WPBHurricane05

Watching The Caribbean

Posted by: WPBHurricane05, 12:29 AM GMT en Mayo 27, 2009

Would keep an eye on the Caribbean Sea during the second week of June. GFS long range shows favorable conditions for a tropical storm to spin up. Yes its 2 weeks from now, but this area is a hot spot for June storms.

Figure 1. Low wind shear over most of the Caribbean.

Figure 2. Lots of moisture where the low shear is.

If development does occur, it's not necessarily a harbinger of an active season. We saw a June storm in this area during both the 2005 hurricane season , and the 2006 hurricane season.

Figure 3. Tropical Storm Arlene 2005 track.

Figure 4. Tropical Storm Alberto 2006 track.

Palm Springs Rainbow (WPBHurricane05)

1 of 3 rainbows in Palm Springs, Florida. Camera pointed toward the east.

Palm Springs Rainbow 2 (WPBHurricane05)

Two more rainbows in Palm Springs, Florida. This time the camera is facing the south.

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1. WPBHurricane05 9:12 PM GMT en Mayo 27, 2009
Update as of the 5/27 12Z runs GFS is still forecasting lower wind shear over the Caribbean. Moisture expected to be around the area during the period of low shear, but no surface low was forecast during this run. (Click for larger images) Member Since: Julio 31, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 7929

2. WPBHurricane05 12:00 AM GMT en Mayo 29, 2009
5/28 Update. GFS continues to show lower shear over most of the Caribbean. Doesn't show a real organized system, and I doubt it will this far out. Member Since: Julio 31, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 7929

3. WPBHurricane05 11:28 AM GMT en Junio 01, 2009
Now I got agreement from the GFS, CMC, and the ECMWF. Member Since: Julio 31, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 7929

4. WPBHurricane05 11:31 AM GMT en Junio 01, 2009
Anyone up for rain and Tropical Storm Ana? Member Since: Julio 31, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 7929

5. WPBHurricane05 10:51 PM GMT en Junio 03, 2009
bump Member Since: Julio 31, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 7929

6. WPBHurricane05 12:27 AM GMT en Junio 07, 2009
Added a picture of a rainbow. Nother one comin soon. Member Since: Julio 31, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 7929

7. LakeWorthFinn 4:53 AM GMT en Junio 07, 2009
Hello neighbor! Nah, not up for Ana or any other named storms, we're getting enough rain without them. Good to see Lake Okeechobee and Lake Osborne being filled. Member Since: Octubre 6, 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 6963

8. WunderAlertBot (Admin) 11:28 AM GMT en Mayo 21, 2013
WPBHurricane05 has created a new entry.

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