April Fools weather humor; all-time March warmth in WY, NE

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:41 PM GMT en Abril 01, 2012

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I don't have an April Fools blog post for you this year, but instead thought I share with you two of the funniest weather-related stories of the year. Firstly, it turns out that you don't need to be a human to enjoy a little snowboarding. The snowy conditions in Russia this winter gave the opportunity for an intrepid crow to take up the sport in this remarkable Youtube video. I found the video over at Andy Revkin's DotEarth blog at the New York Times. The bird is a hooded crow, and has evidently been doing quite a bit of snowboarding, judging by the multiple tracks on the rooftop. Too bad us humans can't use a flap-assist from our wings while snowboarding, it might cut down on injuries!


Video 1. A crow in Russia goes snowboarding on a snow-covered rooftop.

The most insane letter ever written by a child to a TV weatherman
I've done a lot of talks about the weather to schools, and have gotten hundreds of thank-you letters from the kids afterwards. But I've never gotten a letter quite like the one KVUE morning and midday meteorologist Albert Ramon in Austin, Texas recently received after talking at a local school. A sampling:

"Some day when I become supreme Ultra-Lord of the universe I will not make you a slave, you will live in my 200 story castle where unicorn servants will feed you doughnuts off their horns."

And this: "Thank you again for teaching us about meteoroligy, you're more awesome than a monkey wearing a tuxedo made out of bacon riding a cyborg unicorn with a lightsaber for the horn on the tip of a space shuttle closing in on Mars while ingulfed in flames."


Check out the letter here.

Finally, realclimate.org has a funny April Fool's blog post today called ‘Wrong sign paradox’ finally resolved?

All-time March warmth records in Wyoming, Nebraska
Most of Wyoming and much of Nebraska set or tied their record for all-time warmest March temperatures yesterday, no fooling. A strong ridge of high pressure that generated a strong flow of warm air from the southwest was responsible. Some of the records included:

Omaha, NE: 91°F
Lincoln, NE: 91°F
Casper, WY: 77°F
Lander, WY: 76°F
Rock Spring, WY: 72°F
Worland, WY: 81°F
Laramie, WY: 71°F
Rawlins, WY: 73°F
Chadron, WY: 83°F
Sidney, WY: 83°F

Jeff Masters

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Well...it's something at least.

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Quoting SPLbeater:
Well the plumbers are here....because of that STUPID water heater...


Tell em to pull there pants up....
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Good morning to all. I see a little bit more warmer Tropical Atlantic west of 40W longitude. But the warmest areas are the GOM and the Western Atlantic.

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Quoting SPLbeater:
I find this quite interesting, lol.

SPC said this was cause of diurnal thunderstorms and dewpoints widespread over 60, so some could be severe. (Notice how the line stops in central NC)


I won't even say what that looks like

It's mostly cloudy here in nola
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Quoting KoritheMan:
Although that does bring to mind something I'm curious about.

Using Cody's grouping, how would you guys rate my forecasting? Criticize if you want, constructive or otherwise.


We should've done this on a 1-5

Id give a 3.5

Im afraid to ask about mine because I'd prolly receive like aaaaaaaaaaa and I don't want that haha
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I find this quite interesting, lol.

SPC said this was cause of diurnal thunderstorms and dewpoints widespread over 60, so some could be severe. (Notice how the line stops in central NC)
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
Forecast today in Orlando 92 and then 93 tomorrow. These are highs you would see in June and what's more impressive it's going to be like this all week with even the threat come mid to late week of some strong thunderstorms maybe severe if the Euro is correct about dropping this upper low over FL.
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Looks like it's going to be a wet April across FL and the Caribbean. Very rare to see this type of upward motion in April. This is something you would typically see in the summer.



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Big day for hail...







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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
358 AM EDT MON APR 2 2012


LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NEXT MONDAY)...
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH A LONG WAVE OMEGA BLOCK
PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA...CHARACTERIZED BY TROUGHING OVER BOTH
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHEASTERN COASTS AND AMPLIFIED RIDGING OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS. MAIN PLAYER FOR OUR WEATHER WILL BE A CLOSED LOW
FEATURE ADVERTISED BY BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF EXITING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TOWARD THE TN VALLEY. THIS FEATURE WILL EVENTUALLY DROP
SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD OUR REGION WITH ENHANCED RAIN CHANCES BY
FRIDAY. UPPER LEVEL FLOW ABOVE THE EASTERN GULF AND FL PENINSULA
WILL INITIALLY BE OF A MAINLY ZONAL CONFIGURATION. WITH THIS IN MIND
WILL EXPECT ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY FOR THURSDAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SOME
INDICATION THAT SOME WEAK ENERGY MAY BE RIDING THE ZONAL FLOW AHEAD
OF THE UPPER LOW...AND THIS MAY BE JUST ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A FEW
AFTERNOON/EVENING STORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA.

GLOBAL GUIDANCE IN AGREEMENT SHOWING THE UPPER LOW OPENING UP AND
THEN DIVING TO THE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE FL PENINSULA/SE COAST ON
FRIDAY. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PARENT UPPER ENERGY WE WILL ALSO FIND A
SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. DO NOT HAVE
COMPLETE AGREEMENT IN THE DETAILS...WITH THE GFS SHOWING THE
SHORTWAVE PATH A BIT FURTHER EAST/AWAY FROM OUR REGION. ON THE OTHER
HAND...THE ECMWF DROPS ITS ENERGY RIGHT DOWN OVER THE PENINSULA.
EITHER WAY...AT LEAST SOME SYNOPTIC FORCING AND LOW LEVEL FOCUS
ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT A SCATTERING OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
REGION-WIDE FOR FRIDAY. IF THE ECMWF SOLUTION IS TO VERIFY THEN THE
THREAT FOR SOME STRONGER STORMS WOULD ALSO EXIST. 02/00Z RUN SHOWS
HEALTHY QG FORCING ALIGNED WITH 35-45 KNOTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED
CONVECTION.


SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL PASS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE AND A
DRIER/COOLER AIRMASS TO BUILD DOWN FROM THE NORTH. GRADIENT LOOKS TO
BECOME QUITE TIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT SUPPORTING
ROUGH/POSSIBLE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS/SEAS DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF. OVER LAND FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY EXPECTING BREEZY CONDITIONS
AND SEASONABLE HIGH TEMPS WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 80. OVERALL
CONDITIONS WILL BE DRY...HOWEVER THE PATTERN WILL SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SPEED CONVERGENCE SHOWERS ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR.
CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS REACHING OUR ZONES WITHIN
THE FAST EASTERLY FLOW.

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Good Morning.
The Tropical Atlantic is looking rather Cloudy.
A little early for that, I'd say!
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341. Skyepony (Mod)
Extreme weather in Zambia. Crops destroyed, a few homes collapsed.

Possible Meteor over New Zealand.
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Quoting KoritheMan:
Although that does bring to mind something I'm curious about.

Using Cody's grouping, how would you guys rate my forecasting? Criticize if you want, constructive or otherwise.

Better than C, but not quite D. ;)
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Quoting KoritheMan:


I disagree. Are Drak, Levi, and StormW (when he was here) A's? Degrees can only do so much. Even atmoaggie, a certified meteorologist, once told me that some of us here are probably more knowledgeable, or at least experienced, than he is, even though most of us lack degrees, simply because most forms of meteorological study don't focus so much on application as they do theory.


Kori, you do a great job.
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delphne is really close to tavarua fiji http://magicseaweed.com/Tavarua-Surf-Report/669/ here is the surf report
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
308 AM EDT MON APR 2 2012

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-022000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FZ.W.0004.120403T0400Z-120403T1200Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
308 AM EDT MON APR 2 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 30 DEGREES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
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336. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #10
TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE, CATEGORY 1 (19F)
18:00 PM FST April 2 2012
======================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VITI LEVU, YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, SOUTHERN LAU GROUP, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Daphne, Category One (995 hPa) located at 21.3S 173.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 20 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS enhanced infrared radar imagery and peripheral surface reports.

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM in northeast quadrant
180 NM in southeast quadrant
120 NM in southwest quadrant
150 NM in northwest quadrant

Overall organization remains good past 24 hours. Convection increased with primary bands wrapping around the low level circulation center. System lies under an upper diffluent region. Outflow restricted to the west of the system center but remains good elsewhere. The system lies in a low sheared environment and is being steered southeastwards by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature is around 28C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.6 wrap giving DT=3.0, MET and PT agree. Final Dvorak based on DT.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further intensification.

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 25.0S 177.9E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 29.1S 178.3W - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 34.1S 172.5W - 30 knots (TROPICAL DEPRESSION)

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services on TC Daphne will be issued at around 14:30 PM UTC..
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Good, but tired. You?


Good as well, just getting done with a thesis paper for one of my classes :/
Member Since: Septiembre 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6690
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Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


Hahaha, how you doin kori?


Good, but tired. You?
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Quoting KoritheMan:


For fabulous? I'll take it.


Hahaha, how you doin kori?
Member Since: Septiembre 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6690
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


F- ;)


For fabulous? I'll take it.
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Quoting KoritheMan:
Although that does bring to mind something I'm curious about.

Using Cody's grouping, how would you guys rate my forecasting? Criticize if you want, constructive or otherwise.


F- ;)
Member Since: Septiembre 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6690
Quoting Skyepony:
Cloudsat got a pass on that trough in the Gulf of Mexico.



Sheared thunderstorms, anyone?
Member Since: Septiembre 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3477
327. Skyepony (Mod)
Cloudsat got a pass on that trough in the Gulf of Mexico.

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326. Skyepony (Mod)
Check out the gulf tonight.. click pic for loop.. If it wasn't 40-50kts shear we'd be doom.

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325. Skyepony (Mod)
Sweet TRMM pass of Daphne~ click pic for loop
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Quoting bappit:
Everybody on this blog is an A. Just the way it is and nothing wrong with that.


I disagree. Are Drak, Levi, and StormW (when he was here) A's? Degrees can only do so much. Even atmoaggie, a certified meteorologist, once told me that some of us here are probably more knowledgeable, or at least experienced, than he is, even though most of us lack degrees, simply because most forms of meteorological study don't focus so much on application as they do theory.
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Everybody on this blog is an A. Just the way it is and nothing wrong with that.
Member Since: Mayo 18, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6140
Quoting KoritheMan:
Although that does bring to mind something I'm curious about.

Using Cody's grouping, how would you guys rate my forecasting? Criticize if you want, constructive or otherwise.


I think you are very close to TA13 with your forecasts
Member Since: Septiembre 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3477
Quoting KoritheMan:
Although that does bring to mind something I'm curious about.

Using Cody's grouping, how would you guys rate my forecasting? Criticize if you want, constructive or otherwise.


Dude, you just plain stink. LOL.

There's my April Fool's. :-)
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Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Someone's posted on here....the depression near Fiji has been upgraded to Tropical Cyclone Daphne. I am wondering why this isn't on the front page of wunderground.com/tropical?!


Is official now. It's Tropical Cyclone Daphne.

GALE WARNING 019 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Apr 02/0159 UTC 2012 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE CENTRE [995HPA} CATEGORY 1 WAS LOCATED NEAR
19.8 SOUTH 172.7 EAST AT 020100 UTC.
POSITION POOR.
REPEAT POSITION 19.8S 172.7E at 020100 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 18 KNOTS.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE.

EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 200 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 180 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 21.9S 175.7W AT 021200 UTC
AND NEAR 25.9S 179.4W AT 030000 UTC

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND
REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE
NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC
AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ


THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM.
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Quoting hurricaneoz:
Thanks to NCHurricane2009, Bergeron, Barefootontherocks and txjac for your input on the developing tropical storm approaching Fiji.

As you have probably worked out (once you found Fiji) getting info in that part of the world is pretty difficult. If something like that was in your part of the world hurricane hunters would have been buzzing around for hours by now.

Someone asked about Dvorak numbers: Link

Link to Fiji Bureau of Meteorology: Link

SST are at 30 Degrees - plenty warm enough for intensification.

It does look like a large system that is going to bring plenty of rain even to regions quite some distance away.


Someone's posted on here....the depression near Fiji has been upgraded to Tropical Cyclone Daphne. I am wondering why this isn't on the front page of wunderground.com/tropical?!
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Although that does bring to mind something I'm curious about.

Using Cody's grouping, how would you guys rate my forecasting? Criticize if you want, constructive or otherwise.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster


Depends on your niche. You seem to be better at tropical meteorology, but an objective evaluation of your overall forecasting skills leads me to say C.
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1st of all I don't need other peoples opinion as to what I am when it comes to predicting weather.And 2nd of all the only people that decide wheather I leave this site or not are the admin.Not the bloggers...
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17587
315. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #9
TROPICAL CYCLONE DAPHNE, CATEGORY 1 (19F)
12:00 PM FST April 2 2012
======================================

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VITI LEVU, YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, SOUTHERN LAU GROUP, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI GROUP.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL MAJOR RIVERS, STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS OF VITI LEVU.


At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Daphne, Category One (995 hPa) located at 19.8S 172.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 18 knots. Position poor based on hourly GMS enhanced infrared and visible imagery with peripheral surface reports.

Gale Force Winds
================
200 NM in northeast quadrant
180 NM in southeast quadrant
120 NM in southwest quadrant
150 NM in northwest quadrant

Overall organization remains good in past 24 hours. Convection increased with primary bands wrapping around low level circulation center. System lies under an upper diffluent region. Outflow restricted to the west of the system center but remains good elsewhere. The system lies in a low to moderate sheared environment and is being steered southeastward by northwesterly deep layer mean wind. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.6 wrap giving DT=3.0. MET and PT agree. Final Dvorak based on DT

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Most global models agree on a southeast movement with further development.

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 22.4S 176.7E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 26.5S 179.6W - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 33.9S 173.0W - 35 knots (CAT 1)

The next tropical disturbance advisory from Fiji Meteorological Services on TC Daphne will be issued at around 8:30 AM UTC..
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I'd give TA13 a C, though Mediocre is the wrong word.

I'd still a B, need to work on my skills. :D

P.S. Don't let other people decide if you leave, TA13. You are valuable to this site.
Member Since: Enero 30, 2012 Posts: 10 Comments: 224
night all
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster
Between C and D. I think your forecasting skills are equivalent and maybe even a bit better than someone like Reed Timmer. The problem with Reed is that he tends to exaggerate events so it hard to tell actually how good he is at forecasting. But I can say with confidence you are better than at least 99.5% of the global population at forecasting weather. I think you should create your own website in the same format as I would. I sent a email to a user explaining my plans on it. Would like to know what you think.


I am very serious about it but I am mainly planning to start such a business when I graduate from college or maybe a bit before. I have a long way (Still a High School student) to go before I am at the level at which I could produce a forecast without any help such as models, ect. What I think would be a great idea for now is if I could gather the resources for a general blog/weather resource site. I would basically create a site for weather enthusiast that would allow them to post blogs in a better format than what Wunderground has to offer (Making it more available to view would also be a part of this). I think the actual weather forecast could happen if the site is initially successful. Also have easy tools to provide streamed information such as NEXRAD & possible level 2 data radar.

As for blog tools I would like to have an easy to understand and outstanding interface. Examples of this would be including features of word that the site seems to lack like different front types, colors,ect. Of course this is very little but I think this is how a site should start off. Have very little but listen to your user and add their suggestions. Also have daily video chats with the community about certain topics ect. My ideal site is not one I create but the one I help to create from user feedback.

I cut parts of the Email out so if some things see missing that's why.

Edit: G'night everyone! TA13 if you would like to respond just PM me.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I mean wannabe in the sense that I cannot forecast at all and I just try to imitate other people's forecasts.


You get high marks from me, and I'm a tough marker. I respect your opinions. I guess you'd call that a 'C', for what it's worth.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

but what category do I fit in? lol.

I'm just asking because I've been getting a lot of private emails lately saying I suck at forecasting and I should just leave.
First the question is not whether you suck, but whether you suck as much as you used to. If your answer is no, then you are learning something and should stay.

If your answer is yes, you should still stay, as long as you enjoy being on the blog and forecasting. Nobody who comes to this blog has a right to tell others to go away, no matter how bad their forecasting is. Only the Doc and his appointees have that right.

My instinct re the emails is u r making somebody else look bad, or getting more attention than whoever it is that wants u to leave. My stubborn instinct in a case like that is to stay just to spite the malicious mailer....
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Yeah...thats most likely giving out hail stones to people.
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
For info on the Fiji system, try their met office.

http://www.met.gov.fj/

Current vis. image:



Recent surface map:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Thanks to NCHurricane2009, Bergeron, Barefootontherocks and txjac for your input on the developing tropical storm approaching Fiji.

As you have probably worked out (once you found Fiji) getting info in that part of the world is pretty difficult. If something like that was in your part of the world hurricane hunters would have been buzzing around for hours by now.

Someone asked about Dvorak numbers: Link

Link to Fiji Bureau of Meteorology: Link

SST are at 30 Degrees - plenty warm enough for intensification.

It does look like a large system that is going to bring plenty of rain even to regions quite some distance away.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Sure?


you gots mail, xD
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
TA13 already mentioned it, but WW 125 has been issued with hail being the main threat.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 125
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1005 PM EDT SUN APR 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA
EXTREME NORTHERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHWEST OHIO

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1005 PM UNTIL
300 AM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF CINCINNATI OHIO TO 70 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
CINCINNATI OHIO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST ALONG A SWD-MOVING
COLD FRONT AND SPREAD ESEWD FROM INDIANA INTO SW OH OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. A FEED OF MUCAPE NEAR 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR
NEAR 40 KT WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL.
THOUGH THE CONVECTION WILL TEND TO BECOME MORE ELEVATED WITH
TIME...ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30035.


...THOMPSON
Member Since: Agosto 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 5080
Quoting SPLbeater:


Predict the weather for my county for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday(April 4, 5, 6th). i will give you details in a mail message if you accept it :D

Sure?
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

What kind of test?


Predict the weather for my county for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday(April 4, 5, 6th). i will give you details in a mail message if you accept it :D
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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