Cyclopsychic research breakthrough proves hurricanes/global warming connection

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:16 PM GMT en Abril 01, 2008

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A stunning new breakthrough in hurricane research has conclusively settled the matter: global warming is making Atlantic hurricanes and tropical storms more frequent. The new research, accepted for publication later this millennium in The Journal of Irreproducible Results, offers incontrovertible proof that global warming has increased Atlantic named storms by 57-67% over the past century. Using the pioneering new techniques of cyclopsychic storm detection and psychomortorodentiatempestology, the researchers, Professors Peter Webcaster and Judith Flurryfury of the Georgia Institute of Technophobia, and Dr. Greg Hallmonitor of the Colorado Association for Research and Modeling of the Atmosphere (CARMA), showed unequivocally that the lack of satellite measurements and aircraft reconnaissance in the early part of the hurricane record led to only a modest undercount of Atlantic tropical storms. Thus, more than half of the observed increase in named storms in the past century can be attributed to global warming.

"It's well-known that the number of Atlantic named storms has risen from 7-9 per year 100 years ago to 14-15 per year during the present active hurricane period that began in 1995," commented Professor Webcaster in an interview today. "Some MEEAT-loving hurricane researchers (Measure Everything, Everywhere, All the Time) have claimed that this rise was not real, since satellites and reconnaissance aircraft were not around to detect storms early in the hurricane record. We've made efforts in the past to quantify the number of 'missed' historical Atlantic storms using estimates of historical shipping traffic density, and computer regression models that compare recent well-observed storm activity to past storm activity. However, these studies have been pooh-poohed by the MEEAT men, who refuse to believe any science that comes out of a model. So, I began thinking about how we could actually go about observing historical Atlantic storms that were 'missed'. I began thinking the problem in a new light after watching my favorite episode of Star Trek: The Next Generation, "Timescape", where subspace entity mistakenly lays her eggs in the warp core singularity of a Romulan warship, creating a temporal anomaly that forces time to flow backwards. This inspired me to think outside the box, and it occurred to me that paranormal methods might offer a way to see back in time and make actual observations of past storms--and offer a technophobic solution to the problem, as encouraged by the charter of my university, the Georgia Institute of Technophobia."



Figure 1. Cyclopsychic observations of "missing" Atlantic tropical storms during the 20th century. All observations were performed by trained cyclopsychic Madame Cyclotropia. Note the significant drop in "missed" storms beginning in the 1940s, corresponding to the advent of aircraft reconnaissance, and in the 1970s, when satellite coverage of the Atlantic Ocean began.

Webcaster teamed with Hallmonitor and Flurryfury to experiment with a variety of paranormal techniques to make actual observations of past "missing" storms, using Ouija Boards, crystal ball gazing, the Magic Eight Ball, and channeling of restless dead spirits. Initial experiments proved discouraging, though, when the researchers attempted to perform the study themselves. "We were feeling depressed about how the research was going, having just stayed up late one Friday night in Greg's lab in Boulder trying to get the dang Magic Eight Ball to say something other than just REPLY HAZY, TRY AGAIN LATER," related Dr. Webcaster. "So, we decided to give up for the night and down a few shots of grape jello spiked with grain alcohol and delve into Greg's extensive collection of Zippy the Pinhead comic books. After a few jello shots and Zippy comics, we got feeling pretty loose, and, Yow! Decided to trek down to Pearl Street to check out the weekend psychic fair. Well, we got to staggering around the tents of the psychic fair, belting out the sorrowful lyrics of our own version of "Somewhere over the rainbow" we made up:

Somewhere, over the ocean
Back in time
Cyclones formed and decayed
Unseen by humankind

Somehow, we'll find out how many
Before we die
But it doesn't look good
'Cause the Magic Eight Ball lies!

Suddenly, we saw a mysterious shadowy figure beckoning to us from the entrance of a nearby tent, which was emblazoned with the words, Madame Cyclotropia: Psychic Readings for Troubled Atmospheric Scientists. 'I can help you find your missing storms', the seer in the shadows croaked, 'for I know much that is hidden. Come into my lair, and I will reveal the key to unlocking the mysteries of storms long past'. Greg and I looked at each other, shrugged, walked in her tent, and the rest is history."

Once in Madame Cyclotropia's tent, the researchers quickly realized that their limited scientific training could not hope to allow them to conduct rigorous paranormal research. Only a true cyclopsychic with "The Gift" could see back into the dim mists of time to divine the existence of heretofore unknown tropical cyclones. Using her cyclopsychic gift, Madame Cyclotropia correctly divined the past tracks of numerous known storms the scientists challenged her with. However, when asked to divine the existence of "missing" Atlantic storms that had not made it into the official database, she prophesied that she would only be able to do so if the scientists would write her into their latest grant proposal. This grant proposal would surely get funded, she predicted. The scientists eagerly agreed, and headed back to the lab to work on the new proposal.

Webcaster, Hallmonitor, and Flurryfury's proposal, titled, "Using a Trained Cyclopsychic to Divine Past Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity", was submitted to the Foundation for Atmospheric Research for Science and Education (FARSE) in early 2007 and accepted later that year. After receiving their grant money, the scientists began spending long nights in Madame Cyclotropia's tent, documenting her revelations from the four primary cyclopsychic techniques: Ouija Board, crystal ball gazing, the Magic Eight Ball, and channeling of restless dead spirits. According to Dr. Hallmonitor, "We were thrilled when the first three techniques we tried all yielded virtually identical results, showing the robustness of our experimental methodology. The three techniques all showed a noticeable drop in the number of "missed" storms in the 1940s, when aircraft reconnaissance became available, and in the 1970s, when satellites coverage began over the Atlantic Ocean. However, when we tried to channel restless dead spirits, we ran into a roadblock. We couldn't find any restless dead spirits with an interest or knowledge of historical Atlantic hurricanes. We happily attributed this to the propensity of dead meteorologists to wind up inside Heaven's Pearly Gates, but were sad that our research would lack this crucial final proof of its validity. We were about to give up when Peter then hit upon the idea of contacting the spirits of groundhogs, who are known for their weather prognosticating ability. Some of these prognosticating rodents might have unfinished business that would keep their restless souls adrift in the ether, available for consultation on weather-related matters. We coined word psychomortorodentiatempestology to describe this exciting new branch of hurricane science, and set off in search of gifted groundhogs spirits with this special skill."



Figure 2. Wee Willy One and Chucky before their departure into the hereafter. Which rodent's spirit would you trust to get accurate weather information from?

Indeed, Madame Cyclotropia was able to contact the spirit of "Wee Willy One", a famed albino groundhog that had once burrowed under the fair gardens of Wiarton, Ontario, and provided weather forecasts each Groundhog's Day up until his death in 2006. Wee Willy One proved to be testy and uncooperative, though, deliberately delivering incorrect storm information. The researchers sought out help from cyclotherapy experts from the Center for Disease Control's Weather Related Illness Division to determine if cyclotherapy might help Wee Willy One overcome his bad attitude. Cyclotherapist Dr. Sandy Chirpchuckle diagnosed Wee Willy One as a cyclopath suffering from rare form of cyclopsychosis. Ordinarily, cyclopsychosis manifests itself only in hurricane scientists and weather enthusiasts during the long, dull months prior to hurricane season. The despondent victims of cyclopsychosis spend long hours in front of flickering computer monitors in dark, gloomy rooms, obsessively poring over maps and statistics of hurricanes long gone by. The victims tend to become highly antisocial but never violent, and can be successfully treated with cycloactive drugs. However, Dr. Chirpchuckle diagnosed Wee Willy One with an extremely rare case of "shadow" cyclopsychosis, brought on by the cyclological trauma being rudely hauled out of his burrow each February 2 so that a bunch of cockamaimie humans could see whether he saw his shadow or not. "Shadow" cyclopsychosis is incurable, both in this world and the hereafter, so Madame Cyclotropia was forced to seek out other groundhog spirits. After months of effort, she finally found the spirit of "Chucky", a friendly groundhog that had once burrowed under the gardens of Nashville, Tennessee. Chucky eagerly provided accurate information on the "missing" Atlantic tropical storms that was precisely in agreement with the data collected from the other cyclopsychic techniques. "We were ecstatic," exclaimed Dr. Hallmonitor. "More jello shots!"

Hurricane experts world-wide are hailing the new findings. "These exciting results conclusively prove that even us blind squirrels can find some nuts," enthused renown hurricane expert, Dr. Kerry Readthemanual of the Massachusetts Institute of Technophobia. Dr. Readthemanual has been a leading proponent of the global warming/Atlantic hurricane link. Even former critics are praising the new findings. Dr. William Graymatter, Professor Über-Emeritus of Colorado State University's Center for Hurricane Observation, Measurement, and Prediction (CHOMP), said in an interview: "I've been in the hurricane business for 113 years, and I know good research when I see it. The findings of Webcaster, Hallmonitor, and Flurryfury are based on solid observational evidence and white magic. There's no black magic involved, such as the use of a computer model, so their results are impregnable."

Dr. Chris Blandsee, Chief Scientist of the Natural Hurricane Center's division of Global Warming Isn't Responsible for the Recent Upswing in Atlantic Hurricane Activity, and Even If It Was, We Wouldn't be Able to Tell, Since the Quality of the Atlantic Hurricane Database is Too Poor to Use for Such Purposes (NHC/GWIRRUAHAEIIWWWATSQAHDTPUSP), has also been critical of past research showing a link between hurricanes and global warming, maintaining that global warming isn't responsible for the recent upswing in Atlantic hurricane activity, and even if it was, we wouldn't be able to tell, since the quality of the Atlantic hurricane database is too poor to use for such purposes. It was his Congressional testimony, along with that of former NHC director Max Minefield, which inspired President Bushwhacker's administration to rename the National Hurricane Center the "Natural Hurricane Center" last year. (This action was also urged by the Government Anagram Accountability Office (GAAO), which found that the letters in "National Hurricane Center" could be rearranged to spell the ominous phrase, "Errant Herculean Inaction"--and also the disturbing, "Teenier Charlatan Unicorn", and the clearly unacceptable, "Inhale Cocaine, Errant Runt!", while the letters in "Natural Hurricane Center" could be rearranged to form phrases much more in harmony with the NHC mission, such as "Natural, Neater, Crunchier.")

Dr. Blandsee grudgingly gave ground in his comments today. "It looks like Webcaster, Hallmonitor, and Flurryfury (and don't try to say her name three times fast) have done some pretty rigorous scientific work," he conceded. "But they've written what is probably the longest and most excruciatingly dull hurricane science paper of all time. All those old storms and their analyzed tracks that they talk about, on and on and on, year by year by year. Ugh! A lot of good trees died to publish that paper. It was even duller than some of my clunkers!"

What's next for the pioneering researchers? "Well, CARMA and the Georgia Institute of Technophobia are collaborating on a grant proposal with Dr. Graymatter and Phil Flossblack of CHOMP to apply cyclopsychic methods in a new way--improvement of seasonal hurricane forecasts," said Dr. Flurryfury. "We've submitted a proposal to FARSE titled, 'Gray Magic: Using Cyclopsychic Methods to Improve Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts'. Lord knows, the forecast busts of the past two hurricane seasons have shown that Flossblack and Dr. Graymatter could use some supernatural help with their predictions."

April Fools!
Meff Jasters

References
Hallmonitor, G.J., and P.J. Webcaster, 2007, "Heightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: natural variability or climate trend?" Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society A 365, Number 1860, 15 November 2007, Pages: 26952716 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2083

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808. Patrap
6:09 PM CDT on April 04, 2008
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
807. hahaguy
6:04 PM EST on April 04, 2008
yup brings back memories
Member Since: Agosto 12, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 2838
806. moonlightcowboy
6:03 PM CDT on April 04, 2008
Photobucket

...Jeanne!



...her storm path!
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805. zoomiami
10:55 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Baha - what year was it that the hurricanes did so much damage to the smaller islands?
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804. BahaHurican
6:49 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
801. Ivansrvivr 6:49 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
Jeanne had just gotten free of Ivans outflow(which chokes off tropical systems in close proximity) when it turned west and began strengthening. Had it strengthened the whole time after moving away from Haiti,easy cat 4 or 5 potential.


Don't forget the damage that long transitioning of Hispaniola did to Jeanne's circulation as well. The mountains on that island basically tore Jeanne apart. If it had spent less time there, Jeanne would have arrived in Bahamian waters with a circulation that would easily have regenerated. The result would have been cat 4 / 5 before it got to the Central Bahamas. Can you say disaster all the way?
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803. Ivansrvivr
10:53 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
dinnertime. BBL!
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802. Ivansrvivr
10:49 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Baha, Ivan caused the temp weakness in the high as it moved Neward over the appalachians pushing the bermuda high eastward temporarily. When Ivan got out of the way the Bermuda high moved right back into place. Right over top of jeanne.
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801. Ivansrvivr
10:40 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Haha, 2 hurricanes cannot get close without interacting (to the detriment of the weaker). Ivan's proximity and strength and size kept Jeanne stationary over haiti for days. It was days that we on the Gulf coast waited for it to arrive, It wasn't till ivan got out of the way that Jeanne moved. Ivan actually kept Jeanne from being a much stronger system. Had Ivan not been there and inhibited Jeanne's strength, Jeanne would have been a monster. Jeanne had just gotten free of Ivans outflow(which chokes off tropical systems in close proximity) when it turned west and began strengthening. Had it strengthened the whole time after moving away from Haiti,easy cat 4 or 5 potential.
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800. BahaHurican
6:39 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
MLC, zoo, it's the COMPANY. Before 05, I was doing this basically by myself. I'm grateful for the opportunity the site provides to share both information and ideas, and to be connected when a TC event is taking place.
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799. moonlightcowboy
5:40 PM CDT on April 04, 2008
Yeah, "Crazy Ivan" with it looping back back around like that - sure was astonishing!
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798. hahaguy
5:37 PM EST on April 04, 2008
thanks for sharing that ivan . i did not know that
Member Since: Agosto 12, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 2838
797. Ivansrvivr
10:37 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
If John Hope was to see WUG he'd be so proud.
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796. BahaHurican
6:31 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
788. hahaguy 6:30 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
when i saw jeane make it s loop and come towards me i was like ah crap


I remember also thinking the forecasters were off their rockers to forecast that loop. . . we were like "oh, it's gone /sigh of relief/ . .. "
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795. zoomiami
10:36 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
MLC - I agree - I can't imagine not having the depth of information this site provides - looking back it feels like we were in the dark - knowing very little about what was happening
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794. Ivansrvivr
10:25 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
17 has been a number floating around as has 15. I dont pay much attention as I don't put much emphasis on total numbers anyways. I worry far more about steering.

Jeanne's path was influenced by Ivan until it made landfall then jeanne actually affected Ivans ghost. Ivan was so large in the Western Carrib that it stalled jeanne out over Haiti. Then as Ivan moved northward, the trough Ivan carved drew Jeanne due north. As Ivan accelerated inland and lost strength the Bermuda high build back westward over the top of Jeanne causing the loop and then westward turn. As Jeanne moved inland and weakened Ivan came around it's backside and followed the path Jeanne carved into the GOM for the 2nd time. All the upwelling from Ivan's 1st time by prevented any major intensification. Ivan and Jeanne were linked almost from the start. Ivan also followed the trough left behind when another low pressure carved a weakness between the Bermuda and Texas high pressure systems. That low was Francis.


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793. zoomiami
10:34 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Yep - need to freshen up the links - have a full house generator need to hook up - replace shutters etc - it will take the first whiff of a storm to really motivate me.
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792. moonlightcowboy
5:31 PM CDT on April 04, 2008
777. Ivansrvivr 4:29 PM CDT on April 04, 2008
I think of it as the "Berkely" of Meteorology.


-- Nicely put, Ivan! Lots of good folks here for sure! And, definitely interesting to catch the variety of input. It really adds to the tropical experience. Although I used to admire folks like John Hope, I can't imagine following the tropics, now, any other way without WU and its members.
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791. zoomiami
10:32 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
I've been reading a little over the past weeks - missed the knock down! Things are good - can't believe its time to start thinking about this again.
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790. KoritheMan
10:32 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
when i saw jeane make it s loop and come towards me i was like ah crap

That's what made Jeanne stand out to me. The unpredictability. When it was looping around in the Atlantic east of Florida, it was anybody's guess what it would actually end up doing. To no one's surprise, Florida got hit with another major hurricane in 2004.
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789. BahaHurican
6:29 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
Hey, Zoo! Good to see u back on the blog . . .

We're trying to get in gear for the new season. We've already had at least one blog fight, (u know, claw sharpening :o) and lots of what we in the Bahamas call "talkin' ole story" about the big one[s] from back when. Plus we are trying to find all our links from last year . . .

How are things with you?
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788. hahaguy
5:29 PM EST on April 04, 2008
when i saw jeane make it s loop and come towards me i was like ah crap. that is like a once in a life time thing making that loop.
Member Since: Agosto 12, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 2838
787. BahaHurican
6:27 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
785. all4hurricanes 6:24 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
All i remember about Jeanne
. ..

I remember being VERY glad that forecast track didn't pan out . . .. lol
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786. zoomiami
10:28 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Hi Baha - long time since I've posted here - been busy watching the snow storms.
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785. all4hurricanes
10:21 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
All i remember about Jeanne was how clueless forecasters were on where it was heading I have a shirt that features hurricanes Jeanne and it says natures eye doesn't blink
Member Since: Marzo 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2374
784. BahaHurican
6:11 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
AWx,

Here are a few links to studies / reports available online. There is more stuff out there; this is what I have saved.

http://www.riskinc.com/Publications/TC_Bibliography_Summary.pdf

http://www.atmos.ucla.edu/~csi/REF/pdfs/hurritemp.pdf

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/lanina/

http://coaps.fsu.edu/papers/regional_effects_hurricane_landfalls/

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/iwtc/BWang4-5.html

There's a lot of reading here, but you may find something useful.
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783. BahaHurican
6:02 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
778. Ivansrvivr 5:31 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
Frances and Jeanne came from 2 different directions. The steering patterns were actually quite different between Francis and Jeanne. (largely affected by Ivan)


Jeanne took a little detour, but actually ended up making US landfall almost exactly where she had been forecast to before she entered Bahamian waters. If memory serves me, the low and upper level circulations split, which is what led to the loop in the path. There must have been a temporary weakness in the high, because I also remember that loop being described at the time as almost a meander, suggesting steering was light.
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782. BahaHurican
5:33 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
774. AWeatherLover 5:04 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
I'm still researching the strong La Nina versus Neutral with cool bias theory. . . However I cannot find any published studies to support this and I have searched several databases. . . So I am wondering if anyone knows of any published or pier reviewed studies supporting the theory that Neutral conditions with a cool bias are more conducive to cyclogenesis than La Nina conditions.


I recently read several studies on correlations between ENSO negative seasons and ATL hurricanes, and at least two suggest that seasons such as you have described are more conducive to storm formation than either strong El Nino or La Nina. I'm going to pull the links and post them here for you.
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781. Patrap
4:33 PM CDT on April 04, 2008
In 2004 ,it was Ivan, then the Ghost of Ivan. Link
Ivan was a Entity for 21 Days
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
780. AWeatherLover
9:30 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Thanks Ivan, andI understand what you are saying. But I am just trying to learn and understand, and I like to see the studies and research in order to do that. It may very well be true, and I'm not doubting that, but I guess I'm just trying to check my sources. I'm not going to stick up for something I can't back up I guess is my point. But thanks for you opinion. I do value those who are willing to share their knowledge with someone less learned, like me.
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779. BahaHurican
5:20 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
658. Ivansrvivr 2:27 AM EDT on April 04, 2008
My guess on numbers of named storms(not as important as many claim) is posted on my blog. I expect avg to slightly above avg. (not 17-20 as many are predicting) I do expect a tendency for more majors and larger sized storms. Steering is the key, though.


Who is calling for 17 - 20 storms??? That seems unrealistic based on any of the information we've seen in the last 4-5 months. I can see a lot of support for a late start, but not for 17+ storms. 12 - 15, yes.
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778. Ivansrvivr
9:29 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Frances and Jeanne came from 2 different directions. The steering patterns were actually quite different between Francis and Jeanne. (largely affected by Ivan)
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777. Ivansrvivr
9:16 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
A.W.L, remember that here the bloggers aren't always bound by traditional thinking. I think of it as being on the "cutting edge" of thought here. Ideas get exchanged unbound by the rules of this group or that think tank. I have found that often that many ideas being exchanged here will be on the news a year from now. We are all free thinking individuals blessed with a good group of experts who share the same info and data that the folks at NOAA and the Hurricane center have access to. I think of it as the "Berkely" of Meteorology. Where free thinkers and new and old ideas get exchanged between everyone from someone just learning the basics of weather to Dr Masters and a few others that have PHD's in multiple areas. We are very thankful to those who share their their valued knowledge with us. That makes us all better forecasters in the long run whether amateur or pro.
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776. BahaHurican
3:41 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
Afternoon everybody.

544. Ivansrvivr 11:40 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Actually the odds of cat 3 conditions hitting any specific location in a given year are extremely low. I'd say less than 2% for Florida. Lower elsewhere. That's why Frances and Jeanne in same location was 1 in million scenario.


Ironically, it isn't. That little stretch near Jupiter Inlet has been hit by two storms in a season before, most notably in 1928, but also in 1933. It seems that if a steering pattern gets set just right, and then lasts for a few weeks in Aug / Sept, this is possible.


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775. Ivansrvivr
9:07 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
We all have our own theories about Enso cycles. ?The older more conventional thought is la Nina favors active seasons, El Nino doesnt. There is a newer school of thought (of which I and many others here belong) that close to neutral conditions either way favor more active tropical seasons. 04 was weak El Nino. 05 was Neutral to weak nina. (two memorable seasons) 06 was stronger El Nino, 07 was very strong la Nina. Any me memorable storms hit the U.S. during those years? Do you remember any storms at all form those 2 yrs. That explains new school of thought regarding ENSO.
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774. AWeatherLover
9:00 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Hurricane23 and MichaelSTL thanks for your help before regarding La Nina. I have sent you both mail inquiring further about this. But I thought I would also post my question on the blog in case anyone else could help me. I'm still researching the strong La Nina versus Neutral with cool bias theory. I've read the information on the Hurricane Alley site regarding their 2007 "Atlantic Tropical Systems Study." (Link) However I cannot find any published studies to support this and I have searched several databases. Also, I can't even find the hurricane alley study published anywhere (peer reviewed or not.) I have asked a friend in the AMS who is also a hurricane forecaster about this (I have to leave out his name) and he disagreed with the website's study. So I am wondering if anyone knows of any published or pier reviewed studies supporting the theory that Neutral conditions with a cool bias are more conducive to cyclogenesis than La Nina conditions. Thanks for any help you can give me about this. I'm just looking to learn.
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773. Altestic
9:00 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
PLUS ONE!
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772. atmoaggie
8:08 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Trinidad weather now_
86 f
62 % Humid.
72 f Dew pt.


That is not at all nice, that is a sauna. I would take 46 over 86 and humid any day of the year. Can put more clothes on. Cannot take enough off for high humidity and temps over 80.
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771. weathermanwannabe
3:56 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
Hey All.......Back for a little while this PM and do not like what is happening over towards MS/AL/LA...My daughter is at a Spring Break Wilderness Camp in Milton, FL (due NE of Pensacola near AL border) through Sun Afternoon....If this even keeps it's intensity during the overnight hours....I'm driving out there tommorow to pull her out.......
Member Since: Agosto 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9330
770. moonlightcowboy
2:29 PM CDT on April 04, 2008
Yes, advised my daughter of severe weather in Jackson - she's in law school and was about to give a presentation in the middle of all that which came through earlier. Power's out in several areas, trees down that she knows of.
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768. stormdude77
3:25 PM AST on April 04, 2008
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 223 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF GROVE HILL... * UNTIL 315 PM CDT * AT 218 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR CHILTON... OR ABOUT 8 MILES WEST OF GROVE HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... PEACOCK BY 230 PM CDT... FULTON...DICKINSON AND RURAL BY 235 PM CDT... ROUNDHILL...SCYRENE AND 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THOMASVILLE BY 240 PM CDT... NETTLEBORO BY 245 PM CDT... THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING...PREFERABLY IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET OR BATHROOM. IF POSSIBLE...GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL OR DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. IF YOU ARE IN MOBILE HOME...EVACUATE IT AND GET ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A NEARBY STURDY BUILDING OR IN AN UNDERGROUND STORM SHELTER. IF NO SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER IS AVAILABLE AND A TORNADO IS FAST APPROACHING... SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW DEPRESSION AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
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767. TerraNova
3:22 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
Wow apparently there was a tornado emergency for central mississippi earlier today...big weather going on.

There's a lot of tornado-capable activity in Alabama right now. 6 tornado warnings...wow.
Member Since: Julio 30, 2007 Posts: 76 Comments: 4063
766. Ivansrvivr
7:02 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
House, Central Florida willl likely miss severe wx but summertime seabreeze type thunderstorms are likely for entire peninsula. Heavy rains and lots of lightning are a good bet.
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765. Ivansrvivr
6:55 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
Post 742. easy way to tell chaff from real radar return during daytime: check visible satellite. Chaff often looks like mid-level precip or long range returns. If it doesnt show at all on visible it's chaff..
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764. stormdude77
2:17 PM AST on April 04, 2008
Good evening!
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763. NEwxguy
6:19 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
sullivan,that makes me feel better,I got you beat by 5 deg. gotta go find my shorts.
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762. pottery
2:12 PM AST on April 04, 2008
Point taken, JER>
Member Since: Octubre 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24653
761. sullivanweather
2:11 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
756. NEwxguy 2:02 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
I hate spring in the northeast


You're telling me...

1.8" of snow this morning and still only 39 degrees.

Monticello Automatic Weather Observing / Reporting
Lat: 41.71 Lon: -74.8 Elev: 1404
Last Update on Apr 4, 1:55 pm EDT


Overcast

39°F
(4°C) Humidity: 93 %
Wind Speed: E 7 MPH
Barometer: 29.77"
Dewpoint: 37°F (3°C)
Wind Chill: 34°F (1°C)
Visibility: 6.00 mi.


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760. NEwxguy
6:08 PM GMT on April 04, 2008
pottery,a little more than a bit nicer.
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759. sebastianjer
2:08 PM EDT on April 04, 2008
Re 710

Well I reckon they ought to just shut this baby down then, lol I guess perhaps some scientist and institutions aren't ready to stop research based on the IPCC reports. Link, Link ,Link as examples. Why the worry about scientist doing experiments? I always thought science was about investigating and research, of course when everything is settled I reckon there is no need to do research. Sad so sad.

JER
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758. pottery
2:01 PM AST on April 04, 2008
Trinidad weather now_
86 f
62 % Humid.
72 f Dew pt.
16 mph wind Easterlt
press. 1014 falling
6 miles vis.

A bit nicer than where you are NEwx.
Member Since: Octubre 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24653

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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