Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

actually nevermind, I just looked at it and it is no longer in the forecast, there was something huge there last night

COCKTAIL TIME. Cocktails and storm watching. It doesn't get any nice than this.

The GFS shows the possible first Pacific storm on the 17th

lol very true JFLORIDA

lol "MySpace Happy Weather Utopias" thats funny stuff right there

Well, still not much convection, but the dry air does not look like it is making it in to the center anymore. Now lets see if it can build some convection around the center.

Anywho, I am off to roll a few games. See y'all soon. Don't let the little low run off ☺

Quick Links-models, imagery, wind data, and more.

Backing up a little....

Sorry Story, I get your point about palgerism, but it is still nice to have a source, from a viewers point. And as you know, we have had issues with that sort of thing before. Not that you intended it that way though.

There is no way thunderstorms are going to get around the center. Way too much dry air, not enough time.

RL, I don't think dry air is around the center anymore. It looks like it has cut it off now imho. Still lacks deep convection and has lots of dry air around the system, but the moisture has been on the increase around the center all day.

yeah i agree, definitely will make a point to cite from now on so I dont come off in a way im not intending

like how small can a watch boxs get? i nevere seen a watch box this small it is vary small

thiz look how cute this watch box is i nevere seen one this small be for

lol thats funny, Taz, we're talkin pinpoint weather prediction here

Good deal Story and thanks. Sorry I did not get back to you sooner.

Off to bowl! See ya in a bit.

Posted By: StoryOfTheCane at 2:15 PM PDT on May 07, 2007.

lol thats funny, Taz, we're talkin pinpoint weather prediction here


so what

its all gravy, good luck

You can see the light shaded box. It was just a computer error.

But the light shaded box isnt even that big.

lol well they've accomplished that ten fold, that could be the smallest watch area ive ever seen. they put it so far ahead of the approaching storm too....AND now its gone...AND now its back and bigger

Posted By: Michael at 9:21 PM GMT on May 07, 2007.
Ladies and gentlemen, that is a pre sign of mass destruction in the Gulf later in the year.


Michael, dont be a crazycaster now, come back over to the other side...

just dont be so graphic with your comments so we can avoid hectic rage in here

say something like, "it could be an ominous sign of potential gulf landfalls", or something along those lines

How are a few high altitude clouds across the GOM that are apart of an extra-tropical low off of the east coast a sign of upcoming mass destruction in the Gulf of Mexico?

i personally think the East Coast is going to see more action than the Gulf Coast this year, but this storm has nothing to do with that assumption.

we're more than likely going to see a lot of Western Gulf and East Coast landfalls, but thats just my guess dont put too much clout into it

Link Cape Hatteras buoy

Heres the NWS radar wind velocity from the Greensburg twister.

it is definitely gaining a little convection but not near enough

look at the wave height on the buoy!

I notice the dry air on that WV image has stopped wrapping into the center,storyofthecane.

yep, the center has definitely closed itself off but its still very dry all around it and I dont see that changing too soon. I think we would have to see this thing go a couple hundred miles further East to be a threat

Story - seems like it is getting over a 'sweet spot' of the Gulf Stream and might have warm enough water to develop. What do you think?

WOW! One thing I just noticed...check how the smoke REALLY starts blowing up in the Okeefenokee ---> http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html

Its starting to look alot better. Lets see how it looks in the morning.

hey ive seen crazier things happen but Im not so sure about that at this point in time, i dont think it has enough continental seperation. If it stays stationary for awhile it may be able to muster the energy so it is still worth watching nonetheless

Thats crazy rxse. You can really see the smoke.

Posted By: StoryOfTheCane at 9:43 PM GMT on May 07, 2007.

yep, the center has definitely closed itself off but its still very dry all around it and I dont see that changing too soon. I think we would have to see this thing go a couple hundred miles further East to be a threat

Look,maybe I need to reiterate here.I do not think this will be a threat to anyone more than it already is.I think at most it will be an STS.Just so you know,I'm not being a wishcaster here.

sorry kris didnt mean to seem like i was implicating you were, i meant threat as becoming a named storm and didnt mean for it to have any reference to you whatsoever

ok,no problem.

Hello y'all!

the Visible Caribbean Loop is definitely showing added cloud cover in areas of dry air to the south of the circulation. The closer it gets to Florida the less likely it will become Andrea, but right now it appears to be pulling in moisture

Hello 1900!

What's everyone's thoughts on the Bermuda High this year? With the way thing have been turning out so far this year (especally the dryness of the Southeast), I think the High will be stronger this year than average. But, that is just one person's guess...

I think the location of the High right now is about the weakest it will get all season

Floater 4 says "Test Floater- Subtropical System"

so it is a STS

Link