March 2012: warmest in U.S. history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:12 PM GMT en Abril 10, 2012

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Not only was March 2012 the warmest March in the U.S. since record keeping began in 1895, it was also the second most extreme month for warmth in U.S. history, said NOAA yesterday, in their monthly "State of the Climate" report. The average temperature of 51.1°F was 8.6 degrees above the 20th century average for March, and 0.5°F warmer than the previous warmest March in 1910. Of the more than 1,400 months that have passed since the U.S. weather records began in 1895, only one month--January 2006--had a larger departure from its average temperature than March 2012. A remarkable 25 states east of the Rockies had their warmest March on record, and an additional 15 states had a top-ten warmest March. Only four states were cooler than average, with Alaska being the coldest (tenth coldest March on record.)


Figure 1. Temperature rankings for March 2012 in the Contiguous U.S. Twenty five states set records for warmest March in the 118-year records (red colors.) Image credit: NOAA.

March 2012: most daily records broken of any month since July 1936
A wunderground analysis of weather records from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center temperature record database reveals that more daily high temperature records were broken in March in 2012 than for any month except July 1936, going back at least 100 years. Fully 11.3% of all daily high temperature records for the month of March in the U.S. are now held by the year 2012, for the 550 stations in NOAA's National Climatic Data Center database that have weather records extending back at least 100 years. The only month in U.S. history holding a higher percentage of daily temperatures records is July 1936. That month holds 14.4% of all the U.S. high temperature records for the month of July. That month occurred in the great Dust Bowl summer of 1936, the hottest summer in U.S. history.



Summer in March 2012: records not merely smashed, but obliterated
Among the 15,000 daily records for warmth set in March 2012 were 21 truly astonishing ones: cases where the low temperature for the day beat the previous high temperature for the day. It is quite rare for a weather station with a 50+ year period of record to break a daily temperature record by more than 10°F. During "Summer in March, 2012", beating daily records by 10° - 20°F was commonplace, and NOAA lists 44 cases where a daily record was broken by more than 22°F. Extraordinarily, four stations broke a record for the date by 30°F or more. Canada holds the most surreal record of this nature during the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave: Western Head, Nova Scotia hit 29.2°C (85°F) on March 22, breaking their previous record for the date (10.6°C in 1969) by 18.6°C (33.5°F.) Canada also had several stations break their all-time warmest April temperature records in March.



Last 3 months and 12 months were the warmest on record
The previous 12-month period (April 2011 -March 2012), which includes the second hottest summer (June-August) and fourth warmest winter (December-February), was the warmest such period for the contiguous United States. The year-to-date period (January - March) was also the warmest on record. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index, an index that tracks the highest 10 percent and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, was 39 percent, nearly twice the long-term average and the highest value on record for the January - March period. The predominant factor was the large area experiencing extremes in warm daily maximum and minimum temperatures.

Analyzing the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave
Dr. Martin Hoerling of NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder has posted a thorough analysis of the heat wave, which he calls, "Meteorological March Madness 2012". He explains that the event was probably a natural phenomenon, one that was predicted more than a month in advance by NOAA's long-range CFS model. A similar, though not as intense heat wave occurred in March 1910. However, he notes that the approximate 0.5 - 1°C warming in the Ohio Valley/Midwest U.S. in recent decades--due to human-caused emission of heat trapping gases like carbon dioxide--has significantly increased the odds of major heat waves occurring. He speculates that the odds of a 1-in-40 year heat wave in the Midwest may have increased by about 50% due to human-caused global warming, but that we really don't know how much global warming may have increased the odds of the March 2012 heat wave, saying "This issue of estimating reliable statistics of extreme, rare events continues to be a matter of active research." He estimates that human-caused global warming likely increased the intensity of the March 12 - 23, 2012 heat wave by about 5 - 10%, and concludes by saying, "The probability of heatwaves is growing as [human-caused] warming continues to progress. But there is always the randomness."

Jeff Masters

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Quoting RitaEvac:


Seems to be releasing out far west, only to build up more pressure for the CONUS for a mega quake. Which is imminent

We are really overdue... Parts of the US (California especially) sit on an area that is as seismically active as Japan and Indonesia, and yet both of those areas have suffred several major quakes in the last 10 years while we have seen very few.
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 79 Comments: 7295
.."There's good Rockin' at Midnight"...
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
WUnderBloggers: Not only do we provide weather and climate discussions, but we also provide medical and social advice! Join today and see the Weather.... Underground!

LOL. I'm just in nursing school, so when I see something medical... my curiosity is piqued - and I want to help.
Member Since: Agosto 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5792
Quoting ScottLincoln:


Or, all the tension being released now might reduce the chance of a bigger quake later. Just depends.


From my Geology class in college my professor said that the more active means the bigger chance for a big quake down the road whether it's now or years from now.
Member Since: Octubre 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Geology/seismology 101 is not a freshman course seems.

: )
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Quoting ScottLincoln:


Or, all the tension being released now might reduce the chance of a bigger quake later. Just depends.


Seems to be releasing out far west, only to build up more pressure for the CONUS for a mega quake. Which is imminent
Member Since: Julio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
Quoting StormTracker2K:


That whole rim is active! We could be leading up to a mega quake in the coming years if this keeps.


Or, all the tension being released now might reduce the chance of a bigger quake later. Just depends.
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Looking forward to those rains too ILwthrfan, only found 4 morels last night - afraid they're about done anyway, but a rain might pop a few more. Just hope the rains start after the season opener in StL is done, hope to see the birds beat up the cubbies in a dry bleachers seat!
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Quoting RitaEvac:


Whole globe is active


The whole Pacific Rim. California really needs to be on alert over the next few years as the "Big One" is coming.
Member Since: Octubre 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
WUnderBloggers: Not only do we provide weather and climate discussions, but we also provide medical and social advice! Join today and see the Weather.... Underground!
Member Since: Septiembre 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3466
Quoting LargoFl:
This from the LA Times..this is anzo California...........In the last 10 days, there have been nine earthquakes magnitude 3.0 and greater centered nearby.

magnitude 3.0 and greater centered nearby means 3.0 to 3.9 or 3.0+
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Quoting washingtonian115:
May need to leave work early today to go down their.I can't play around with stuff I still have a family to raise.
I agree with others; go get checked.

Even if it turns out to be something much less lifethreatening, even a bad case of heartburn could indicate some acid-reflux type problems which could be the precursor to a stomach ulcer.

Pain in the chest cavity should be assessed.
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Quoting ScottLincoln:


The coverage of freeze warnings is somewhat misleading. Freeze warnings are not exactly tied to a temperature in most places, they are tied to a temperature during the growing season. The particularly warm March initiated the growing season earlier than average for a large portion of the country, contributing to the necessity of freeze warnings for such an area.
I have a feeling than when compared to climatology, this cold snap will not quite reach "very rare" status.


Well to have frost and freeze warnings in the Deep South in mid April is rare to say the least. Hopefully the winds stays high enough to keep temps a few degrees warmer than what they would get with light winds.
Member Since: Octubre 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
Quoting LargoFl:
This from the LA Times..this is anzo California...........In the last 10 days, there have been nine earthquakes magnitude 3.0 and greater centered nearby.


Whole globe is active
Member Since: Julio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
Quoting Neapolitan:
Hitting the wall a bit early, aren't you Chuckie? Where'd you see any "climate change spin" in my comment? Methinks the lady doth protest too much... ;-)

If you'll look at a map, you'll note that Atlanta is a very large and spread out metropolitan area. Now, various five-day forecasts are plotting a large blob of very warm temperatures moving slowly eastward from Thursday through the weekend, with the hottest part of that blob running in the upper 80s to lower 90s--and that blob will be seated smack over northern Georgia come Sunday. Bottom line: you will see Atlanta temps "near 90" on Sunday. That doesn't mean that Sunday's high temperature at the airport will be precisely 90; it means there will be some temps in the Atlanta metropolitan area in the neighborhood of 90.

That's not "climate change spin"; that's "weather forecasting".

But in Chucktown's world, "weather forecasting" = "climate spin", since there isn't a 10,000 year record to base the forecasts upon.
Member Since: Agosto 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5792
Recent eathquakes in the NorthEastern USA...............MAP 3.1 2012/04/07 17:47:28 45.681N 75.772W 6.5 30 km (19 mi) N of Ottawa, ONT
MAP 3.4 2012/03/30 19:29:59 47.354N 66.094W 5.0 142 km (88 mi) ENE of Loring AFB,ME
map 2.9 2012/03/25 07:30:49 47.253N 70.268W 24.8 61 km (38 mi) SW of Charlevoix, QUE
map 2.5 2012/03/22 22:37:22 42.754N 77.855W 2.0 37 km (23 mi) SE of Dansville,NY
map 2.8 2012/03/16 11:05:55 38.212N 81.714W 5.1 20 km (13 mi) SSW of Charleston,WV
map 1.6 2012/03/13 18:27:41 45.605N 67.334W 5.0 67 km (41 mi) SW of Fredericton, N.B.
map 2.9 2012/02/28 19:09:23 45.941N 75.496W 12.4 36 km (23 mi) NW of Ripon, QUE
map 1.9 2012/02/26 23:47:59 45.010N 74.184W 11.7 27 km (17 mi) S of Valleyfield, QUE
MAP 4.0 2012/02/24 17:47:22 47.615N 70.220W 4.2 33 km (20 mi) WSW of Charlevoix, QUE
map 2.5 2012/02/17 01:03:16 44.893N 67.537W 5.1 82 km (51 mi) NE of Bar Harbor,ME
map 2.6 2012/02/17 00:52:23 44.904N 67.536W 4.9 83 km (52 mi) NE of Bar Harbor,ME
map 2.2 2012/02/08 17:24:28 45.552N 75.305W 13.9 26 km (16 mi) SW of Ripon, QUE
map 1.3 2012/01/26 20:59:25 42.439N 72.600W 5.0 27 km (17 mi) NNW of Westover,MA
map 1.6 2012/01/24 23:08:54 43.733N 74.231W 5.0 65 km (40 mi) NW of Glens Falls,NY
map 2.3 2012/01/23 10:44:06 43.555N 74.050W 5.0 42 km (26 mi) WNW of Glens Falls,NY
MAP 3.6 2012/01/22 00:59:46 46.320N 75.079W 18.0 64 km (40 mi) N of Ripon, QUE
map 1.4 2012/01/21 09:02:07 45.229N 69.132W 5.1 41 km (25 mi) SE of Greenville,ME
map 2.1 2012/01/16 10:08:07 46.994N 68.994W 11.1 75 km (47 mi) W of Caribou Mun,ME
map 2.1 2012/01/13 17:29:35 41.124N 80.692W 5.8 16 km (10 mi) S of Youngstown,OH
map 1.4 2012/01/12 17:02:24 43.415N 71.691W 0.0 27 km (17 mi) SW of Laconia,NH
map 2.8 2012/01/10 14:38:58 38.699N 80.967W 4.9 67 km (42 mi) NE of Charleston,WV
map 2.6 2012/01/07 16:46:35 47.848N 69.657W 18.0 20 km (12 mi) NNE of Charlevoix, QUE
map 2.1 2012/01/07 07:56:57 44.936N 74.633W 9.8 17 km (11 mi) E of Massena,NY
map 2.3 2012/01/06 21:33:23 44.942N 74.628W 10.0 18 km (11 mi) E of Massena,NY
MAP 4.0 2011/12/31 15:05:01 41.122N 80.684W 5.0 17 km (10 mi) S of Youngstown,OH
map 2.0 2011/12/30 05:49:30 46.925N 68.918W 7.7 69 km (43 mi) W of Caribou Mun,ME
map 0.9 2011/12/27 17:19:40 43.299N 71.586W 12.6 13 km ( 8 mi) NNW of Concord,NH
map 1.8 2011/12/27 12:21:04 45.060N 75.066W 5.0 22 km (14 mi) NW of Massena,NY
map 1.4 2011/12/26 04:29:53 45.814N 67.322W 8.5 50 km (31 mi) SE of Houlton,ME
map 1.4 2011/12/24 22:18:00 46.259N 66.120W 0.1 52 km (32 mi) NE of Fredericton, N.B.
map 2.5 2011/12/24 01:24:58 41.123N 80.705W 5.0 17 km (10 mi) S of Youngstown,OH
map 1.8 2011/12/18 23:50:05 45.413N 74.142W 7.0 18 km (11 mi) N of Valleyfield, QUE
map 2.3 2011/12/12 23:41:03 44.332N 68.652W 10.4 26 km (16 mi) WSW of Bar Harbor,ME
map 1.4 2011/12/11 23:46:21 45.447N 68.769W 5.0 61 km (38 mi) E of Greenville,ME
map 1.0 2011/12/11 16:42:26 45.457N 68.766W 4.3 61 km (38 mi) E of Greenville,ME
map 2.6 2011/12/08 02:51:58 47.639N 69.956W 19.0 14 km ( 8 mi) WSW of Charlevoix, QUE
map 1.9 2011/12/08 02:21:13 44.957N 74.763W 8.8 8 km ( 5 mi) ENE of Massena,NY
map 0.8 2011/12/05 00:43:56 42.370N 72.624W 5.8 20 km (13 mi) NNW of Westover,MA
map 1.4 2011/12/05 00:34:28 42.359N 72.626W 11.2 19 km (12 mi) NNW of Westover,MA
map 1.7 2011/12/03 13:59:22 44.288N 70.240W 5.9 35 km (22 mi) W of Augusta,ME
map 0.8 2011/11/30 01:07:25 42.578N 71.157W 7.0 16 km (10 mi) NE of Bedford,MA
MAP 3.4 2011/11/29 12:02:25 47.550N 70.250W 14.0 38 km (23 mi) WSW of Charlevoix, QUE
map 2.0 2011/11/28 16:10:59 43.434N 78.310W 5.0 52 km (33 mi) N of Dansville,NY
map 2.0 2011/11/28 04:29:04 43.366N 79.762W 5.0 46 km (29 mi) SW of Toronto, ONT
map 2.1 2011/11/25 01:47:28 41.124N 80.677W 5.0 16 km (10 mi) S of Youngstown,OH
map 2.4 2011/11/21 02:16:51 44.780N 74.620W 5.0 25 km (15 mi) SE of Massena,NY
map 1.6 2011/11/16 10:57:54 43.885N 71.040W 24.7 30 km (19 mi) ESE of Wolfeboro,NH
map 1.0 2011/11/05 16:06:14 45.501N 76.352W 5.0 52 km (32 mi) W of Ottawa, ONT
map 1.3 2011/11/05 13:41:50 45.836N 75.519W 6.9 33 km (20 mi) WNW of Ripon, QUE
map 1.9 2011/10/27 12:51:31 46.073N 69.702W 5.1 33 km (21 mi) N of Greenville,ME
map 2.0 2011/10/26 03:35:32 46.801N 71.040W 2.5 15 km ( 9 mi) E of Quebec, QUE.
map 2.0 2011/10/21 22:39:46 45.781N 74.620W 5.0 39 km (24 mi) E of Ripon, QUE
map 2.2 2011/10/20 18:41:10 41.125N 80.704W 6.4 16 km (10 mi) S of Youngstown,OH
map 2.0 2011/10/20 13:46:47 45.504N 74.569W 7.0 44 km (27 mi) NW of Valleyfield, QUE
map 2.6 2011/10/15 23:44:09 45.584N 75.271W 18.0 22 km (14 mi) SSW of Ripon, QUE
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Quoting Chucktown:


You always gotta throw that climate change spin into the equation for good measure. High in Atlanta by the way will be near 80 not 90, slightly above normal.

Link
Hitting the wall a bit early, aren't you Chuckie? Where'd you see any "climate change spin" in my comment? Methinks the lady doth protest too much... ;-)

If you'll look at a map, you'll note that Atlanta is a very large and spread out metropolitan area. Now, various five-day forecasts are plotting a large blob of very warm temperatures moving slowly eastward from Thursday through the weekend, with the hottest part of that blob running in the upper 80s to lower 90s--and that blob will be seated smack over northern Georgia come Sunday. Bottom line: you will see Atlanta temps "near 90" on Sunday. That doesn't mean that Sunday's high temperature at the airport will be precisely 90; it means there will be some temps in the Atlanta metropolitan area in the neighborhood of 90.

That's not "climate change spin"; that's "weather forecasting".
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:

He'll probably have some higher values on Saturday


it looks like saturday into tuesday will be the worst for severe weather
Member Since: Agosto 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13451
Quoting ncstorm:
Dr. Greg Forbes Torcon Index

Wednesday April 11
CO southeast - 3
TX northwest panhandle - 3
OK extreme west panhandle - 3
CO east-central - 2
KS extreme southwest - 2
OK rest of panhandle - 2
NM east - 2
TX southwest - 2
Other areas - less than 2


Thursday April 12
KS west - 5
OK west - 4
TX east panhandle - 4
TX west - 3
NE southwest, central - 2
Other areas - less than 2


Friday April 13
KS south-central - 4
OK west, central - 4
TX northwest - 3 to 4
IA southwest - 3
KS east - 3
MO west - 3
NE southeast - 3
Other areas - less than 2

He'll probably have some higher values on Saturday
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 79 Comments: 7295
Dr. Greg Forbes Torcon Index

Wednesday April 11
CO southeast - 3
TX northwest panhandle - 3
OK extreme west panhandle - 3
CO east-central - 2
KS extreme southwest - 2
OK rest of panhandle - 2
NM east - 2
TX southwest - 2
Other areas - less than 2


Thursday April 12
KS west - 5
OK west - 4
TX east panhandle - 4
TX west - 3
NE southwest, central - 2
Other areas - less than 2


Friday April 13
KS south-central - 4
OK west, central - 4
TX northwest - 3 to 4
IA southwest - 3
KS east - 3
MO west - 3
NE southeast - 3
Other areas - less than 2
Member Since: Agosto 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13451
Quoting WxGeekVA:
... I don't want to say this, but I predicted this just a few days ago.... I said that I was feeling a Earthquake/Volcano/Tsunami based on how nature was giving me bad vibes... And now those are gone. Yes, I had an incorrect location (I said I was feeling CA, New Madrid, or Yellowstone), but the fact that I felt something coming scares me...

Below is the original unedited comment:


60. WxGeekVA 12:02 AM GMT on April 04, 2012 +2
Call me crazy, but i got a weird feeling something really bad is about to happen somewhere like an earthquake or volcano or the like... I don't know why, but the vibes I'm getting from nature are very ominous.




well cheer up, it wasnt that bad.
Nobody was hurt, it seems.
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
Quoting jeffs713:

No offense, but predicting some kind of weather/earth event over a weeklong span is kinda vague, nebulous, and sure to happen. Might as well say "It will be above 90 degrees sometime this week"... when in the middle of July in SE Texas.


Yes but that "90 degrees in Texas" is expected at certain times of year and can be accurately forecasted over a week in advance. One can never know when earthquakes of this magnitude will occur. I'm telling you, I felt something off with nature and I felt Earthquake somewhere west of me. I know I said the places I did, which were incorrect, but I think I might be onto something here with this ability I have. The bad vibe I had from nature has changed now and is now calm.
Member Since: Septiembre 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3466
This from the LA Times..this is anzo California...........In the last 10 days, there have been nine earthquakes magnitude 3.0 and greater centered nearby.
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www.solarham.com

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Quoting Neapolitan:
Don't delay; go today.
Quoting jeffs713:

Breast Cancer actually usually starts without pain - chest pain is more of an indicator of a heart attack, or a precursor to a heart attack. Definitely go see a doctor ASAP.
May need to leave work early today to go down their.I can't play around with stuff I still have a family to raise.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:
Yikes! Look at all of the freeze watches & warnings all the way to the SE US coast. Very rare to see this type of cold air in Mid April!



The coverage of freeze warnings is somewhat misleading. Freeze warnings are not exactly tied to a temperature in most places, they are tied to a temperature during the growing season. The particularly warm March initiated the growing season earlier than average for a large portion of the country, contributing to the necessity of freeze warnings for such an area.
I have a feeling than when compared to climatology, this cold snap will not quite reach "very rare" status.
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YELLOWSTONE VOLCANO (CAVW #1205-01-)
44°25'48" N 110°40'12" W, Summit Elevation 9203 ft (2805 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: NORMAL
Current Aviation Color Code: GREEN

During the month of March 2012, the University of Utah reports 51 earthquakes were located in the Yellowstone National Park region. The largest was a magnitude 2.3 event on March 3 at 6:02 PM MST, located about 20 miles west northwest of West Yellowstone, MT A small swarm of 10 events was recorded on March 3 about 10 miles northwest of West Yellowstone, MT with magnitudes ranging from M 2.1 to M 0.7

Yellowstone earthquake activity continues at relatively low background levels.

Slow subsidence of the caldera, which began in early 2010, continues. Current deformation patterns at Yellowstone are well within historical norms.

Please see: http://www.uusatrg.utah.edu/ts_ysrp.html for a map of GPS stations in the Yellowstone vicinity. For a graph of daily GPS positions at White Lake, within the Yellowstone caldera, please see: http://pbo.unavco.org/station/overview/WLWY

---
The Yellowstone Volcano Observatory (YVO) is a partnership of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), Yellowstone National Park, and University of Utah to strengthen the long-term monitoring of volcanic and earthquake unrest in the Yellowstone National Park region. Yellowstone is the site of the largest and most diverse collection of natural thermal features in the world and the first National Park. YVO is one of the five USGS Volcano Observatories that monitor volcanoes within the United States for science and public safety.

CONTACT INFORMATION:
Jacob Lowenstern, USGS
Scientist-in-Charge, Yellowstone Volcano Observatory
jlwnstrn@usgs.gov

Robert Smith, University of Utah
Coordinating Scientist, YVO

Henry Heasler, Yellowstone National Park
Coordinating Scientist, YVO
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I hope I'm not developing breast cancer.I have pains in my chest.I may need to go to the doctor to check it out.My fathers side does have a history of having this cancer and that is what my Great-Grand-Mother died from.

Breast Cancer actually usually starts without pain - chest pain is more of an indicator of a heart attack, or a precursor to a heart attack. Definitely go see a doctor ASAP.
Member Since: Agosto 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5792
Quoting washingtonian115:
I hope I'm not developing breast cancer.I have pains in my chest.I may need to go to the doctor to check it out.My fathers side does have a history of having this cancer and that is what my Great-Grand-Mother died from.
Don't delay; go today.
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This is the PFM (Point Forecast Matrices) from Atlanta NWS. This guidance comes from a blend of several models. The WU Best Forecast comes from 1 warm biased model.

Link
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
... I don't want to say this, but I predicted this just a few days ago.... I said that I was feeling a Earthquake/Volcano/Tsunami based on how nature was giving me bad vibes... And now those are gone. Yes, I had an incorrect location (I said I was feeling CA, New Madrid, or Yellowstone), but the fact that I felt something coming scares me...

Below is the original unedited comment:


60. WxGeekVA 12:02 AM GMT on April 04, 2012 +2
Call me crazy, but i got a weird feeling something really bad is about to happen somewhere like an earthquake or volcano or the like... I don't know why, but the vibes I'm getting from nature are very ominous.



No offense, but predicting some kind of weather/earth event over a weeklong span is kinda vague, nebulous, and sure to happen. Might as well say "It will be above 90 degrees sometime this week"... when in the middle of July in SE Texas.
Member Since: Agosto 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5792
Tectonic Summary

The M8.6 April 11, 2012 earthquake off the west coast of northern Sumatra, Indonesia, occurred as a result of strike-slip faulting within the oceanic lithosphere of the Indo-Australia plate. The quake was located approximately 100 km to the southwest of the major subduction zone that defines the plate boundary between the Indo-Australia and Sunda plates offshore Sumatra. At this location, the Indo-Australia plate moves north-northeast with respect to the Sunda plate at a velocity of approximately 52 mm/yr.

Large strike-slip earthquakes, while rare, are not unprecedented in this region of the Indo-Australian plate. Since the massive M 9.1 earthquake that ruptured a 1300 km long segment of the Sumatran megathrust plate boundary in December of 2004, three large strike-slip events have occurred within 50 km of the April 11, 2012 even. These earthquakes occurred on April 19 2006 (Mw6.2), October 4 2007 (Mw6.2) and January 10, 2012 (Mw7.2). In all three cases, the style of faulting was similar. These events align approximately with fabric of the sea floor in the diffuse boundary zone between the Indian and Australian plates.
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CLEVELAND VOLCANO (CAVW #1101-24-)
52°49'20" N 169°56'42" W, Summit Elevation 5676 ft (1730 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE

Satellite observations of Cleveland have been obscured by clouds. No indication of explosive activity from distant infrasound and seismic networks.

While the volcano remains active, sudden explosions of blocks and ash are likely. It is possible for associated ash clouds to exceed 20,000 feet above sea level. If a larger ash-producing event occurs, seismic, infrasound, or volcanic lightning networks should detect the event and alert AVO staff. There is no real-time seismic monitoring network on Mount Cleveland so AVO is unable to track activity in real time.

ILIAMNA VOLCANO (CAVW #1103-02-)
60°1'55" N 153°5'30" W, Summit Elevation 10016 ft (3053 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: ADVISORY
Current Aviation Color Code: YELLOW

Seismic activity at Iliamna Volcano remains slightly above background. Nothing unusual observed in web camera and satellite images.

The current activity at Iliamna does not indicate an imminent or certain eruption. A similar seismic swarm at Iliamna in 1996-1997 was not followed by eruptive activity. Prior to an eruption, AVO would expect to see a further increase in earthquake activity.

VOLCANO INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET: http://www.avo.alaska.edu
RECORDING ON THE STATUS OF ALASKA'S VOLCANOES (907) 786-7478

CONTACT INFORMATION:
John Power, Scientist-in-Charge, USGS
jpower@usgs.gov (907) 786-7497

Steve McNutt, Coordinating Scientist, UAF
steve@giseis.alaska.edu (907) 474-7131

The Alaska Volcano Observatory is a cooperative program of the U.S. Geological Survey, the University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute, and the Alaska Division of Geological and Geophysical Surveys.


------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

AVO Alert Archive Search
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
... I don't want to say this, but I predicted this just a few days ago.... I said that I was feeling a Earthquake/Volcano/Tsunami based on how nature was giving me bad vibes... And now those are gone. Yes, I had an incorrect location (I said I was feeling CA, New Madrid, or Yellowstone), but the fact that I felt something coming scares me...

Below is the original unedited comment:


60. WxGeekVA 12:02 AM GMT on April 04, 2012 +2
Call me crazy, but i got a weird feeling something really bad is about to happen somewhere like an earthquake or volcano or the like... I don't know why, but the vibes I'm getting from nature are very ominous.




I remember you saying this
Member Since: Julio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
IMPORTANT NOTICE TO MARINERS...MARINE FORECASTS ARE ISSUED AT LEAST
FOUR TIMES A DAY. BOATERS ON EXTENDED TRIPS SHOULD ROUTINELY MONITOR
SUBSEQUENT FORECAST ISSUANCES AND UPDATES FOR THE LATEST MARINE
WEATHER INFORMATION.



GMZ800-112130-
SYNOPSIS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER-
1008 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012


.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TODAY
AND TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK OVER THE AREA THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH INCREASING EAST WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS.

$$


------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
IMPORTANT NOTICE TO MARINERS...MARINE FORECASTS ARE ISSUED AT LEAST
FOUR TIMES A DAY. BOATERS ON EXTENDED TRIPS SHOULD ROUTINELY MONITOR
SUBSEQUENT FORECAST ISSUANCES AND UPDATES FOR THE LATEST MARINE
WEATHER INFORMATION.



GMZ870-873-876-112130-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
1008 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012


THIS AFTERNOON
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET.

TONIGHT
NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.

THURSDAY
NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET.

THURSDAY NIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3
FEET.

FRIDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET.

FRIDAY NIGHT
EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

SATURDAY
EAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

SATURDAY NIGHT
EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

SUNDAY
EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10
KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

$$
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
... I don't want to say this, but I predicted this just a few days ago.... I said that I was feeling a Earthquake/Volcano/Tsunami based on how nature was giving me bad vibes... And now those are gone. Yes, I had an incorrect location (I said I was feeling CA, New Madrid, or Yellowstone), but the fact that I felt something coming scares me...

Below is the original unedited comment:


60. WxGeekVA 12:02 AM GMT on April 04, 2012 +2
Call me crazy, but i got a weird feeling something really bad is about to happen somewhere like an earthquake or volcano or the like... I don't know why, but the vibes I'm getting from nature are very ominous.


Member Since: Septiembre 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3466
Galveston water temp reported as 79 by local newspaper, but that's the newspaper
Member Since: Julio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9625
Do tell?

LOL

Theres some bias going round seems, but I dont tink itsa da wu page.


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:

Atlanta Wu page

"No Camera 3 needed"


Sunday

Clear. High of 86F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.


WU forecast page is very warm biased, only based on one computer model - NWS is a blend of several models.
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Quoting Patrap:

Atlanta Wu page

"No Camera 3 needed"


Sunday

Clear. High of 86F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.


that is 5F warmer than the NWS, so i dont know about that BestForecast.

and looks like that 188 day earthquake pattern failed this time.
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
Quoting jeffs713:

The Long Valley Caldera is not a true supervolcano, but rather a complex of volcanoes within a large caldera-like depression.

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/long_valley/


Oh well it was listed as one of the seven
Member Since: Junio 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6439

Atlanta Wu page

"No Camera 3 needed"


Sunday

Clear. High of 86F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting weatherh98:


Side note: there are actually 3 super volcanoes in north America
Yellow stone and long valley caldera are in the us and called calderes is in Mexico.

Second I believe though that in the east Atlantic there is an island that if it were to have half of the islan slide off like we think ot soon will, would throw a wave out one mile high but by the time it got to the us, it would only be like 50 feet, still would cause massive damage to the coastal cities I.e. new York and miami.

The Long Valley Caldera is not a true supervolcano, but rather a complex of volcanoes within a large caldera-like depression.

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/long_valley/
Member Since: Agosto 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5792
Quoting Neapolitan:
NW Georgia is in the same freeze/frost group that encompasses a large area of the Midwest, and all the way across Oklahoma and Kansas. With any luck, farmers there will have been smart enough not to plant.

At any rate: Sunday's high in Atlanta is expected to be near 90.


You always gotta throw that climate change spin into the equation for good measure. High in Atlanta by the way will be near 80 not 90, slightly above normal.

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Looks like the wave was not so big, and has passed.

From Reuters.

The Hawaii-based Pacific Tsunami Warning Center also withdrew tsunami warnings for the entire Indian Ocean after keeping them in force for several hours.

"Level readings now indicate that the threat has diminished or is over for most areas," the agency's bulletin said.

Waves of up to one meter (3.3 feet) high were seen near islands off Aceh, but Indonesia cancelled a warning for fresh tsunamis. It said the worst-hit area was the thinly populated island of Simeulue, off Aceh's southern coast.

Member Since: Diciembre 28, 2006 Posts: 113 Comments: 1496
Quoting Neapolitan:
NW Georgia is in the same freeze/frost group that encompasses a large area of the Midwest, and all the way across Oklahoma and Kansas. With any luck, farmers there will have been smart enough not to plant.

At any rate: Sunday's high in Atlanta is expected to be near 90.


Oops, i meant NE GA, and the high is actually only in the low 80s on Sunday, 15 degrees warmer than today.

Hopefully that trough stays open so it can use the SE warmth to my storm chasing advantage :)
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Also a frost all the way down to Atlanta, and a freeze in NW Georrgia could damage crops.
NW Georgia is in the same freeze/frost group that encompasses a large area of the Midwest, and all the way across Oklahoma and Kansas. With any luck, farmers there will have been smart enough not to plant.

At any rate: Sunday's high in Atlanta is expected to be near 90.
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Quoting wunderkidcayman:
hey umm does anyone have a map that shows where the polar and sub-tropical jet are now if so can you post it


I dont have a map, but i know the polar jet is dipping down into the Western US, not sure where the subtropical jet is, but i am pretty sure it is not phasing with the polar jet.
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9452
Quoting dabirds:
Got lucky w/ the freeze (@ my place @ least) here in S Central IL, got little frost maybe in town, sure countryside had it, but only 31-32 for lows, no hard freeze thankfully. However, now calling for another warning tomorrow morning though. How'd it do to N & E ILwthr?


We did very well up here had decent breezes all night. We had a low of 30.8 F and it was at an elevated 1.5 meters off the ground. There was VERY little if any patchy frost here and what was, was mainly on the roof tops of cars. Nothing on the plants that was noticeable to the eye.

Tonight will be the same scenario more than likely unless those breezes die down overnight. I am looking forward to a good soaking rain this weekend. Grass was already turning yellow a couple of days ago. We are 3-5 inches below average season to date. Not good.
Member Since: Febrero 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1403

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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