U.S. experiences warmest 12-month period on record
The past twelve months were the warmest twelve months in U.S. history, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) on Tuesday, in their monthly "State of the Climate" report. Temperatures in the contiguous U.S. during May 2011 - April 2012 broke the previous record for warmest 12-month period, set November 1999 - October 2000, by 0.1°F. The past twelve months have featured America's 2nd warmest summer, 4th warmest winter, and warmest March on record. Twenty-two states were record warm for the 12-month period, and an additional nineteen states were top ten warm. NOAA said that the January - April 2012 period was also the warmest January - April period since record keeping began in 1895. The average temperature of 45.4°F during January - April 2012 was 5.4°F above the 20th century average for the period, and smashed the previous record set in 2006 by an unusually large margin--1.6°F.
Figure 1. The ten warmest 12-month periods in the contiguous U.S. since record keeping began in 1895. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
Figure 2. The average temperature of 45.4°F during January - April 2012 was the warmest on record: 5.4°F above the 20th century average for the period, and was 1.6°F above the previous record set in 2006. January - April temperatures have been rising at about 1.9°F per century since 1895. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
April 2012: 3rd warmest on record
April 2012 was the third warmest April in the contiguous U.S. since record keeping began in 1895. Ten states had a top-ten warmest April, and no states were cooler than average. But what's really remarkable about April was that eight states--Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia--had average April temperatures cooler than their March temperatures, even though their April temperatures were still above the long-term average for the month. These statistics show just how remarkably warm March 2012 was. Most extreme was Illinois, where April 2012 temperatures ranked in the top 20% for warmest Aprils, yet were cooler than March 2012 temperatures.
Figure 3. Temperature rankings for April 2012 in the Contiguous U.S. Ten states had a top-ten warmest April, and no states were cooler than average. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
Figure 4. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - April shows that 2012 had the most extreme weather on record.
Most extreme January - April on record
NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), an index that tracks the highest 10 percent and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, was 42% during the January-April period, over twice the average value, and the greatest on record. Remarkably, 82% of the contiguous U.S. had maximum temperatures that were in the warmest 10% historically, and 68% had warm minimum temperatures in the top 10%, with records going back to 1910. The previous records were 56% (2000) and 57% (1992) for maximum and minimum temperatures, respectively. The percentage area of the U.S. experiencing top-10% drought conditions during January - April was 19%, which was the 17th greatest since 1910. Extremes in precipitation as computed by the CEI were near average for the January - April period.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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When you make $3700 per year, you're not gonna spend it on a computer.
I am really sad to say this, only 6.1% of people in India know about basic knowledge of computer.
6.1% of a population of 1,205,073,612 is 73,509,490 people. Surely many of those people are interested in the events occurring in the rest of the World. And are willing to share gossip&opinions with their non-using friends&acquaintances.
While many of the ~300,000,000 Americans use the computer, I doubt that 6.1% could honestly claim to have a basic knowledge of their own computers.
(Earnestly proclaim is another matter altogether: the least knowledgeable often have an extremely overinflated sense of their actual level of expertise.)
When one lives in truly perilous economic circumstances, one is willing to give up an awful LOT to better the future of their children... even if it means sacrificing improvements in one's own life.
Besides, Americans can buy pretty good used computers for cheap through eBay, Craig'sList, etc. There are undoubtedly a lot of techie avant garde in India as well as in the FirstWorld. And those who wanna run on the bleeding-edge often sell their equipment as frequently as feasible... or often just give it away if they can afford it.
The FirstWorld itself has many projects and businesses that send used computers to the ThirdWorld and NewlyIndustrializedNations. Some working machines as charitable contributions, and some as scrap. Betcha some Indian sparks* have always been willing to invest their time&money into buying, cannibalizing, then rebuilding the scraps into serviceable computers for fun and especially profit.
Indian scientists as well as Indian entrepreneurs have pushed the limits on truly inexpensive new computers. $46 is fairly affordable to the lower-middle-class of impoverished ThirdWorld nations. As a NIN, as a BRIC^, India should have folks in the lower-than-middle-class who would be willing to buy at those kind of prices.
The Indian government knows how incredibly well most of their emigrants do in the FirstWorld, and elsewhere for that matter. They expect that those who didn't leave the country would do just as well if given the opportunity. And Indians know which side of the bread gets buttered, the educated side.
* Check out Girl Genius for the meaning of the word.
^ Brazil, Russian, India, and China: NINs and former economic basketcases that are now experiencing the fastest national economic growth rates.
Yeah, you're right about that
Same to you pedley
Well, it was nice knowing you, Aussie.
I don't under stand exactly what you're saying. You think this is our first wave of the season? Or this is our second...
Just read your comment over. Personally this I either our first tw or second. There was a nice one that emerged may 5.
My opinion:
Big, bold and flashy, the new format looks like something out of USAToday.
Neither official, nor business-like, the proposed visual component does not inspire confidence in the forecast, nor indicate the professionalism of the NWS and its scientists.
The page should be informative and clear, not broken into many visually-intersecting and competing areas that require the eye to roam the page in search of information.
How many different font sizes is enough?
And where is the local map with indicators of my location, latitude and longitude?
Note: It's also extremely disturbing that the NWS is paying a 'professional designer' to create the new format, that the artist has come up with a proposed page so very dysfunctional, and the NWS is considering using the design at all, under any circumstances. An unmitigated failure.
I travel a couple of months most years, mostly in less developed countries.
People are much better informed than most Americans seem to realize. Newspapers are widely read, most folks have a TV or radio. People spend time talking with each other and share information.
While owning a computer is not affordable to many, internet shops are. It's common to see students paying by the hour to use computers and even business people on line dealing with business issues. All around most towns/cities are internet shops with lots of computers available for $1/hour or less.
In the last three or so years I've been in Thailand, Nepal, India, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia and Ecuador. I can assure you that in each of those countries it's easy to find people who understand what is happening to the planet.
About ten years ago I was in Pokara, Nepal when, for the first time in human memory the snow melted off the surrounding mountains. It was the talk of the town. People talked about how never had their grandparents seen the mountains bare, nor had they ever heard of it happening generations before.
205 PM EDT SAT MAY 15 2011
THE FIRST TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED IN THE EASTERN
TROPICAL ATLC EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ ...OFF THE COASTAL WATERS OF
NE BRAZIL WITH AXIS ANALYZED FROM 7N38W TO 2N42W. THE WAVE IS
DRIFTING WEST AT ABOUT 5 KT. THIS WAVE SHOWS UP WELL AS A LOW
AMPLITUDE MOISTURE SURGE ON TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGE AND
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS...AND HAS GOOD CONTINUITY ON SATELLITE
DATA WITH THE WAVE EMERGING FROM WEST AFRICA ON MAY 12. THE MOST
RECENT WINDSAT PASS REVEALS THIS WAVE LACKS OF CYCLONIC
CURVATURE...WITH NE WINDS UP TO 20 KT SURROUNDING THE WAVE AXIS.
VERY WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE
EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ.
205 PM EDT THU MAY 06 2010
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 34W FROM 1N-9N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
UPPER-AIR TIME SECTION ANALYSES INDICATE THE WAVE PASSED DAKAR
SENEGAL AROUND 02/1200 UTC. EXAMINING THE HOVMOLLER DIAGRAM OF
METEOSAT-9 SATELLITE IMAGERY ACROSS THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLC
CONFIRMS PROPAGATION OF THE WAVE LARGELY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
ITCZ AXIS THAT HAS REMAINED LOW-LATITUDE SINCE EMERGING OFF OF
WEST AFRICA A FEW DAYS AGO. AN EARLIER MORNING ASCAT PASS AROUND
05/1210 UTC CAPTURED 15-20 KT RETRIEVALS N OF 4N IN THE VICINITY
OF THE WAVE AXIS AND ALSO CONFIRMED THE APPROXIMATE POSITION OF
THE WAVE. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR THE WAVE ARE
ELEVATED WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 130 NM W OF
THE WAVE AXIS FROM 5N-8N.
205 PM EDT WED MAY 13 2009
THE FIRST ANALYZED TROPICAL WAVE OF 2009 HAS BEEN ADDED TO THE
13/1200 UTC MAP ALONG 17W/18W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. RECENT
TIME-HEIGHT ANALYSES FROM BAMAKO INDICATE MEAN SFC-650 MB WINDS
VEERED FROM NE TO SE IN CONJUNCTION WITH AN ORGANIZED AREA OF
DEEP MOIST CONVECTION THAT MOVED OFF THE AFRICAN COAST DURING
THE LAST DAY. THIS WIND SHIFT AT BAMAKO OCCURRED ON MAY 12 2009.
TIME-HEIGHT ANALYSES FROM BAMAKO ALSO INDICATE LOW-TO-MID LEVEL
MOISTURE MAXIMIZED AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE.
ALSO...THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE MAXIMUM AS INDICATED IN THE MIMIC TPW PRODUCT FROM
CIMSS. METSAT-9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED
LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING...THOUGH RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT CURVATURE VORTICITY HAS DIMINISHED NEAR THE WAVE
AS IT BECOMES ABSORBED IN STRONGER NORTHERLY FLOW. DESPITE THE
TEMPORARY LOSS IN CURVATURE VORTICITY AT THE SURFACE...REGIONAL
VARIATIONS IN WIND SPEED AT THE SURFACE ARE MAINTAINING POSITIVE
SURFACE VORTICITY NEAR THE WAVE. MUCH OF THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE HAS DIMINISHED...WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 1N-7N BETWEEN 14W-22W.
205 PM EDT FRI MAY 02 2008 &
805 PM EDT FRI MAY 02 2008
THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 2N10W 2N20W EQUATOR AT 34W THEN
1N43W INTO NE BRAZIL. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION COVER THE AREA FROM 3N TO 9N EAST OF 20W TO THE
AFRICAN COAST. A SFC TROUGH WAS ANALYZED IN THIS AREA ALONG
15W/16W ON THE 12Z SFC MAP. THERE SEEMS TO BE ENOUGH EVIDENCE TO
SUGGEST THAT THIS COULD BE A TROPICAL WAVE. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A WELL DEFINED INVERTED V-PATTERN. THE HOVMOLLER DIAGRAM
ALSO INDICATES THE WWD PROPAGATION OF THIS SYSTEM DURING LAST
TWO DAYS...AND THE BAMAKO SOUNDING SHOWED THE PASSAGE OF THIS
TROUGH/WAVE BETWEEN APRIL 30 AND MAY 1ST. BASED ON THIS DATA AND
THE TIME OF THE YEAR...A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE INTRODUCED ON THE
18Z MAP. &
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 16W/17W S OF 9N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 6N15W TO 8N19W.
205 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2007
A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN INTRODUCED OFF THE W
AFRICAN COAST ALONG 16W FROM 3N TO 10N...MOVING WEST ABOUT 15
KNOTS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA
WITHIN TWO DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.
205 PM EDT THU MAY 11 2006
TROPICAL WAVE IS CENTERED ALONG 32W S OF 9N MOVING W 10-15 KT.
THE WAVE IS LOW AMPLITUDE IN SCOPE BUT STILL PRESENTS A FAIRLY
WELL DEFINED SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS MOSTLY ALONG THE ITCZ FROM
3N-7N BETWEEN 30W-37W.
205 AM EDT SUN 02 MAY 2005
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ALONG 47W/48W S OF 10N MOVING WEST 15
KTS. THE WAVE IS ONLY PRODUCING ISOLATED CONVECTION MAINLY
WITHIN THE ITCZ BETWEEN 42W-51W. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS
MOVING ONSHORE COASTAL AREAS OF BRAZIL AND SHOULD SPREAD INTO
FRENCH GUIANA DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.
205 PM EDT THU 20 MAY 2004 &
205 PM EDT FRI 21 MAY 2004
ONE LARGER MASS OF NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
POSSIBLY WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...EMERGED OFF THE AFRICA COAST
THIS MORNING...AND NOW WITH WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES
DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS...THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY APPEARS
TO BE DECREASING SOMEWHAT. THE NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH CLOUD TOPS REACHING ABOUT 50000 FT...
COVERED THE AREA FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 13W AND 17W. AN AREA
IMMEDIATELY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THIS ORIGINAL PRECIPITATION
MASS ALSO APPEARS TO HAVE SUFFERED FROM WARMING CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING PRECIPITATION. THIS ORIGINAL
MASS OF NUMEROUS STRONG PRECIPITATION ALSO APPEARS TO BE
MERGING WITH STILL ANOTHER AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...NOW FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 17W AND 20W. &
TROPICAL WAVE ADDED ALONG 20W/21W S OF 11N MOVING W 15 KT.
LONG-TERM SATELLITE LOOPS HELP TO POSITION THE WAVE WHICH IS
ROUGHLY TRACEABLE FOR AT LEAST THE LAST FEW DAYS....WITH A
FAST-MOVING TSTM COMPLEX YESTERDAY SOMEWHAT MUDDLING THE WAVE
LOCATION. WAVE POSITION ALSO MATCHES NICELY WITH THE WAVELENGTH
OF THE OTHER TWO WAVES IN THE BASIN. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N17W.
TROPICAL WAVE ADDED ALONG 38W S OF 10N MOVING W 15 KT.
LONG-TERM SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW A WESTWARD-MOVING SYSTEM WITH
DIURNAL CONVECTION/MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND A SMALL KINK IN THE
ITCZ. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 2N-6.5N BETWEEN 38W-41W.
TROPICAL WAVE ADDED ALONG 55W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT.
CAYENNE SOUNDINGS FROM YESTERDAY SHOW THE WAVE'S PASSAGE. THE
SATELLITE SIGNATURE ON THE WAVE IS THE MOST PRONOUNCED OF ALL
THE WAVES WITH A V-LIKE STRUCTURE. LINE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS IS
ORIENTED FROM NE TO SW WITH WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE
WITHIN 75/90 NM OF 14N54W 8N60W. WAVE WILL LIKELY ENHANCE
SHOWERS/TSTMS IN THE E CARIBBEAN LATE TOMORROW.
The font used for the gom and Atlantic are stupid.
At first, I responded accordingly, but then edited my post in case I was missing something.
it would form a sphere 860miles(1384kilometres)wide,
the distance from SaltLakeCity,Utah to Topeka,Kansas.
Sure, tempt the naive into touring Australia, without mentioning the most terrifying carnivore of all time
the Dreadful Drop Bear.
Yeah, it's all "They're cute little critters that only eat eucalyptus leaves..." until ***WHAM***
one lands on the unsuspecting tourist's head, knocking him silly.
Then the Dreadful Drop Bear pack begins its feeding frenzy...
And locals can breathe a sigh of relief that they're safe for one more day.
If so what does the grant go to you or a University?
Again if you receive monies from grants, since the inception of these grants, what is the dollar amount you have received?
Then it crosses Cuba and starts losing some tropical characteristics...
Then it transitions to a non tropical, but powerful, low and tracks up the East Coast
I wont jump on the development bandwagon yet as is only the first run that GFS has this scenario. I prefer to wait for more runs to see if it continues to show it and if other models join.
GFS
Euro
MJO
It's been wet over on this side but there is hope for you as well. Maybe you might want to read this below from Tampa.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
320 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012
.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)...
THE MAIN FEATURE FOR THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL BE AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FORECAST BY NEARLY ALL MODELS TO DIG TOWARD THE
GULF COAST SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN MODEL KEEP
THE UPPER-TROUGH OPEN THROUGH MONDAY WHILE THE GFS CLOSES OFF A LOW
OVER THE MID-WEST. IN EACH CASE...THE TROUGH AXIS REMAINS TO OUR
WEST WHICH WILL SET UP A FEED OF MOISTURE-RICH AIR ON SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS ALOFT. THE DEEPER LOW IN THE GFS WOULD BRING MORE UPPER-LEVEL
SUPPORT OVER THE AREA RESULTING IN GREATER OVERALL COVERAGE OF RAIN
WHILE THE MORE ELONGATED POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH IN THE ECMWF WOULD
RESULT IN MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND STORMS WHICH WOULD
FAVOR INLAND LOCATIONS IN THE DEEP WESTERLY FLOW. I DO NOT FAVOR THE
DEEPER GFS SOLUTION BUT CAN NOT COMPLETELY RULE IT OUT EITHER. FOR
THIS REASON...WILL USE A BLEND AND SHOW JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY BETTER SHOWER CHANCES
ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF OUR FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY.
THE GFS WRAPS SOME DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY BUT NOT
ENOUGH TO SHUT DOWN RAIN CHANCES.
EITHER WAY...WITH UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING TO THE WEST AND A DEEP
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW POTENTIALLY TRANSPORTING DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE
REGION...WE SHOULD SEE 2 OR 3 DAYS OF UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME BENEFICIAL RAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
Hey Pensacola! How ya been!?
Monday evening (GFS)
Weather Underground, Inc., is a private, for profit company. Jeff Masters is Director of Meteorology and holds equity in the company. He is not a grant funded scientist.
2 weeks so you know how that goes.
Nice and boring.
We finally got rain in the stormwater pond. Now all the fish that died in the drought are floating.
Raccoons will fix that soon though.
question for Aspecter
"If all of the water on the Earth were rolled up into a ball"
The volume of air isn't much bigger...
http://www.sciencephoto.com/images/imagePopUpDeta ils.html?id=690550330
The real stumper is if you take ALL the liquid freshwater on Earth that is in the ground, in lakes, rivers, and swamps and roll that into a ball it only reaches from Tampa to Jacksonville!
It doesn't even reach out of the state.
I made a map image but don't know how to convert it to a URL for posting here.
upload it to wunderphotos here. :)
I like crazy facts. Ever see this one!
FASCINATING FACTS ABOUT GOLD
SCIENCE OF GOLD
•It has been estimated that, worldwide, the total amount of gold ever mined is 152,000 metric tons, only enough to fill 60 tractor trailers. In comparison, each year 907 million metric tons of iron are produced worldwide. This is equivalent to 6,000 times the total gold produced throughout history.
•All the gold that has ever been refined throughout history could be placed in a cube measuring 65.5 feet (20 meters) on a side.•More than 90 percent of all gold ever used has been mined since 1848, when gold was discovered at Sutter's Mill, California, sparking the greatest gold rush of all time.
•Gold nuggets are solid lumps of gold. Nuggets are rare, making up less than 2 percent of all native gold ever mined.
•Only one out of a billion atoms of rock in Earth's crust are gold. (If expressed by weight abundance, it is five parts per billion, but by numbers of atoms it is about one atom of gold per billion.)
Upload it to your blog photos and we could take a look at it there.
8. Longest lasting hurricane on record: Storm #3 (also known as the "San Ciriaco" hurricane for its impact in Puerto Rico) in 1899 has been re-analyzed to now tie the record for longest lasting tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin. It began on August 3 in the tropical North Atlantic, hit Puerto Rico as a Category 4 hurricane on the 8th, hit North Carolina as a Category 3 hurricane on the 18th, transformed into an extratropical system north of Bermuda on the 21st, redeveloped into a tropical storm on the 26th, went through the Azores Islands as a Category 1 hurricane on the 3rd of September and finally dissipated as an extratropical storm on the 4th. It was a storm system for 33 days and a tropical storm or hurricane for 28 of those days. This ties the record with Hurricane Ginger of 1971, which also was a tropical cyclone for 28 days.
9. Most hurricanes ever in one day: On August 22, 1893, four hurricanes were occurring simultaneously. Storm #3 approaching Nova Scotia, Canada, storm #4 between Bermuda and the Bahamas, storm #6 northeast of the Lesser Antilles and storm #7 west of the Cape Verde Islands. Storm #4 would end up making a direct hit on New York City as a Category 1 hurricane two days later and storm #6 ending up hitting Georgia and South Carolina as a Category 3 hurricane (the "Sea Islands Hurricane") and killing 1,000-2,000 people. The only other known date with four hurricanes occurring at the same time was September 25, 1998, when hurricanes Georges, Ivan, Jeanne and Karl were in existence. (Click here for tracking map.)
A lot of us have wondered.
M4.7 Solar Flare
Large Sunspot 1476 awoke this morning and produced a moderate M4.7 Solar Flare at 12:32 UTC. There is now a growing threat for an X-Class event. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest information.
Some are building monuments, others jotting down notes
Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy
But when Quinn the Eskimo gets here everybody's gonna jump for joy
Oh come all without, come all within
You'll not see nothing like the mighty Quinn
Come all without, come all within
You'll not see nothing like the mighty Quinn.
Hey Gro! Nice post man.
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