Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Gamma Position Adjusted

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 10:20 PM GMT en Noviembre 19, 2005

Just a reminder, this is Shaun, not Dr. Masters.

Gamma Update

Well, some new developments have transpired since my last update. A hurricane hunter that investigated Gamma found that the center of the storm was considerably farther southeast than originally thought. You can see the storm center on the visible satellite loop spinning just north of the Honduras coast. While looking at this loop, you can see a very slight eastward movement which is expected to be short-lived.
The storm center is exposed to the south with the main convection field still observed well north of the center, which has a minimum low pressure of 1004 mb. Flight level winds were reported at 49 knots, with an initial intensity of 40 knots. The storm's convection also remains unorganized.
Gamma is faced with some obstacles with regards to intensification. Wind shear is still considerably strong over the system (20-30 kt of southwesterly vertical shear) and this value is expected to increase even more. This by itself should be enough to inhibit any significant strengthening. Secondly, the ridge of high pressure to the system's north is expected to weaken, allowing a trough and low pressure system to develop over the eastern United States. This should turn northeast and again hamper any significant intensification.
Models have once again trended more to the east and south and this is again reflected in the official NHC forecast track, which now takes it across central Cuba and well south of Florida towards the southern Bahamas. This track follows the GFDL closely with regards to position. The GFS loops a weak Gamma through the northwest Caribbean south of Cuba while the BAM takes the storm just south of Florida.
Also, the storm created landslides in Honduras today and claimed the lives of two people.

Figure 1. Most recent computer models for Gamma.

Figure 2. Official NHC forecast track taking Gamma even farther south that previous forecasts.

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101. dcw 6:53 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
"billsfaninsofla if you are think of movie out of FL come to CA i think you may like it more in ca then where you are at now and ca do not get hurricane this big winter storm and and hot summer an some time nic weather to and cold weather so come on out to ca" Apparently, it also lacks grammar classes. Could you at least run a spellcheck before you post?

102. willtell 7:10 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
dcw, leave Zeta in peace, he's a nice kid. What makes you think your superior to him? Your spelling? Give us a break!

103. dcw 7:26 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
I don't think I'm superior to him...I'd like to be able to read his posts. It really isn't too much to ask that he follow the rules of the english language.

104. willtell 7:38 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
Do you know how old he is? I do, and can tell you it IS too much to ask, and also very cruel

105. dcw 7:42 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
How old is he? I don't know many people capable of typing who are not also capable of legible posts. Now, on Gamma: it's gone. The recon found 35kt flight-level and the convection is dissipating. I'm keepin it a depression for now, but I think it'll dissipate within 12-24 hours.

106. willtell 7:53 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
dcw, he's very young and thus obviously talented. Apparently, it also lacks grammar classes I and can give you a quick lesson: the word "it" is not used for people, but things. Zeta is not an "it". Good night, no sense in talkimng to someone who has an imperative need to always be right...

107. DaAntiCyclone 8:33 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
dcw, you have mail.

108. willtell 8:39 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
Gamma has done the "wrong-way" Lenny trick

109. Fshhead 8:42 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
wow, funny when storm threatening there does not seem to be fightin' but, as soon as we in the clear here we goooooooooo Cant we all just get along.................. Member Since: Noviembre 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960

110. StormDrain 8:43 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
Uh-oh, Banana slugs. Member Since: Octubre 9, 2005 Posts: 13 Comments: 495

111. Fshhead 8:44 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
man I just saw latest track & just gotta say very releived. Hope this is finally it for this season!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Member Since: Noviembre 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960

112. Fshhead 8:46 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
yo dcw wasn't I talkin to u today about the global warming?? Member Since: Noviembre 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960

113. willtell 8:54 AM GMT en Noviembre 20, 2005
new blog up

114. weatherwannabe 8:09 AM GMT en Noviembre 24, 2005
happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy THANKSGIVING EVERYONE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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