Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

New product allows you to explore record-setting extreme weather
Posted by: Angela Fritz, 6:14 PM GMT en Febrero 23, 2012 +46
We've launched a new extreme weather product this week: Record Extremes. Recent, globally record-setting years have demanded a product that combines U.S. and international record extremes into one, easy to use interface. The Record Extremes page will give you the option to see U.S. and international records on a map and table. You can select any combination of record types at once, which, combined with the map, provides a interesting visual way to investigate record-setting events. The product uses data from three sources: (1) NOAA's National Climate Data Center, (2) Wunderground's U.S. records, and (3) Wunderground's International records.

The NCDC records begin in 1850 and include official NOAA record extreme events for ASOS and COOP weather stations in all 50 U.S. states as well as Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the Pacific Islands. In this database you can find records for maximum high temps, minimum high temps, maximum low temps, minimum high temps, snow, and precipitation on daily, monthly, and all-time scales.

The Wunderground extremes were compiled by our weather historian Christopher C. Burt. Chris monitors 300 stations across the U.S. for Record Extremes in maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, and snow events. Most of these U.S. records go back to the end of the 19th century, though the oldest site in this database is Charleston, SC, where precipitation records started in 1737! Internationally, Chris monitors 150 countries worldwide for all-time record high temperatures and all-time record low temperatures. If you're interested in diving deeper into extreme weather in the U.S. and abroad, Chris's book Extreme Weather is an excellent resource.



Figure 1. All-time snow records broken during the Groundhog Day Blizzard of 2011. These records were found by selecting NCDC as the source, a start date of 2011-01-31, an end date of 2011-02-02, "maximum snowfall," and "all-time."


We built the Record Extremes product to make it easy to find specific records you're looking for, or just browse the records in general.

Check records that were set on a specific date
You can check on records that were set yesterday, for example, by setting the calendar to yesterday's date, and selecting all the record variables and types that you're interested in.

Explore all records set in a certain time range
2011 was a record-setting year for the U.S., and most of the records were high maximum temp and high minimum temps. To see all of these warm records that were set last year, select "NCDC" as the source, 2011-01-01 as the start date and 2011-12-31 as the end date. Select Maximum High Temp and Maximum Low Temp in weather variables, and select all-time in the record type.

View current standing international records in the Wunderground database
Select either the Wunderground International records, and instead of choosing a date range, select "Show current standing records." This will bring up all standing records in the database for whatever record variable and type you select. Whereas we've collected every record ever set or broken from NCDC, the Wunderground records are always the current, standing record, whenever it was set. As you move your map around the globe, you'll see each country's all-time maximum high temp and all-time maximum low temp.

Filter your table results
Looking for a specific location or record within your search results? Use the "Filter Results" option in the table to narrow down your search.

Let us know what you think!

Angela
Categories: Extreme Weather
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201. GeorgiaStormz 1:11 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    




DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0658 PM CST THU FEB 23 2012

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY SWD
TO THE CNTRL GULF COAST...

...OH/TN VALLEYS TO THE CNTRL GULF COAST...
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING SEVERE POTENTIAL TONIGHT.
AS ANTICIPATED MODEL GUIDANCE HAS LARGELY BEEN OVERDONE WITH RESPECT
TO GULF MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE OH/TN VALLEYS WHERE A SIGNIFICANT
WLY COMPONENT TO LOWER-LEVEL FLOW HAS HELD SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE
40S TO MIDDLE 50S. FARTHER S...AN EML HAS PROMOTED SUBSTANTIAL CIN
WHERE THE RICHER GULF AIR MASS RESIDES /REF 00Z LIX AND LCH RAOBS/.
IT APPEARS THE GREATEST TSTM COVERAGE WILL REMAIN FOCUSED ALONG THE
OH VALLEY DOWNSTREAM OF THE MID-MO VALLEY SHORT WAVE TROUGH. BUT THE
MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SUGGESTS SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL
REMAIN LIMITED DESPITE PRESENCE OF VERY STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /REF
MCD 0146 FOR NEAR-TERM DISCUSSION/.

WITH TIME...ACTIVITY MAY ATTEMPT TO FORM SWD ALONG A COLD FRONT
ADVANCING ACROSS THE MID-MS INTO THE TN VALLEY. HOWEVER...GIVING
PREFERENCE TO THE DRIER CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS /HRRR AND
WRF-NSSL/...IT REMAINS POSSIBLE THAT LITTLE IF ANY TSTMS ACTUALLY
FORM IN THE TN VALLEY. STILL...WILL MAINTAIN A CONDITIONAL SLIGHT
RISK GIVEN THE PREVALENCE OF SUPERCELL WIND PROFILES AND A MODEST
INCREASE IN MOISTURE RETURN.


TOWARDS THE CNTRL GULF COAST...GUIDANCE HAS NOW BECOME MORE BULLISH
WITH STORM DEVELOPMENT TOWARDS 12Z ALONG THE SEWD ADVANCING FRONT.
WITH GREATER INSTABILITY IN THIS REGION...CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO OVERCOME THE SUBSTANTIAL CIN AND
RESULT IN A FEW TSTMS. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD BE
WEAKENING...STRONG DEEP-LAYER W/SWLYS WOULD PROMOTE A RISK FOR
SEVERE HAIL/WIND SHOULD STORMS FORM PRIOR TO 12Z.

..GRAMS.. 02/24/2012


I sure hope storms get started. With 500+ helicities, that would be fun.
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7178
202. Treehorn 1:11 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting spbloom:


I would suggest to you that you consider the extent to which Heartland's activities are criminal in nature, and then reconsider your views of Gleick's actions in that light.

As for reliable facts about climate change, try just sticking to what Jeff, Ricky and other qualified scientists have to say.


I do not support Heartland at all, nor any think-tank bent on a biased outcome of a study before it has been performed. I do come here for the facts that Dr. Masters and others put forth. I happen to read Dr. Masters blog and The Atlantic on an almost daily basis, and for once, topics collided.
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203. Patrap 1:12 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
204. MTWX 1:13 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Convective outlook changes significantly! Now covering into Mississippi!
Member Since: Julio 20, 2009 Posts: 22 Comments: 1215
205. TropicalAnalystwx13 1:13 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
First Severe Thunderstorm Warning of the evening!



Member Since: Julio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25360
206. AussieStorm 1:14 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting MTWX:

I've actually worked with Paul over the phone on a number of occations, including our upgrade to Dual Pol slated for this fall. He's a great guy!

Well, click on the link cause he's on the phone with Bob just now.
Member Since: Septiembre 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13366
207. Articuno 1:15 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Re: JNCali: (I know the typo was already fixed but LOL)
Is that cold mass gonna drop very fart to south?
I guess it's gonna drop a very huge fart bomb to the south.
Member Since: Octubre 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926
210. hurricanehunter27 1:17 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Storm in KY heading towards Taylorsville needs a tornado warning right now. Radar is showing rotation and it seems to be forming a hook.
Member Since: Julio 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3474
211. MTWX 1:19 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting AussieStorm:

Well, click on the link cause he's on the phone with Bob just now.

Unfortunately I'm at work and the website is blocked! :(
Member Since: Julio 20, 2009 Posts: 22 Comments: 1215
212. Patrap 1:19 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings



Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.


SVR T-STORM WARNING LOUISVILLE KY - KLMK 809 PM EST THU FEB 23 2012

Severe Warnings Issued More Than Three Hours Ago

SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 142 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 111641
213. TropicalAnalystwx13 1:19 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Storm in KY heading towards Taylorsville needs a tornado warning right now. Radar is showing rotation and it seems to be forming a hook.

Tornado Warning? Rotation? Nah, just some gusty winds and quarter sized hail. Storm Relative Velocities don't show anything near the surface.
Member Since: Julio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25360
214. TomTaylor 1:20 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting sunlinepr:


The surf in Rincon is raging! Solid swell in the 4ft Overhead Plus range everywhere
do you surf sunline?
Member Since: Agosto 24, 2010 Posts: 18 Comments: 3914
215. MAweatherboy1 1:20 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Storm in KY heading towards Taylorsville needs a tornado warning right now. Radar is showing rotation and it seems to be forming a hook.

Pretty nasty looking storm.
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6379
216. Articuno 1:21 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting kipperedherring:
I hate it when that happens...

me too..
But sometimes it comes out to be funny.
Member Since: Octubre 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926
217. hurricanehunter27 1:21 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Tornado Warning? Rotation? Nah, just some really strong winds. Storm Relative Velocities don't show anything near the surface.
It may have been the clutter.
Member Since: Julio 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3474
218. GeorgiaStormz 1:21 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Storm in KY heading towards Taylorsville needs a tornado warning right now. Radar is showing rotation and it seems to be forming a hook.



been tracking this storms development and the rotation has stayed extremely weak and broad.
Storms are moving into higher helicites and this is a 30,000 ft storm so well see what happens
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219. Patrap 1:23 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
There are now 301 Days until the 2012 Winter Solstice.

Enjoy your evening.
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220. hurricanehunter27 1:23 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
HOOK!
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221. GeorgiaStormz 1:23 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    


Upper level rotation tracks across center of screen.
I dont have hi-res radar!
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222. AussieStorm 1:23 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting MTWX:

Unfortunately I'm at work and the website is blocked! :(

Well it's being recorded just go to livestream.com/wrbn

Dual-polarization radar info. (pdf)
Member Since: Septiembre 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13366
224. TropicalAnalystwx13 1:24 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
HOOK!

How often do you have your radar set to update? The storm looks a lot worse now.

You may also want to set Storm Motion. Do you know how to do that?
Member Since: Julio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25360
225. hurricanehunter27 1:25 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

How often do you have your radar set to update? The storm looks a lot worse now.

You may also want to set Storm Motion. Do you know how to do that?
Every min if there is one. And yes I do I'll set some up but it is rapidly strengthening.
Member Since: Julio 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3474
226. Patrap 1:26 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Charleston
NEXRAD Radar

Base Reflectivity 0.50° Elevation
Range 124 NMI

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227. TropicalAnalystwx13 1:26 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Every min if there is one. And yes I do I'll set some up but it is rapidly strengthening.

Mine goes every 20 seconds.
Member Since: Julio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25360
228. BobWallace 1:27 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting Neapolitan:
He's already profoundly hurt his credibility and career; perhaps he figures there's nothing to gain and much to lose by ratting out another insider.

Anyway, an analysis suggests that the document Heartland has been claiming as faked is, indeed, genuine. Now, as has been repeatedly noted, what Gleick did was stupid and unethical. But while two wrongs absolutely do not make a right, it doesn't change the fact that Heartland has been exposed (again) as a manipulative, unethical, and amoral organization bent on ensuring the public is kept confused and in the dark about the greatest threat humankind has seen in dozens of millennia.

Now that Gleick has done the right thing in admitting to his wrongs, I'm still breathlessly waiting for someone on the denialist side to come forward and admit to the criminal acts that they perpetrated in stealing the so-called "climategate" emails and disbursing them in cherry-picked fashion to outlets that ran them with great glee--hypocritical Heartland being among the tops. Waiting. Waiting. Waiting...


The version I heard is that Gleick contacted Heartland staff using the name of a board member (or someone inside the organization) and asked for documents.

If that's the case then there is no "insider", just a staffer who assumed the name on the request was real.
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229. hurricanehunter27 1:28 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Mine goes every 20 seconds.
I also have Level 3.
Member Since: Julio 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3474
230. TropicalAnalystwx13 1:29 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
I also have Level 3.

Cool, I have GR2Analyst, lol.
Member Since: Julio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25360
231. hurricanehunter27 1:31 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Cool, I have GR2Analyst, lol.
Also I was using the TSDF tower. I believe that is a higher definition radar. One of the few times a storm was close enuf to be looked at it.
Member Since: Julio 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3474
232. Neapolitan 1:31 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting Treehorn:


Actually, I never said Gleick manufactured anything, just that he passed the article on. Some very difficult items to explain from the strategy document are:

1. Unlike the other documents, it's written in the first person (and with many more grammar mistakes than the other documents). Yet, oddly, the author's name is never mentioned or signed. It also reads like the Green Goblin or Lex Luther wrote it, a super-villain monologuing his sinister plan.

2. The strategy document originates from the west coast, as a pdf scan, the day before the story broke. The other documents were electronic files from an email account in CST (where Heartland offices reside), other than the IRS document which was EST.

3. The Koch donation was $25,000, not $200,000 ($200k was the amount they hoped to receive in 2012 - you can read this in the confirmed real documents that were exposed). The $25,000 was assigned to the category code HCN, short for Health Care News, another area Heartland is involved in. The strategy memo completely botches this fact - You'd think the "board member" writing this, who also supposedly had the financial documents, would get this right, or know where major contributions fell. The memo seems to go out of it's way to involve Koch and resonate a popular theme identified with skeptics.

4. The strategy memo oddly mentions Gleick, and singles out Forbes, a site where Gleick has done some opinion pieces. Gleick is hardly the lead target for venom being spewed forth by biased think-tanks like Heartland.

5. An AGW skeptic think tank labels themselves "anti-climate?" Seems like a very peculiar phrase. Gleick has used the phrase "anti-climate" in past writings.

There is more evidence the strategy memo is not authentic. You can read more here:
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/ 02/heartland-memo-looking-faker-by-the-minute/2532 76/

So yes, given all the evidence, it's my opinion the document was false.
Perhaps instead of wondering why Gleick passed along the article, you could conclude that he did so because it's authentic?

Anyway. you've nicely enumerated all the items that came out in the piece in The Atlantic. But I'd already read all them, and don't find them convincing. Here's the "evidence" in a nutshell, all of it circumstantial and conjectural, and of the sort that likely wouldn't be allowed in most courtrooms: the memo uses a different POV; it's from a different time zone; it contains a numerical typo; it mentions Gleick; it uses the term "anti-climate".

A bit flimsy, no?

Anyway, rather than re-enumerate the items outlined in the wonderful DeSmogBlog deconstruction of the Heartland strategy memo, I'd direct you to this verifiably true Heartland document. Then tell me that it's not as wacky as the memo Heartland claims is phony. And pay special attention to the passage on page 8 discussing "climategate". You'll note an obvious lack of talk about how the emails were illegally stolen. And you'll also note this passage: "Heartland once again played the lead role in informing the public about these blows to alarmist credibility."

Hypocrisy, thy name is Heartland.
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233. MAweatherboy1 1:32 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KYC081-187-240200-
/O.NEW.KILN.SV.W.0001.120224T0129Z-120224T0200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
829 PM EST THU FEB 23 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN GRANT COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN OWEN COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 900 PM EST.

* AT 825 PM EST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTH
OF MONTEREY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN OWEN AND SOUTHERN GRANT COUNTIES...INCLUDING
MONTEREY...BEECHWOOD...NATLEE...NEW COLUMBUS...KEEFER...
LAWRENCEVILLE AND CORINTH.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...
I-75 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 145 AND 151...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3835 8484 3835 8487 3837 8488 3838 8490
3841 8489 3861 8460 3849 8455 3842 8463
3836 8471 3833 8478
TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 246DEG 37KT 3833 8488

$$
ASL

Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6379
234. TropicalAnalystwx13 1:32 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Warning #2:

Member Since: Julio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25360
235. BobWallace 1:35 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting RTSplayer:


About time someone got a brain.

Think of all the parking lot space at shopping centers and hospitals.

Not only do you get free power, you reduce the heat stress on the concrete or asphault, making the parking lot require less maintenance.

I don't know why shopping centers don't cover their entire roofs in solar panels, as well as the parking lots, and sell any excess energy to the grid.

Grid tie inverters are 99.9% efficient now.


You also get cooler cars on a hot day and some cover to keep rain off your head as well.

Parking lots - great places for solar farms. Those sections of roads where people often get caught in stop and go would be another good location.

Let the price of panels come down a bit more and you'll start seeing lots of parking lot and rooftop installations. We've just seen a drop below $1/watt and it is expected prices will get to around $0.70/watt later this year.

Member Since: Febrero 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
236. MTWX 1:36 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
The line is starting to work its way south...
Member Since: Julio 20, 2009 Posts: 22 Comments: 1215
237. hurricanehunter27 1:36 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
HOOK!
Also want to say at that time the storm had a 72dbz return. That is some huge hail.
Member Since: Julio 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3474
238. TropicalAnalystwx13 1:40 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Also want to say at that time the storm had a 72dbz return. That is some huge hail.

dbz doesn't always correlate with hail size. Quarters is what was falling.
Member Since: Julio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25360
239. MAweatherboy1 1:42 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Also want to say at that time the storm had a 72dbz return. That is some huge hail.

According to NWS a trained spotter has reported .7 inch diameter hail covering the ground
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6379
240. GeorgiaStormz 1:43 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
On its current track, the southern storm will soon enter higher shear and helicities
Could be something to watch with it.
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7178
241. hurricanehunter27 1:44 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

According to NWS a trained spotter has reported .7 inch diameter hail covering the ground
So it was just large amounts of small hail. Seems that the updrafts in this thunderstorm could support nothing more.
Member Since: Julio 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3474
242. PensacolaDoug 1:46 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting Patrap:
There are now 301 Days until the 2012 Winter Solstice.

Enjoy your evening.



WOO HOOO!!! YEAH BABY!!!!
Member Since: Julio 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 4828
243. hurricanehunter27 1:48 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
The most potent environment is in TN right? Also new MD issued.
Member Since: Julio 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3474
244. Patrap 1:52 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
The MD was from 6:28 pm CDT

repost of #189


www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md




MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0628 PM CST THU FEB 23 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NE KY...FAR SRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 240028Z - 240200Z

A SEVERE THREAT MAY DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS NE KY AND FAR SRN
OH. A MARGINAL HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED AND A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED EARLY THIS EVENING.

CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM
FAR SRN IND ENEWD ACROSS NRN KY INTO WV. THE ACTIVITY IS LOCATED
JUST AHEAD OF A BAND OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT MOVING EWD ACROSS CNTRL
KY AS SHOWN BY RUC ANALYSIS. THIS COMBINED WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES
OF 75 TO 80 KT EVIDENCED ON WSR-88D VWPS...COULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. IF A CLUSTER OF SFC-BASED STORMS CAN
INITIATE ACROSS NCNTRL KY AND PERSIST EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN AN
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT ALONG WITH HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGER CELLS. HOWEVER...THE AIRMASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY IS CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK INSTABILITY WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S F AND MLCAPE VALUES GENERALLY BELOW 500
J/KG. THIS THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT LOOKS MARGINAL FOR A SUSTAINED
SEVERE THREAT AND ANY THREAT THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL.

..BROYLES.. 02/24/2012


ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON 39018320 39188443 38938542 38348577 37948547 37688495
37698397 37828320 38348285 39018320
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245. GeorgiaStormz 2:10 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7178
246. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:10 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Tomorrow looks like a better Severe Weather day for sure. There will be more instability, more shear, less capping issues, more forcing, and it will come during the peak heating of the day.

The best part of it is that I will be right in the thick of it.

Member Since: Julio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25360
247. SPLbeater 2:23 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

dbz doesn't always correlate with hail size. Quarters is what was falling.


VIL is good to see if a cell is producing hail.

but you might already know that:)

You seem like your awful excited about some severe weather tomorrow too....
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3955
248. Chucktown 2:25 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Tomorrow looks like a better Severe Weather day for sure. There will be more instability, more shear, less capping issues, more forcing, and it will come during the peak heating of the day.

The best part of it is that I will be right in the thick of it.



CAPE and LI's will be very impressive around here tomorrow, but mid-level lapse rates are not going to be all that impressive. Also, cloud cover ahead of the front will somewhat suppress solar insolation which will limit how much the atmosphere will be able to destabilize. Main thing to remember, it's still February, not July. I'm not expecting a widespread severe outbreak across the Carolinas, but rather a broken line of convection with isolated strong to severe cells. Main threat will be hail and damaging winds. While an isolated tornado can't be ruled out, it will not be the main concern. I do expect these areas to be under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch sometime tomorrow, but not a Tornado Watch.
Member Since: Agosto 27, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1392
249. SPLbeater 2:27 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting Chucktown:


CAPE and LI's will be very impressive around here tomorrow, but mid-level lapse rates are not going to be all that impressive. Also, cloud cover ahead of the front will somewhat suppress solar insolation which will limit how much the atmosphere will be able to destabilize. Main thing to remember, it's still February, not July. I'm not expecting a widespread severe outbreak across the Carolinas, but rather a broken line of convection with isolated strong to severe cells. Main threat will be hail and damaging winds. While an isolated tornado can't be ruled out, it will not be the main concern. I do expect these areas to be under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch sometime tomorrow, but not a Tornado Watch.


im not enthused about being in a 30% range.
I still got pictures from last april in my head:/

Yesterday i was in the 5% range for damaging wind, and sure enough at 12:30 a strong line of storms rolled through and produced some strong windspeeds.
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250. GeorgiaStormz 2:31 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
blog is slow...did evry1 go 2 bed already?
Member Since: Febrero 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7178
251. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:32 AM GMT en Febrero 24, 2012    
Quoting Chucktown:


CAPE and LI's will be very impressive around here tomorrow, but mid-level lapse rates are not going to be all that impressive. Also, cloud cover ahead of the front will somewhat suppress solar insolation which will limit how much the atmosphere will be able to destabilize. Main thing to remember, it's still February, not July. I'm not expecting a widespread severe outbreak across the Carolinas, but rather a broken line of convection with isolated strong to severe cells. Main threat will be hail and damaging winds. While an isolated tornado can't be ruled out, it will not be the main concern. I do expect these areas to be under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch sometime tomorrow, but not a Tornado Watch.

I don't know..they considered issuing one this afternoon, and wind shear is more than favorable for an isolated tornado threat.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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