and stable atmosphere across the region through Tuesday. Hazy and breezy conditions will be evident. Meanwhile, a tropical wave located in the Atlantic ocean is expected to approach the region by Tuesday.

Brisk winds will generate moderate to rough sea conditions through today, with swells peaking near 10.0 feet. Thereafter, swells will gradually subside peaking near 8.0 feet. A small craft warning is in effect for above normal sea swells. Small craft operators and sea bathers, particularly on the east coast, should exercise caution.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1858. nigel20
4:56 PM GMT en Junio 16, 2013
Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 161137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED A LITTLE THIS MORNING
IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE BEFORE IT MOVES OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA IN A DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1857. nigel20
4:54 PM GMT en Junio 16, 2013
Good morning all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...
A CUT-OFF UPPER LOW IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM 14N-22N BETWEEN 84W-90W INCLUDING THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL. A LARGE UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN ANCHORED OVER THE S CARIBBEAN ALONG THE N COAST OF
COLOMBIA AND EXTENDS E INTO THE TROPICAL ATLC WITH A RIDGE AXIS
ALSO EXTENDING N OVER THE W ATLC. THE UPPER RIDGE IS PROVIDING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT TO GENERATE AN AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N-18N BETWEEN 76W-87W INCLUDING
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. AN AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM
18N78W TO ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE NEAR 20N73W
INCLUDING JAMAICA. THE TROPICAL WAVE IS BENEATH THIS UPPER
RIDGE. TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT W-NW AND INTERACT
WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE YUCATAN FURTHER ENHANCING THE
ACTIVITY COVERING THE W CARIBBEAN THROUGH LATE MON. WAVE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS TONIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING
THEN ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA MON AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE.

HISPANIOLA...
THE SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER HISPANIOLA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER
RIDGE. THESE SHOWERS WILL BECOME SPARSE THIS MORNING BUT WILL
AGAIN DEVELOP AS THE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMB. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA AND WITH DAYTIME HEATING
COULD PRODUCE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SCENARIO WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1856. Tropicsweatherpr
10:15 AM GMT en Junio 16, 2013
Good morning. Hazy and dry weather will prevail today in PR and adjacent islands. A Tropical Wave will increase the showers by Wednesday.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST SUN JUN 16 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT WEST TO THE
CARIBBEAN SOUTH OF CUBA AS LOW PRESSURE DIGS SOUTH AND CUTS OFF
JUST NORTH OF SAINT THOMAS DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.
WEAK LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES KEEPING FLOW
SOUTHWESTERLY DURING THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES IN FROM THE
TROPICAL ATLANTIC LATE IN THE WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE AND WEAK GRADIENTS PERSIST OVER AND
TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RIDGE IN FROM THE EAST LATE IN THE WEEK. THE BEST MOISTURE OF
WEEK WILL BE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WHEN A TROPICAL WAVE COMES THROUGH.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WITH LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST
CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL CONTINUE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS FROM
THE EAST SOUTHEAST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PERSISTS THROUGH MONDAY
BUT REMAINS VERY SHALLOW. WINDS AT 850 MB INCREASE AND TURN
SOUTHEAST AS A TROPICAL WAVE COMES THROUGH LATE ON WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE DECREASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY AFTER THAT BUT RETURNS BRIEFLY
ON THE FOLLOWING SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONLY SPRINKLES WERE OBSERVED OVERNIGHT AS ATMOSPHERE
HAS TURNED MORE STABLE AND AIR ABOVE 6 KFT HAS BECOME
SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER. PRECIPITABLE WATER AT SAINT CROIX DROPPED
BELOW 1.5 INCHES. EVEN THE HIGHER CLOUDS ARE NOW LOCATED
PREDOMINANTLY OVER HISPANIOLA. THIS WILL ALLOW GOOD PENETRATION
OF THE SUNLIGHT AND FORCE A SEA BREEZE OVER THE LOCAL COASTLINES
THAT WILL ALSO ACCELERATE THE TRADE WINDS NEAR SHORE. THEREFORE
EXPECT MORE WIND TODAY THAN YESTERDAY. EXPECTED MORE SHOWER
ACTIVITY YESTERDAY...BUT DRIER MID LEVELS AND CONSIDERABLE
SAHARAN DUST GENERATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS ONLY IN A SMALL PORTION
OF THE NORTHWEST. LITTLE HAS CHANGED TO BRING MORE ACTIVITY TODAY
AND HAVE LEFT POPS QUITE LOW OVER THE AREA. IT APPEARS THAT THIS
WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHEN A TROPICAL
WAVE PUSHES THROUGH AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE
AREA. ALSO THE GFS IS SHOWING WINDS AT 850 MB EXCEEDING 35 KNOTS
OVER SAN JUAN AND MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA AFTER WEDNESDAY NOON.
WITH SOMEWHAT DRY MID LAYERS THIS MAY CAUSE STRONG WINDS TO REACH
THE SURFACE DURING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY. GUSTS MAY REACH 45 MPH IN SOME AREAS SHOULD SHOWERS
FORM AND MOVE THROUGH WITH ANY ORGANIZATION. DRIER WEATHER WILL
RETURN ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR COND EXPECTED FOR NEXT 24 HOURS AT ALL SITES. HZ
ASSOC WITH SAHARAN DUST WILL CAUSE SLIGHT VIS REDUCTION AT TIMES.
WIND FROM SFC TO 2K FEET THRU SUNDAY GENERALLY FROM ESE AT 15-20 KT.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS CONTINUE 4 TO 6 FEET MOST EXPOSED WATERS WITH 15 TO
20 KNOT WINDS. SEAS MAY INCREASE TO 7 FEET WITH APPROACHING
TROPICAL WAVE ON WEDNESDAY AND EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO BE
NECESSARY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 78 89 78 / 10 10 10 10
STT 89 79 89 80 / 10 10 10 10
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1855. nigel20
4:51 PM GMT en Junio 15, 2013
Meteorological Service of Jamaica

NEWS RELEASE

IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Friday, June 14, 2013 – 5:00 p.m.

*** INCREASE IN RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND ***

A Tropical Wave, currently across Hispaniola, is moving towards the west and is expected to move across Jamaica on Saturday.

As the Tropical Wave moves across the island, it is forecast to bring an increase in rainfall. Showers and thunderstorms which may be heavy at times, are likely to affect sections of all parishes, as well as adjacent waters on Saturday afternoon and throughout Sunday.


A Gradual improvement is expected on Monday as the Tropical Wave moves away from Jamaica and through the western Caribbean.

Fishers and other small craft operators should exercise caution as strong, gusty winds are expected in the vicinity of showers and thunderstorms.

The Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the situation.

cdj
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1854. nigel20
4:48 PM GMT en Junio 15, 2013
Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Services

ISSUED AT: 10:14AM
Date:Saturday 15th of June 2013

Meteorologist: Akil Nancoo

FOR THE PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT:
TRINIDAD,TOBAGO AND THE REM.OF THE LESSER ANTILLES:


Intermittent cloudy periods with light to moderate
showers in varying localities will interrupt
otherwise sunny daytime and cool evening and
nighttime conditions. There is the small chance
of a few showers becoming heavy and thundery
mainly near southern Trinidad during the day and
afternoon.

Gusty winds,street and flash flooding may occur
in heavy showers and thundershowers.

SEAS: Normal to Moderate
WAVES: 2.0 to 2.5mIN OPEN WATERS
Near 1.0m IN SHLTD AREAS

Temperature Units:Celsius

FORECAST MAX TEMP.
Piarco: 32 Crown Point: 31
Tides ISSUED AT: 05:52PM
Date:Friday 14th of June 2013

Port of Spain HIGH 7.42am 8.57pm LOW 1.55am 2.10pm
Scarborough HIGH 7.44am 8.52pm LOW 1.46am 2.25pm
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1853. nigel20
4:44 PM GMT en Junio 15, 2013
Good morning all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

CARIBBEAN SEA...

AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO DIPS S OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TO OVER HONDURAS W OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. THIS IS
DRAWING DRY STABLE AIR OVER THAT AREA WITH CLEAR SKIES. A LARGE
UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN ANCHORED
OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND EXTENDS E INTO THE TROPICAL ATLC
WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING N OVER THE W ATLC. THE UPPER RIDGE
IS PROVIDING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM THE TIP OF
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS TO ACROSS CUBA NEAR 20N75W INCLUDING JAMAICA.
THE REMAINDER OF THE ACTIVITY IN THE N/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS
ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 9N75W ALONG 10N90W
THEN ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR 10N84W INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S OF 12N
BETWEEN 75W-82W. THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE USHERING IN SOME
LOW LEVEL SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN S OF 17N BETWEEN 63W-71W. TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH TODAY THEN ACROSS THE W
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH MON AND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EARLY TUE.

HISPANIOLA...

THE ACTIVITY OVER HISPANIOLA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE ISLAND. THE SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W OF
HAITI LATER THIS MORNING AND WITH THE DAYTIME HEATING IN THE
AFTERNOON COUPLED WITH THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE PRESENT WILL
REGENERATE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE
WILL LINGER OVER THE ISLAND AS THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE W MOVES E
TOWARD THE ISLAND INCREASING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1852. Tropicsweatherpr
10:17 AM GMT en Junio 15, 2013
Good morning. Variable weather is expected today in PR with a mix of sun with scattered showers.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
459 AM AST SAT JUN 15 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE OVER THE CARIBBEAN JUST
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO WILL BUILD WESTWARD AS A TROUGH BRUSHING CUBA
MOVES TO THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA NOW THROUGH MONDAY. A CUT OFF LOW
FORMS IN THE TROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS ALLOWS A WEAK
TROUGH TO REMAIN JUST WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR MUCH OF THE
WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...A RIDGE EXTENDS NORTHEAST TO HIGH PRESSURE IN THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC. WEAK TROUGHING FORMS OVER THE LOCAL AREA
BEGINNING ON SUNDAY DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH UNTIL HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE EAST LATE NEXT WEEK. EXCEPT FOR
SOME MOISTURE TODAY...MOISTURE IS GENERALLY LIMITED EXCEPT FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA
THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY A NARROW SLOT OF SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR. LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE PERSISTS HOWEVER UNTIL LATE MONDAY AND RETURNS
AGAIN ON TUESDAY. A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY MUCH DRIER AIR
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE INCREASED OVERNIGHT AS PRECIPITABLE WATER...
AS MEASURED BY THE SOUNDER IN BAYAMON...SURPASSED TWO INCHES. HEAVY
SHOWERS MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 18 TO 28 KNOTS THROUGH PUERTO
RICO AND SAINT CROIX. RAIN AMOUNTS WERE GENERALLY UNDER ONE INCH
OVER LAND AND WERE HEAVIEST IN YABUCOA...SAN LORENZO AND CAGUAS.
THUNDERSTORMS FORMED IN THE LOCAL WATERS NORTH OF ARECIBO JUST
BEYOND 10 NAUTICAL MILES IN A STREAM THAT WAS STILL ACTIVE AS OF
4:45 AM AST. MOISTURE CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY...AND THE BEST
MOISTURE EXITS INTO THE MONA PASSAGE BY 16/00Z TAKING MOST OF THE
SHOWERS WITH IT.

DURING THE NEXT 7 TO 10 DAYS HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE IN THE
MID ATLANTIC RETREATS TO THE NORTHEAST SOMEWHAT...BUT STRENGTHENS.
HENCE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH. MOISTURE DURING THIS PERIOD
CONTINUES RICH UP TO ABOUT 6 KFT...BUT EXCEPT FOR A SHORT BREAK
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY THE ATMOSPHERE AT MID LEVELS IS DRY. DEEP HIGH
CLOUDS ARE GENERALLY PRESENT EXCEPT MONDAY AND TUESDAY JUST BEFORE A
TROPICAL WAVE COMES THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. THE WAVE SHOULD BRING
SIGNIFICANT RAIN AMOUNTS TO THE AREA AND IS FOLLOWED IMMEDIATELY
BY 25 TO 35 KNOT WINDS AT 850 MB AND MORE SAHARAN DUST. SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY WITH THIS WAVE...HOWEVER
MID LEVELS DRY CONSIDERABLY THURSDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN VERY DRY
THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL LIMIT CONVECTION AFTER THE PASSAGE OF
THE WAVE AND LEAD TO SOMEWHAT DRIER WEATHER OVERALL TOWARD THE END
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR COND DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR ALL SITES...WITH
CHANCE OF VCSH ACROSS ISLANDS. BRIEF MVFR COND POSSIBLE FOR TJMZ AND
TJBQ AFT 15/17Z DUE TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE AREA. WIND BLO
FL100 ESE-SE 15-25 KT THRU SAT. SHRA WILL BRING VERY GUSTY WINDS.
GUSTS IN SAINT CROIX WERE MEASURED TO 29 KNOTS THIS MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS BROUGHT HIGHER SEAS TO THE
ATLANTIC WATERS YESTERDAY AND TODAY. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TO COME DOWN TODAY. NEVERTHELESS...SEAS IN MOST OF OUR EXPOSED
WATERS WILL CONTINUE AT 4 TO 6 FEET AND SMALL CRAFT WILL NEED TO
EXERCISE CAUTION.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 79 89 78 / 40 10 10 10
STT 88 80 88 80 / 40 10 10 10
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1851. nigel20
4:22 PM GMT en Junio 14, 2013
Cayman Islands Weather Service

VALID FOR THE AFTERNOON OF JUNE 14TH 2013
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON OF JUNE 15TH 2013.

SYNOPSIS:

Light to moderate easterly winds and slight seas will continue across the Cayman area for the next 24 hours in association with a high pressure system over the central Atlantic Ocean.

THE FORECAST:

Today: Partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunder. Temperatures will rise to the upper 80’s. Winds will be east to northeast 5 to 10 knots. Seas will be slight with wave heights of 1 to 3 feet.

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers. Temperatures will fall to the upper 70’s. Winds will be east to northeast 5 knots or less. Seas will be slight with wave heights of 1 to 3 feet.

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunder. Temperatures will rise to the low 90’s. Winds will be east to northeast 10 to 15 knots. Seas will be slight with wave heights of 1 to 3 feet.

TIDES:
Today: High 1:42 p.m. Low 7:39 p.m.
Tomorrow: High 1:55 a.m. Low 8:55 a.m. High 3:08 p.m. Low 8:56 p.m.

SUNSET: 7:04 p.m. Today. SUNRISE: 5:47 a.m. Tomorrow.

OUTLOOK: is for similar weather condition through Sunday afternoon.

FORECASTER
Porter
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1850. nigel20
4:20 PM GMT en Junio 14, 2013
Barbados Weather Service

Lesser Antilles Forecast

This Afternoon's Forecast Valid From 1600Z Friday 2013-06-14 To 2200Z Friday 2013-06-14

Synopsis: Weak unstable conditions are affecting the Southern Windwards.

Wx : Over the S-Windward Islands: Partly cloudy to occasionally cloudy hazy and windy with scattered showers and periods of rain. Elsewhere fair to partly cloudy hazy and windy with a few brief showers.

Winds: E - ESE at 20 - 45 km/h.

Seas: Rough in open water swells 3.0 - 3.5 metres. A small craft warning remains in effect for above normal sea swells.

Tonight's Forecast Valid From 2200Z Friday 2013-06-14 To 1000Z Saturday 2013-06-15

Synopsis: A ridge of high pressure is becoming the dominant feature.

Wx : Partly cloudy to occasionally cloudy hazy and windy with a few scattered showers.

Winds: E - ESE at 20 - 45 km/h.

Seas: Rough in open water swells 3.0 - 3.5 metres. A small craft warning remains in effect for above normal sea swells.

Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1849. nigel20
4:17 PM GMT en Junio 14, 2013
Good morning all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A BROAD EAST-TO-WEST MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE COVERS THE AREA. THIS WIND REGIME IS OCCURRING
TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER
OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE TO BE COVERING THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE SOUTH OF 23N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION IS TO THE SOUTH OF 20N IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA BETWEEN 60W AND 70W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 50W AND
60W...AND FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N/9N FROM 73W IN COLOMBIA
BEYOND 86W IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG IN CLUSTERS FROM 3N
TO 10N BETWEEN 74W AND 80W...IN COLOMBIA AND PANAMA...
AND IN THE PANAMA COASTAL WATERS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA
AND IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...
AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE
DETAILS ABOUT THE NORTHEAST TO EAST 20 TO 25 KNOT
WINDS AND 9 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN
70W AND 76W. EXPECT ALSO 20 KNOT WINDS OR LESS AND
9 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN
72W AND 81W.

HISPANIOLA...

THE CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ALONG
62W/65W AT 14/0000 UTC HAS BEEN RELOCATED IN ORDER
TO BE ALONG 68W/69W TO THE SOUTH OF 21N. THE WAVE
IS MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS. THE WAVE IS TO THE WEST
OF A LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE. THE WAVE WAS
REPOSITIONED BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA
AND THE MODEL INITIALIZATION. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE SOUTH OF 24N BETWEEN 60W AND
70W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE PERIOD
ENDING AT 14/0000 UTC FOR GUADELOUPE WAS
0.21 OF AN INCH...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLE...MIATPTPAN.

THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA
WILL BE IN A RIDGE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR MORE. AN INVERTED TROUGH DEVELOPS DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE 48 HOUR TIME PERIOD FOR THE
FORECAST. THE SAME MODEL FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT
THE AREA WILL BE IN A RIDGE/AN AREA OF THE
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER FOR MOST OF THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. THE TROUGH THAT CURRENTLY IS
PASSING ON TOP OF FLORIDA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
EVENTUALLY REACHES HISPANIOLA AT THE END OF THE
48 HOUR TIME PERIOD. THE 250 MB PATTERN CONSISTS
OF A RIDGE. BROAD SURFACE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION
ARE FORECAST NEAR HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

NHC

Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1848. Tropicsweatherpr
10:15 AM GMT en Junio 14, 2013
Good morning. A Tropical Wave moving thru today is bringing scattered showers to PR and adjacent islands.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
437 AM AST FRI JUN 14 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
UNTIL THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. A TROPICAL WAVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. DRY AIR AND HAZY SKIES WILL ENCOMPASS THE
REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTURE TROPICAL WAVE BY SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH
A TROPICAL WAVE JUST ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. LATEST
SATELLITE IMAGES THIS MORNING INDICATED THAT THE BULK OF
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE REMAINS BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS...
WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND SOUTH
AMERICA. HOWEVER...AS THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD
TODAY...CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND ACROSS
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. WAVE MOISTURE WILL COMBINE
WITH LOCAL EFFECTS THIS AFTERNOON TO INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO. THE GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT PWAT VALUES WILL
CONTINUE TODAY ABOVE 2.00 INCHES...BUT WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE WAVE MOVES WELL AWAY FROM THE
REGION. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.

MODELS INDICATED THAT ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL LINGER MAINLY
SOUTH OF THE AREA ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS ON SATURDAY. THUS
FOR SATURDAY...THIS MOISTURE IN COMBINATION AGAIN WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS WILL PROMOTE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A DRY...STABLE AND HAZY AIR MASS
ENCOMPASS THE REGION FROM THE EAST.

&&

.AVIATION...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT EASTERN TAF
SITES THRU 14/17Z AS TROPICAL WAVE MAKES ITS WAY OVER THE AREA.
CHANCES OF PATCHES OF -SHRA...GUSTY WINDS...AND REDUCED VIS WILL
INCREASE THRU THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND ON FRIDAY. AFT 14/15Z INCR
SHRA/TSRA IN INTERIOR AND WESTERN PR WITH LCL MVFR/IFR CONDS AND
AREAS OF MTN OBSCURATIONS. LLVL WINDS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY FM E TO SE
AT 10-20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS OF 6 FEET OR LESS AND WINDS OF 20 KNOTS OR LESS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST COASTAL WATERS
TODAY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE
OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 78 89 78 / 40 20 30 20
STT 88 80 87 80 / 50 30 30 20
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1847. nigel20
5:33 PM GMT en Junio 13, 2013
Meteorological Department Curacao

Weather Forecast for Bonaire and Curacao

validuntil Friday midday 12:00 l.t., June 14, 2013.

Issued: Thursday June 13, 2013 11:00 l.t. (15:00 UTC ).

Weather:
Today: Generally partly cloudy with a chance of a local shower.
Friday: Cloudy skies with a few passing showers.

Forecast high will be 33ºC and the low will be 26ºC.
Sunrise will occur at 06:10 and sunset at 19:01

Winds:
Easterly and moderate to fresh; force 4 to 5 (20 to 39 km/hr, 11 to 21 knots).
Occasionally strong in gusts; force 6 (40 to 50 km/hr, 22 to 27 knots).

Synopsis: A tropical wave located just east of the Carribean Area moves rapidly in Westerly direction. This wave is expected to reach the local area during Friday into Saturday. Cloudiness related to this wave is expected to reach to local islands later today into Friday with a few passing showers.

Sea conditions: Generally moderate 3 to 6 feet waves.

Significant tropical weather systems: None.

Outlook until Saturday midday: Generally partly with a local shower.

Forecaster: Luciano
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1846. nigel20
5:29 PM GMT en Junio 13, 2013
Dominica Meteorological Service

Weather Outlook for Dominica and the Lesser Antilles
Issued: 12:00 PM on Thursday, June 13, 2013

A tropical wave is moving westward across the region. Moisture and instability associated with this wave is expected to generate cloudiness, showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across the southern portion of the island chain during the next 24 hours.

Moderate to rough sea conditions are expected during the next 24 to 36 hours with swells peaking near 10.0 feet. A small craft advisory is in effect for above normal swells. Small craft operators and sea bathers should exercise caution.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1845. nigel20
5:25 PM GMT en Junio 13, 2013
Good afternoon all!

Tropical Weather Discussion

FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STARTS NEAR
29N66W TO 25N65W TO 22N64W...CONTINUING THROUGH
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...ACROSS JAMAICA...TO 15N83W
OFF THE COAST OF EASTERN HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE NORTH OF 17N TO THE WEST OF
HISPANIOLA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 59W
AND 70W.

THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND
FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE EAST OF THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH. RAINSHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 20N TO THE EAST OF 70W.

THE MONSOON TROUGH RUNS FROM 10N84W IN COSTA RICA
BEYOND 9N90W IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N TO 10N IN THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN BETWEEN CENTRAL AMERICA AND 90W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION IS IN COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA FROM 5N
10N TO THE WEST OF 70W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...
AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE
DETAILS ABOUT THE NORTHEAST TO EAST 20 TO 25 KNOT
WINDS AND 8 TO 10 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 11N TO 15N
BETWEEN 72W AND 78W.

HISPANIOLA...

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STARTS NEAR
29N66W TO 25N65W TO 22N64W...CONTINUING THROUGH
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...ACROSS JAMAICA...TO 15N83W
OFF THE COAST OF EASTERN HONDURAS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE NORTH OF 17N TO THE WEST OF
HISPANIOLA. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 59W
AND 70W.

THE GFS MODEL FOR 700 MB...500 MB...AND 250 MB
SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA WILL BE IN THE AREA OF A RIDGE
THAT RUNS ROUGHLY FROM EAST TO WEST. BROAD SURFACE
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ARE
FORECAST NEAR HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1844. Tropicsweatherpr
10:25 AM GMT en Junio 13, 2013
Good morning. Tropical Wave will increase the showers for the Eastern Caribbean starting late today and continue thru Friday.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
445 AM AST THU JUN 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS THE
EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS TUTT TO THE NORTHWEST OF LOCAL
ISLANDS WEAKENS. A SECOND TUTT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK.
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 55W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS
ON FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A MUCH DRIER WEATHER SCENARIO THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS IF WE COMPARE THEM TO THE LAST TWO PREVIOUS NIGHTS. THE
DOPPLER RADAR IS ONLY SHOWING PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS WITH A FEW AFFECTING THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

AVAILABLE MOISTURE IN COMBINATIONS WITH LOCAL EFFECT WILL TRIGGER
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...
MAINLY OVER THE NORTHWEST AND WEST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THE
PREVAILING WIND FROM EAST SOUTHEAST COULD ALSO HELP FOR A CU LINE
TO DEVELOP FROM EL YUNQUE TOWARD THE SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE NOW LOCATED NEAR 55W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND
IS FORECAST TO INCREASE THE SHOWER COVERAGE AND THUNDERSTORM
INTENSITY AS SOON AS FRIDAY MORNING. WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WORK
WEEK AS A DRIER AND STABLE AIR MASS ESTABLISHES OVER THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR ALMOST ALL TAF
SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFT 18Z...VCSH ARE POSSIBLE FOR TJMZ
AND TJBQ CAUSING TEMPORARY REDUCTION OF VISIBILITY. LLVL WINDS WILL CONTINUE
FM THE E TO ESE FROM THE SURFACE TO AROUND 2 KFT.

&&

.MARINE...ALHOUGH A SLIGHT VARIATIONS ON WIND SPEED WILL
OCCURRED...MODERATE TOTO FRESH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS OUR
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 77 89 79 / 30 40 40 20
STT 89 79 90 80 / 20 50 50 30
Member Since: Abril 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14012
1843. nigel20
7:04 PM GMT en Junio 12, 2013
Belize National Meteorological Service

Date:

WEDNESDAY 12TH JUNE 2013

Time:

12:05PM

General Situation:

MODERATE EASTERLY AIRFLOW PREVAILING OVER AREA...

24hr Forecast:

SUNNY WITH CLOUDY SPELLS DURING THE DAYTIME AND PARTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT. A FEW BRIEF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOME INLAND AREAS THIS AFTERNOON, THEN MAINLY THE SOUTH TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE, SHOWERS WILL BE ISOLATED.

Winds:

EAST 10-20 KNOTS

Sea State:

MODERATE

Outlook:

(THU AFTNOON - MDDAY FRI) PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GENERALLY ISOLATED, EXCEPT A FEW MORE IN THE SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1842. nigel20
7:02 PM GMT en Junio 12, 2013
Weather Forecast Center, INSMET.

Weather Forecast for the afternoon and night.

Date: June 12, 2013. Time: 11:00 am

... Some showers and thunderstorms in the evening ...


The sky will be mostly cloudy and cloud in localities of the interior, with some showers and thunderstorms, which are more numerous in the central and eastern regions. The day will be hot with maximum temperatures reach between 31 and 34 degrees Celsius, higher in the south eastern portion, while at night temperatures will be between 23 and 26 degrees Celsius. weak and variable winds predominate except in northern coastal areas where blow the east to northeast 25 mph. will swell in the Central and Eastern North coast, as well as from tip of Cape Cross Maisí up in the rest of the coastal sea is calm.
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
1841. nigel20
7:01 PM GMT en Junio 12, 2013
Good afternoon friends!

Tropical Weather Discussion

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

15-25 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE
SW CARIBBEAN. SEE ABOVE. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS W OF COSTA
RICA. FURTHER N...SCATTERED SHOWERS EXTEND FROM HONDURAS TO
GUATEMALA...AND OVER E CUBA. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED E OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR 26N68W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE SE
OF THIS CENTER IS ENHANCING THE SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER E
HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. EXPECT OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO ADVECT OVER CUBA...FOR
CONVECTION TO DEVELOP S OF HISPANIOLA...FOR CONVECTION TO
PERSIST OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN...AND FOR CONVECTION TO ADVECT
OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DUE TO AN APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE.

HISPANIOLA...

HAITI PRESENTLY HAS FAIR WEATHER WHILE THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS SHOWERS. EXPECT NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF
HISPANIOLA TONIGHT DUE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE.

NHC
Member Since: Noviembre 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849

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APRSWXNET Kingston JM
Kingston,
Elevation: 731 ft
Temperatura: 77.0 ° F
Punto de rocío: 68.0 ° F
Humedad: 73%
Viento: 3.0 mph from the NE
Ráfagas de viento: -
Updated: 5:46 AM EST en Julio 25, 2014

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