Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Here it is
Link

is it not from twc anymore?

I dont know.

I occasionally come to Jeff Masters' blog. I would like to read intelligent discussion about upcoming storms. Unfortunately, that type of posting is intermixed with childish name calling and "let's go to my blog to get away from so and so" silliness.

There are several immature young boys posting on here. And it is you whom I am addressing. It is nice that you are focussing on weather instead of something distasteful, but the arguing reminds me of myself at 8. Don't you get it? If you don't like a post, ignore the poster. Probably what you will do with this one.
Hurricane King, quit trying to get people to focus on you all the time. Grow Up and quit with the Hello garbage. This is an adult site and if you can't act like adults even though you are just teenagers, then go find a teen chatboard somewhere. Stormtop, Jedkins, Cosmic Events, Alec, and Outrocket -(you are old enough to know better)(congrats on quiting smoking - wise decision), I am talking to you too. Punkasshans, you too, and that name really ought to be disallowed. None of you post consistently argumentative or innappropriate dialogs, but there are plenty of that type in here.
The several other users I am usually in contact with have decided not to follow these threads so believe me when I say I am NOT alone in these thoughts. This discussion should be better than this. Come on, boys!

in 2003 it was made by twc and free but, not as good. the 2003 version is good though its just it takes alot of maintnence cause i have to update all the coordinates

thanks hurricane king

Youno what if you dont want me here I'll leave.

Oh bth WunderYakuza said to go to your own blog to talk about other things.

now goodbye until you do whats in tahaat email.

Can anyone tell how far/up down this Ridge may go?

whirlwind - this isn't exactly what you're looking for, it's worth a look - http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html scroll down to - Cool Image(s) of the Week - there are montages of Dennis and Emily and hurricanes of 2004...

Stormtrax....I'm probably 3 times your age. I only wish I was a teenager. Your post is ironic. It has nothing to do with the weather. Please come join us with your friends when or they you have something to add weather wise. Otherwise, we're doing fine without you.

and with taht I come back with very nasty thoughts to you Stormtrax.

make that that.

Thank you for proving my point.

And with that I leave you.

Does everyone think that IRENE will hot N.C.? Or are there some tother thoughts? I think that this storm has been so unpredictable that she is or might be anyones storm at this point since she decided not to hit the weakness.

I already know Stormtop..
But people in Florida Remember andrew hitting and only getting approx. 2 days notice.

I dunno.. is N.C hot?? ;)

i gonna check those links out buddy. Wish I can find a site with historic track images...dang

maybe a spell checker should be included in the next software update.. just a thougt

That's a good idea, whirlwind. There are a lot of misspelled words thrown around here. I started a thread about Wunderwishs a few minutes ago. This is a good addition.

An Exclusive Irene Update:


Little change in Tropical Depression Irene This Evening

Issued: 9:15 PM Tuesday, August 9, 2005

At 9PM CDT, the ill-defined center of Tropical Depression Irene will be near 22.7N/55.4W or about 870 miles southeast of Bermuda. Movement is to the west-northwest at about 9 mph. Central pressure is estimated to be 1009 millibars, or 29.80 inches. Maximum winds are estimated to be 25-35 mph.


Satellite imagery shows the depression has only a few small clusters of storms located to the southeast and south of a rather broad and ill-defined center this evening. Though the depression is moving into a region of diminishing wind shear, there has been little change in strength. Outflow aloft is marginal. Thunderstorms could increase near the center on Wednesday and we have indicated that the depression will regain tropical storm strength late Wednesday. Wind shear aloft is forecast to remain fairly low through the end of the week along the track of Irene, so we are indicating some gradual strengthening over the next 3 to 5 days, though at this time it appears Irene will remain below hurricane strength.


Our forecast track hasn't changed much and is in line with most of the dynamic model guidance which contunues to move Irene west-northwestward to a location southwest of Bermuda in 5 days. Of course, this track is based upon some relaxation of the wind shear that has been hindering Irene's development. If Irene remains a sheared depression or a tropical wave, then it would likely track farther northwestward, perhaps along the right edge of the yellow probability cone above. However, if Irene does strengthen significantly, it could track more westerly closer to the south side of the probability cone. Overall, confidence in the forecast track remains low, primarily due to uncertainties in Irene's intensity over the next 5 days.


The next advisory will be issued by 8 AM CDT Wednesday.


Mark Mathiesen
� 2005 ImpactWeather, Inc. / All rights reserved.

whirlwind - i put a site in for you at 1:32 a.m. GMT - if you haven't looked yet-it might help you out

Oh boy...a little too much wine tonite.....I didn't catch that one right away.......
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TOP or TRAX......2 STORMS....same name.
.
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top/trax.....the cyclone is a while away...if it hits land or not. Please take my advice and take the opportunity to see a psychiatrist.

K8e1,
I have a personnal story of humor and tragity from Emily, It was in 1985, and is a retired name, I think. I can share at a different blog if you would like.

Randyman.....I don't understand. It seems like the NHC and Steve Gergory's post here have been saying that a sheared smaller storm has a greater chance of going more west than north. Now this update you post says something different. Please explain....and if you don't mind give your qualifications, if any. Personally I have none, formally.

The storm has a chance at florida understand this that this ridge will likely be quite strong and depending on how strong is where this thing will go.

who the heck is stormtrax? he seems to make quite a stir on here.

The next punk like stormtop but worse and stormtop has lightened up a bit lately anyway.

Yeah. i kinda humbled stormtop a little. :)

Hawkeyewx, I think you were the first to flag the ECMWF forecast and suggest it as a possibility for Irene's track, and lo and behold, on the 11pm post by the NHC tonight I see they are acknowledging the viability of the ECMWF forecast. Good call.

Well, overnight Irene looked awful but looks much better all of a sudden this morning. The visible loop appears to show a closed circulation and the outflow is significantly improved.

More of the models are now shifting to a possible east coast landfall. However, these models, including the ECMWF which has been suggesting a westward track toward the US for a couple days now, are suggesting the potential for Irene to make a wnw run at the Carolinas but then take a hard right somewhere near the coast. In that scenario it could either make it far enough west to move over the coast or it could quickly turn out to sea right before reaching the coast. Should be interesting.

If it doesn't turn NE quick enough, it may miss the Carolinas but make landfall further up the coast. With warm water all the way to fuel it.

it looks as though its heading more wnw and w this morning. could just look that way do to the reorganization. it'll be interesting to see if and where the center of circulation will be officially relocated later this afternoon. could determine a much better confidence in a possible track forecast.

sorry....i meant to say more wnw than west this morning.

looks like florida will be out of the woods on this one.

I agree that while there is some question due to reorganization, Irene appears to be moving more wnw now instead of due west.

hawk, check out the latest low-mid level winds right now, Link and the previous 3 hours Link. being the weaker storm it is right now, it's more influenced by the low and mid level winds. this could be responsible for the slight curve nw very early this morning. however, you can see in the very recent IR images, that the convection is concentrated on the sw and moving se. almost suggesting that it could be following these low and mid level currents back on a more west, and even sw track over the next several hours. it'll be interesting to see what happens.

if i'm wrong about what i'm seeing in these images....someone please correct me.

I think the storm looks stronger rather than weaker as the NHC says. It looks to me like there is a circulation. Just have to wait for the 11am. . unless its already out.