Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

thelmores - click on "education" above and then follow all sorts of other links Wunderground provides.

What's up JP!

Good to see ya thel! Whats this debate about?

TCW works better anyway Pulse ;) lol. Good to see ya.

weird that despite la nina, the tropical north pacific is still above average. does that mean another active e-pac season, or will la nina inhibit that?

Yeah, being referred to as PP got old real quick, lol.

I did like the name though TCW...

What's up JF and Inyo?

I think it may have something to do with the rapid transition cool to warm and back to cool again. I woulden't think the oceans would have a chance to equalize. Just my opinion but, I think it will be a late start this year. With lingering effects of El Nino.

That is also Why I think we didn't see the typical El Nino winter this year in certain areas. Mainly the West Coast.

the loop eddy in the gulf is doing a un oh thing and it this off of FL oh one more thing we now have a loop eddy in the Carribean




ok that commet got lost lol


whats go for 800 commets

How quickly does the loop current shift in position? Like... Can we expect the current eddies and things of that nature to be near their current positions in the next 3 months?

story - that blob is getting interesting looking. Think it will go west into Costa Rica or lift north?

GOM Loop current 60 Hour Forecast from the LSU site..Link

Do you have evidence either way?? Didn't think so!

I offered an olive branch earlier, but I guess it was passed over.....

hey, i don't have any hostile intentions towards you, and i agree with your conclusions that we should reduce co2 emissions regardless of if it affects the climate. I just don't agree with the mars analogy.

Nice link Pat!

717

Hi all

With all this talk of blobs and the loop current June 1st can't be far away !! LOL

Right Islander, June first means there will be a storm! I mean that is how it works since it is the beginning of the season? Right....

lol, good to see you.

Hello all!

My blog has to southern caribbean blob....what are the chances.LOL

hey there storm

Hard to believe that it is almost that time of year again. Water temps in the W Caribbean are already near 83 F.

The " winter " months in the Caymans have been strange with very strong winds out of the NE from Dec all the way to the end of March. We have not seen this pattern for as long as I can remember.

Don't know if it means anything for the upcoming season but the winds have only relaxed in the last week or so. Still hot, dry and dusty. No rain expected until mid May.

ryang

chances of what, raining in Costa Rica or Panama? lol

The GFS has a storm in the gulf in 10 dats....UNBELIEVABLE!

Kman lol

90L is a great possibility now

JP

Navy site not down for me

Link

yeah Doc, I think the blob will head North. As for if it goes inland or not on the way we'll have to see

can someone tell me how to read the map that Taz posted at the top? Is it signifying surface circulation or wind speeds?

Could be N as a rain maker for the Caymans
We sure need it. Been like a desert here since last Nov save for the odd shower or two



Link

you mean this map?

yeah

story

are u referring to the loop current map ?

looks like the S Caribbean blob isnt taking a liking to the 30knots of shear

it shows you where the loop eddy are and there 2 loop eddy we need to watch

if I had to guess Id say its circulation

the map is showing the speed and location of the loop current. later on it may show a cut off eddy. these can be particularly dangerous as a hurricane passing over an eddy can ramp up in intensuty very quickly. I believe katrina passed over an eddy before landfall.

you mean the loop current?

why do we need to watch it if there is no storm present?

story

here is a good discussion on the loop current

Link

so if something was on the verge of development a loopu current/eddie would set it over the top? Doesnt cause development or anything like that? Thx for the link.

The southern caribbean blob has a 0.2 chance of developing...Link

hey if theres a will theres a way lol

It's looks really good though...Link

yeah, the shear to the north is going to make it so that blob stays dormant

It looks like Dr. Masters touched on a nerve with Global Warming. What if fossil fuels don't contribute to Global Warming. Wouldn't it be a good idea to try & ween ourselves off of fossil fuels because it pollutes the air? Besides that, we are too dependent on foreign oil. Wouldn't it be nice to be able to bomb Iran & not have to worry about the price of Crude going through the roof?

There will probably be sharp differences in opinion during the next 20-30 years until the data becomes more clear. You know, with fluctuations in natural cycles etc.

I am glad for the GW hype whether or not it is true because it is forcing our hand to produce cleaner ways to produce energy. I would like to see automobiles run on electricity produced by nuclear, solar, & wind as opposed to burning gasoline & coal.

The GW hype will make us energy independent with cleaner air as a by-product. This won't happen overnight. There is a lot of research funds going towards renewable energy & this is great. We are heading in the right direction but it is taking a lot longer than what we want it to.

The loop current becomes is important during the season because a storm passing over either the current itself or an eddy that has seperated from it can intensify quite rapidly. You will see from the link I posted that the reason for this is that the current or the eddy provides very warm water deep below the surface which not only neutralises the effect of "upwelling" and allows a system to continue strenghtening but provides a boost to the system by supplying very water for it to pass over

ahh interesting, you think it will have any effect on the the S Caribbean blob?