Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:28 PM GMT en Junio 13, 2007 | +3 |
F5: Devastation, Survival, and the Most Violent Tornado Outbreak of the 20th Century tells a story from the world's most violent tornado outbreak on record--the April 4, 1974 Super Outbreak. The Super Outbreak featured the most tornadoes ever recorded in a single day, 148, and also had an unprecedented number of violent F4 and F5 tornadoes--six F5 tornadoes and 24 F4 tornadoes (for comparison, the past five years have had one F5 tornado and 15 F4 tornadoes.)| Permalink | A A A |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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If you made me guess (and you did) I'd say this is where the lowest pressure may be.....
well Koritheman
based on the post from Adrian some of the models are forecasting it to move N and NNW
am I reading that right Adrian?
Yes you are!
leftovers: Category 1 status (weak Cat 1 status) isn't an impossibility, if shear is low when this thing goes into the Gulf. I know one thing. If this thing forms, it's going to be stronger than any 40-50 mph. 60-65 is most likely.
Question is what will the shear be like tomorrow. I noticed on the QuikScat earlier that there are easterly winds in the Carribean and westerlies on the Pacific side.
There are some areas of the GOM with 90 degree waters right now, most areas have SST's around the Mid 80s..
I think that is the ULL...
Hang in there and keep predicting!! It works well to have several different Points of view on a subject.. Great work Everyone!!
From reading some of the Florida discussions earlier this afternoon...high pressure is suppose to build in over peninsula Florida by Sunday...should help force it north...then a trough from out west inTexas, is suppose to move east...should move it toward the northern GOM.
by Sunday??? isn't that a bit late?
Can anybody tell me why I can't view any loops on the NOAA sight? Suddenly started yesterday not letting me.
Posted By: IKE at 12:56 AM GMT on June 15, 2007.
From reading some of the Florida discussions earlier this afternoon...high pressure is suppose to build in over peninsula Florida by Sunday...should help force it north...then a trough from out west inTexas, is suppose to move east...should move it toward the northern GOM.
by Sunday??? isn't that a bit late?
Depends on how fast it's moving...it's already almost Friday.
i think we could see a cat 5 hurricane with a 882mb by tommorow afternoon
Jeez. It's just a mass of clouds so far. I know you're teasing, but....
here is one
more models
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