Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:24 PM GMT en Mayo 27, 2011 | +6 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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LOL!
Your comment is a very interesting subject and it can be analysed in many directions. This is the way I relate it... For decades, superpowers have made experiments involving "weather manipulation", like in Vietnam, the Caribbean. Russians and Chinese have also experimented. I find that subject quite interesting, although many of those studies are classified...
The TUTT that runs from the ULL near 30N 50W to the ULL near 25N and 80W is a killer for anything trying to develop in the Caribbean right now. You can see it by running this WV Loop and selecting both the lat. and long. as well as the high level winds by checking the relevant boxes.
The ULL over the Northern Bahamas/S. Fla is retrograding to the West and this is allowing the moisture to lift farther N in the NW Caribbean, albeit slowly. This lifting of the moisture must precede the slackening of the shear. Once the moisture stream makes it NW to the Yucatan channel there will be a better chance for development as this should coincide with a significant drop in shear in the SW Caribbean. Probably another 24 hours IMO.
2217 400 3 ESE ATKINSON HOLT NE 4252 9892 NEARLY GRAPEFRUIT SIZE HAIL SIZE MEASURED BY STORM CHASER. ACTUAL DIAMETER OF STONE WAS 3.5 INCHES. (LBF)
Maybe substituting 'Trying, to Form,' with 'Tending to Form,' Might be a better way the general public could understand what is going on.
Interesting to think of the kind of power needed to humanly change a weather system, or maybe it could be as simple as the little rudder moving a big ship if done in the right way?
A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAVE FORMERLY CARRIED AS A
SURFACE TROUGH. IT HAS BEEN TRACKED BACK TO WEST AFRICA...AND IS
NOW APPROACHING TRINIDAD AND VENEZUELA. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-12N BETWEEN 56W-62W.
Very interesting your point.. "the kind of power needed to humanly change a weather system". The only way we could humanly do it, it to interact, seed or affect, ahead of time, what would become a major system in the future, hoping to acquire the desired results. That's what the US made in Vietnam in the Ho Chi Minh trail, seeding with Silver Iodide the clouds...
"Project Popeye was an attempt to indefinitely extend the rainy monsoon weather over southeastern Laos by cloud seeding. Testing on the project began in September above the Kong River watershed that ran through the Steel Tiger and Tiger Hound areas. Clouds were seeded by air with silver iodide smoke and then activated by launching a fuse fired from a flare pistol. 56 tests were conducted by October and 85 percent were judged to be successful. President Johnson then gave authorization for the program, which lasted until July 1972".
WWUS53 KFSD 310010
SVSFSD
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
710 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011
SDC009-023-043-067-310045-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-110531T0045Z/
HUTCHINSON SD-DOUGLAS SD-CHARLES MIX SD-BON HOMME SD-
710 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BON HOMME...
SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES MIX...EASTERN DOUGLAS AND WESTERN HUTCHINSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...
AT 710 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED...
PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO TENNIS BALL SIZE...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF CORSICA TO DANTE...
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
AVON AND DELMONT AROUND 715 PM CDT...
TYNDALL...TRIPP...SPRINGFIELD AND PARKSTON AROUND 725 PM CDT...
TABOR AND SCOTLAND AROUND 740 PM CDT...
CLAYTON AROUND 745 PM CDT...
THE STRONGEST PORTION OF THIS STORM IS HEADING DIRECTLY TOWARDS
DELMONT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
OLIVET.
cmc
ecmwf-ensmean
ecmwf-oper
gfdl
gfs
hwrf
ngp
on one nice page to access:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
I would hazard a guess that sunlight shielding, if it could be achieved would be a good track to go down, a bit difficult to imagine how but you don't need much fog or smoke to block out a lot of light/heat and so might be able to cause a system to be 'steered.'
Chemical seeding is difficult and expensive large scale.
almost as bad as lawyer talk!
Also, the link you posted has ukmet model runs as well, however they're not located directly on the site. To access the ukmet model runs you have to add "ukm" to the end of the url as shown below
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ukm
Here's the active Link
A handful of old men walking down the village street
In worn, brushed uniforms, their gray heads high;
A faded flag above them, one drum to lift their feet-
Look again, O heart of mine, and see what passes by!
There's a vast crowd swaying, there's a wild band playing,
The streets are full of marching men, or tramping cavalry.
Alive and young and straight again, they ride to greet a mate again-
The gallant souls, the great souls that live eternally!
A handful of old men walking down the highways?
Nay, we look on heroes that march among their peers,
The great, glad Companions have swung from heaven's byways
And come to join their own again across the dusty years.
There are strong hands meeting, there are staunch hearts greeting-
A crying of remembered names, of deeds that shall not die.
A handful of old men?-Nay, my heart, look well again;
The spirit of America today is marching by!
Thank you Veterans, past, present and future!!
AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW RETROGRADES TO SOME DEGREE ACROSS THE
GULF OF MEXICO UNDER THE MIDWESTERN/MID SOUTH RIDGE...THE
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ALL AGREE ON A CONVECTIVE LOW
PRESSURE AREA FORMING NORTH OF PANAMA WHICH SLOWLY LIFTS NORTHWARD
NEAR THE 80TH MERIDIAN WITH TIME. CONVECTIVE LOW DEVELOPMENT IN
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD BE A SLOW PROCESS CONSIDERING THE
LARGE UPPER LOW RETROGRADING TO ITS NORTHWEST CAUSING VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR EARLY ON WITH A SUBSEQUENT SLOW EXPANSION OF THE UPPER
HIGH WESTWARD FROM THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ANTICIPATED.
THE SYSTEM ALSO APPEARS TO BE OF FAIRLY LARGE SIZE PER THE
GUIDANCE. THE POINTS FOR THIS LOW WERE COORDINATED WITH NHC AT
17Z.
In The People's Republic of China, it's no secret that the Party controls just about everything. But as Beijing suffers through its second major snowstorm this season, residents are growing weary of their leadership's control-freak tendencies. After all, while the storm came as a surprise to residents, the government knew about it all along. In fact, the government caused it.
China has long tinkered with Mother Nature's waterworks, even establishing a state organ -- the Beijing Weather Modification Office -- whose sole purpose is to meddle with the weather. The purpose behind weather modification is less megalomaniacal than it sounds at first pass; a large swath of northeast China, including Beijing, has been mired in a drought for nearly a decade, and the party leadership would like to reverse that trend for both practical reasons and to show the Chinese people exactly who is in charge.
To do so, they've turned to cloud seeding, a controversial practice that involves launching (or dropping) chemicals into the atmosphere -- silver iodide in China, though dry ice and liquid propane also work -- that cause water vapor in the air to crystallize at temperatures it otherwise would not. Its effectiveness is dubious; while it's generally accepted that it works to some degree, it can only increase precipitation by 20 percent. Sometimes....
.
http://www.popsci.com/science/article/2009-11/chi nas-weather-manipulation-brings-crippling-snowstor m-beijing
Now, can we Imagine, if this is a technique that was used in the 1960's, what will be the Actual experiment?
Thank You TT......
In the WPAC
I think steering systems is the first concern that has to be overcome and by altering the surface/air temperature this can possibly affect the natural directions of the moist systems.
As far as I can grasp from some of you learned persons this is what the atmosphere does naturally, until possibly recently with the introduction of 'pollution factor.'
I would hate for this to succeed to be honest, mother nature would react in a way none of us has seen before if you try this and succeed.
With the shape this world is in, countries would use this to send bad weather to other countries; it would also ruin the profession of meteorology altogether IMO. If man could completely control the weather, would there really be need for a job where someone tells you what is forecast?
Not to mention that failures can cost lives.
Think of what the accumulation of those chemicals in the atmosphere could do. The effect it will have on health, the ozone layer and what if it begins to change the global climate on a whole. We could find ourselves with intense droughts.
we already have an example of it coming back to bite us, remember that storm in the 60s that was going out to sea? They decided to go and seed it; what happened?
It didn't weaken the storm and the storm took a sharp turn back towards land.
In a world where we truly do not understand all that is involved in creating weather; trying to alter is a very dangerous idea.
True, it's a bad idea... But the quest for weather control began long ago and it is a MUST for every superpower to sustain a weather manipulation program as part of their national defense system....
maybe countries should stop focusing on how to control the weather and start protecting themselves form other countries.
Sounds like a stupid Sci-Fi movie; the idea sound so far-fetched and stupid
Again you mess with mother nature, she will bite you back
"There is a very active area on the sun as rotated onto the invisible solar disc. This active area has got the potential for more flaring for the next five to six days," space weather forecaster Kobus Olckers of the Space Weather Warning Centre at the Hermanus Magnetic Observatory told News24.
He said that communications and electronic systems might be affected.
"The internet could be a little slower for the next week or so and especially long distance communications."
That active area isn't in a geo-effective position at the moment. It will be in an active area in about five to six days from now," said Olckers.
"We will keep you posted and see how it develops. It's rapidly developing at the moment but it can get into a non-threatening format over the next few days," he added.
He said that people need not take any special precautions.
"The levels of X-rays aren't enough to really affect biological systems. This time around its technological systems."
Link
I know but look how much money is spent on projects like this, that could be used elsewhere
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