Irene hits New Jersey and New York; Jose threating Bermuda; 92L forms
Hurricane Irene hit New Jersey ten miles north of Atlantic City at 5:30 am EDT, as a minimum-strength Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Irene is only the second hurricane since 1851 to hit New Jersey. At 9 am EDT, Irene made a third U.S. landfall over Long Island, NY, and New York City, as a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. Top wind gusts measured in New York City were 60 mph at Central Park at 3:58 am; 67 mph at La Guardia at 4:10 am; and 59 mph at JFK Airport at 1:33 am. A 91 mph gust was recorded in Sayville, NY on the Central Long Island coast, at 7:02 am. Emergency managers reported that the nearby town of Lindenhurst (population 28,000), on the south side of Long Island, was mostly under water due to a storm surge. The storm surge at The Battery on the southern shore of Manhattan reached 4.0 feet, overtopping the sea wall in several locations. Fresh water run-off from Irene's torrential rains, riding on top of a 3 to 4-foot storm surge, allowed the swollen East and Hudson Rivers to overflow at the edges of Manhattan. Irene's rains have now ended in New York City, after accumulating to 7.60" at Central Park. This brings total rainfall for the month of August in New York City to 19.68", making it the wettest month in the city since record keeping began in 1869. The previous record was 16.85", set in September 1882. Philadelphia, PA and Newark, NJ have also set all-time wettest month records, thanks to Irene's rains. The 19.40" of rain that has fallen in Philadelphia this August is probably the most rain any major city in the Northeast, U.S. has received since 22.43" fell in Newark, NJ in August 1843, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt.

Figure 1. Storm surge at The Battery on the south end of New York City's Manhattan Island as of noon EDT Sunday, August 28, 2011. The green line is the storm surge, which is the difference between the observed water level (red line) and what the water level should have been without the hurricane (blue line). At 4:45 am, the storm surge peaked at 4.0 feet. The surge declined to about 3 feet during the high tide cycle, then rose again to near 3.9 feet as the tide started going out. Image credit: NOAA Tides and Currents.

Figure 2. Total rainfall over the past 30 days along the mid-Atlantic coast and New England has topped 15 inches (purple colors) in many areas, making August the wettest month in recorded history for the cities of Philadelphia, Newark, and New York City. Image credit: NOAA/AHPS.
Irene's rains bringing significant river flooding
Irene brought more than eight inches of rain to a long stretch of the Atlantic coast from North Carolina to New York. NOAA's Significant River Flood Outlook is showing that significant river flooding is already occurring along coastal regions of North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey, and is expected to spread to Eastern Pennsylvania, eastern New York, Western Massachusetts, and most of Vermont and New Hampshire.
The 1903 Vagabond Hurricane
The only other hurricane to hit New Jersey since 1851 was the 1903 Category 1 Vagabond Hurricane. According to Wikipedia, the Vagabond Hurricane caused heavy damage along the New Jersey coast ($180 million in 2006 dollars.) The hurricane killed 57 people, and endangered the life of President Theodore Roosevelt, who was sailing on a yacht near Long Island, NY, when the hurricane hit. New Jersey only rarely gets hit by hurricanes because it lies in an portion of the coast that doesn't stick out much and is too far north.

Figure 3. The path of the 1903 Vagabond Hurricane, the only other hurricane to hit New Jersey since 1851.
Tropical Storm Jose forms
Tropical Storm Jose formed this morning in surprise fashion, managing to maintain enough heavy thunderstorms in the face of very high wind shear of 40 - 55 knots to become the season's tenth named storm. Jose does not have long to live, due to the strong upper-level winds from Hurricane Irene that are creating the shear. Jose will likely bring strong winds near tropical storm force later today when it passes just west of Bermuda. Satellite loops show that there is very little heavy thunderstorm activity associated with Jose, and Bermuda will see much less rain than is usual for a tropical storm passing so close.
Elsewhere in the tropics: Invest 92L forms
A strong tropical wave located off the coast of Africa, about 200 miles south of the Cape Verde Islands, is moving west at 10 mph, and has been designated Invest 92L by NHC this morning. This system has a large amount of heavy thunderstorm activity and moderate amount of spin, and appears likely to develop into a tropical storm later this week, as all of the computer models are developing it. NHC is giving 92L a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday. This storm will be moving more slowly across the Atlantic than Irene did, and will take at least 6 days to reach the Lesser Antilles Islands. Forecast tracks from the long-range GFS and ECMWF models suggest that Bermuda might be the only land area threatened by 92L, but it is too early to be confident of this.
Hottest day in Houston's history
The mercury hit 109°F (42.8°C) yesterday at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport, tying September 4, 2000 as the hottest day in the city's history. Yesterday was the also the hottest August day on record in Houston, besting the 108°F reading of August 18, 1909. This year, Houston has set its record for all-time hottest temperature, most 100° days in a year (36, old record was 32, and 4 is normal), and most consecutive 100° days (24, old record was 14.) Weather records in Houston go back to 1889. Houston needs 20.18" of rain to get to normal levels of rainfall for the year. Today's high is predicted to be 107°F in Houston, so yesterday's record may be in danger of being broken today. By the end of the week, Houston is expected to cool down below 100°, and a weather pattern conducive for bringing summer rains will move in.
I'll have a new post Monday morning.
Jeff Masters
Tree puzzle, after Irene (
bluesy)
Reader Comments
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SUCKS!!!!
It's most likely too close to 92L for now. They may get a little distance between each other in the next couple of days.
Yeah, was surprised to see the humidity was still so low when I got up from my nap to see the clouds. lol
In all due respect, I pay homage to its drive and perserverence.
Ufo in Bronx 27 august 2011
Would be interesting to see them do the Fujiwara dance.
The Latest
*Click graphic to magnify (graphic is also able to be magnified in Link window by clicking on it)
That wave behind 92L already looks good.
What's that spin up just SW of PR?
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
944 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011
AT 8:42 AM EDT THIS MORNING THE TIDE LEVEL AT THE BATTERY REACHED
9.5 FEET MLLW. THIS IS THE SIXTH HIGHEST LEVEL EVER RECORDED AT THE
BATTERY. AT 9:06 AM A MAXIMUM SURGE OF 4.5 FEET OCCURRED WITH THIS
HIGH TIDE IN COMBINATION WITH THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.
OTHER NOTABLE LEVELS REACHED INCLUDE THE TOP TWO OF 11.2 FEET MLLW
AND 10.9 FEET MLLW WHICH OCCURRED DURING THE HURRICANE OF SEPTEMBER
1821 AND HURRICANE DONNA IN 1960 RESPECTIVELY...AND 9.6 FEET MLLW
DURING THE NOREASTER OF DECEMBER 1992.
And how can it be cloudy and 107 degrees at the same time?
Looking at 850 voracity, as opposed to percip, hour 66 shows the high a little better and building in strong. Getting more and more interesting with every look. I am addicted to this gfs models and the euro.
Jim Cantore
Heartbroken RT @Kasiatherealtor: @JimCantore youtube.com/watch?v=DsdfsY… Video of Quechee bridge washing away
_______________________
Doesn't actually show it washing away, but...
WRAL Weather posted this fact on Facebook: While we're all picking up after Irene, a quick but rather important reminder: Hurricane season doesn't even peak for two more weeks, and it runs fully through November. Hazel, Donna, Diana, Gloria, Fran, Floyd and Isabel all struck the North Carolina coastline AFTER this date (today's date of August 28th).
This season is long from over :\
Weather Underground
NBC: No NJ Transit service to Meadowlands Sports Complex tomorrow for Giants-Jets game, plus other modifications here: bit.ly/mWd8Ct
Windham, Greene County NY Tropical Storm Damage
Hurricane damage in Hatteras Island, NC
I saw that too. Does anyone have info or link to what's going on up there?
LOL 92L is way too far out there and too early too what it will do
right now 92L is more S then TD 10 was i find it vary rare if this storm would be comeing out too sea with a stormt his far S
Never underestimate the power of water. Irene will go down as a water disaster in many areas.
Yeah... she's getting retired.
Southern New England is still under a Tropical Storm Warning. So far my folks, sister, and nephew are without power. I haven't talked to the rest of my family, though.
Wilma developed south of Jamaica in the Central Caribbean.
Yeah, so no "bodies floating" like the troll came up with yesterday. Thank God!
Non event!!!
Also, the vort max seems to agree and is below 10N.
I wish we had better views of the area in all the maps.
RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1135 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011
Thanks for your efforts!
I said no way earlier :) Funny little storm just popped up out there. Strengthening too.
It bothers me a little, living on the gulf coast here in Kemah Texas in that it appears the life's of the NE are more important than ours. A Cat 2 storm here is a mere blip on the radar, except when it comes to the price of gas. If it effects Washington DC or NY, it's an epic event, according to the media and overall conscious of the American pysche.
and he makes a very good point. for all bloggers (i should say idiots) that say this storm was a non-event......what did you want? devastation? did you want NYC to be leveled? for god sakes have you thought about what chaos that would have caused in the world.....the stock markets are already crashing, so you were wishing for complete collapse of the world economy?...what would that have done to YOU as you sit in front of your computer, safe and sound eating snacks and blogging???....
let's all take a minute to pray for everyone along the eastern seaboard. although many see this personally as a minor inconvenience of no electricity....many HAVE indeed suffered traumatic losses, and let's not downplay that fact any longer.....
You thought I was talking about Irene? No..I don't think Irene's wind field extends THAT far out ;)
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