Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Very interesting and a good idea. I feel better having mine. Not that you should totally rely on it but.... in the middle of night I'm hoping it will blast me if needed!

Nice report. Thank you Indiana for paving the way. I soon hope to see all states in the alley adopt this measure. And if opponents of this plan squabble about prices, then they desrve to have their insurance premiums skyrocket.

A last try on the surface map

I guess the site was updating while I was trying to load. Big high all the way across the ATL, much like 2004 set up.

Also, the 8:05 discussion referes to a 1008 mb low over N Colombia near 10N94W. I guess that should read 74W.

Perhaps the low is responsible for the showers in the S Caribbean this morning

many mobile home owners will simply turn off their weather radios because they are sick of hearing the regular tests?

answer: those that are running for the darwin award

Very interesting and a good idea.This will really help!!

I have an older NOAA radio and turned the alarm function off since it would go off for all sorts of warnings, most of which were not in my immediate area. Can you select what type of warning on the newer radios?

on the newer radios u can only program it to your specific area with SAME

The blob is getting a little better organized today...even got a mention from the NHC in the discussion.

TO Chessrascal

what is "SAME"?

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the infared and quickscat for that blob in the SW Carribean

SAME i forget what it stands for but it is where u can program the alarm to only go off for your specific county insted of the whole broadcast area

hope that helps some

the winds are picking up on the Quickscat but i still dont see a circulation

u can turn it on Tone Voice or Lights

We can refer to it as Blob 01L

:)

the winds are picking up on the Quickscat but i still dont see a circulation

It has a nice round shape though...

i have mine on Voice except for the day of the test.

PS:This map does not update it self!!

Thank you Dr Masters. I would like to see it manditory for everyone living in storm prone areas to own one and have it part of your household insurance policy to have it. Too many lives are being lost because of little or no warning of impending and potentially dangerous weather. Its better to suffer through a false alarm than it is to lose a loved one. I would also like to see all churches, and public buildings have one as well. When new public facilities are being built, they should have some kind of shelter included in their plans especially in high danger zones.

The object of alert radios is to save lives, lets make sure we have a place of shelter to go to after the warning. Trailer parks are not set up as yet but that should be a priority of the owner of these parks to make sure there is a place of safety since living in trailers is becoming more and more common now especially in areas hit by Katrina.

If federal money is available, then by all means, do it and do it soon...Saving lives is the biggest priority one should consider.

Heres the infrared loop

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html

You can see the northern clouds are starting to get sheared from W to E.

we will have to just wait and see if it can pull itself together but it does look a lot better than it did last evening then it was looking kind of sickly. :)

Link

Heres the infrared loop

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html

You can see the northern clouds are starting to get sheared from W to E.


heres a link

Shear is only 20-25K,thats not high!!

i agree it is definetly getting a lot of shear

i doubt it will make it but it is still fun to watch

Actually, 25-30 knots of shear IS high. Too high for development of that blob. It's still just a sustained region of vertical motion, which the waters near Panama are known for generating. Only 1 out of every 20 of those actually develop, and somehow I don't think one of those is this one.

Your right, it 25 knots shear (which is already high), but its drifting closer to the 35 knots area.

SSTs are some what favorable....Link

Yes Levi,we are just blob watching...LOL

Lol...yes I know. I do that a lot too :) Just don't let the so called "blob" start controlling your minds.......LOL. I'm kidding

If only the blob could cross thru the Panama canal, then it would have a chance.

lol the blob is firing back up and it looks gooid

That's true RL3AO it would have better chances in the Pacific. However when the waters near Panama (I forget the name of that bay) generate an area of convection it usually likes to hold on to its property lol.

Just don't let the so called "blob" start controlling your minds.......LOL. I'm kidding

Jeez,and it's only April....LOL

Jeez,and it's only April....LOL

That's exactly my point! LOL

Drakoen that blob ever looked good before now...LOL

Go west blob not north. You have a no shear zone 200 miles west!

hmm. looks like the low is around columbia is it on or of shore?
oh yea and the shear needs to come down to at least 5-10 mph and that being extremely opimistic.

chessrascal

I live in Hillsborough County, FL and during the summer thunderstorm season that thing would be sounding off just too many times. At least now I could tune it just to my county which is better than the entire forecast area of Tampa Bay.

How much lows do you see???LOL

LinkLink

the low is over columbia that blob has even lesser of a chance. and you can see the dry air in the water vapor imagery showing the shear.

My Mom asked me that question. Where would I go? She is in a Mobile Home and thats what she asked me when I got her a Weather Radio. I told her get outside and get in the ditch! She is 81. You could imagine the look on her face.

the GFS model is predicting about 3 systems one in the pacific and two in the atlantic near the bahamas. the other one is near panama.

Drakoen you have mail...

the gfs is also predicitng low shear values for the area that it has developing.

Actually Drakoen, the GFS is forecasting higher shear than what it initialized with. In fact there's some initialization error, because the GFS has shear values currently at 10 knots or lower over the western Caribbean, which is obviously not the case.

I have to go now guys. Later everyone!

still the GFS is showing development in the frist week of MAY