Another flooding mega-disaster: Sri Lanka recovers from extreme flooding

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:14 PM GMT en Enero 19, 2011

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At least 43 are dead and thousands still in refugee camps due to extreme flooding in eastern Sri Lanka caused by record monsoon rains. According to the United Nations, the rains in recent weeks in Sri Lanka have been the heaviest in nearly 100 years of record keeping, and the flood that resulted was a 1-in-100 year event, according to The U.N. Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System. Rainfall at Batticaloa, Sri Lanka, during the 42-day period December 1 - January 12 was 1606 mm (63"), which is about how much rain the station usually receives in an entire year (1651 mm, or 65".) Sri Lanka's previous most devastating flooding disaster was the 2004 tsunami, but as The Economist commented, "in terms of the numbers of people displaced and farmland inundated, the floods have been even more devastating than the tsunami of December 2004." Damage estimates start at $500 million, and much of Sri Lanka's agriculture has been severely damaged by the disaster. Also of concern is the large number of land mines from the recent Sri Lanka civil war that may have been unearthed by the floods. Water is also a major concern in the flood-hit area, as fighting between government forces and Tamil Tigers rebels from mid-2007 to May 2009 damaged or destroyed almost all of the water facilities.


Figure 1. A family affected by the 2011 Sri Lanka floods braves the flood waters. Image credit: United Nations.

Sri Lanka is now the fifth nation in the past six month to suffer a flooding disaster unprecedented in its history. As I reported in a previous post, the other four mega-impact floods--the July 2010 Pakistan floods, the December - January Queensland Australia floods, the November 2010 Colombia floods, and the January 2011 Rio de Janeiro floods--were all accompanied by an atmosphere laden with moisture, due, in part, due to sea surface temperatures over nearby ocean areas that were the 2nd or 3rd warmest on record. However, that was not the case for the Sri Lanka floods. Ocean temperatures during December 2010 were 0.2°C below average in the 5x5 degree square of ocean adjoining the island (5N - 10N, 80E - 85E). The floods appear to be due to the normal monsoon rains that typically affect the region this time of year, enhanced by the strong La Niña event occurring in the Eastern Pacific.


Figure 2. Satellite-estimated precipitation over Sri Lanka for January 3 - 9. Up to 18 inches (525 mm) fell over eastern Sri Lanka. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

Jeff Masters

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Ike, you have a really good grip on reality. I think some of the others do not.

Especially the one who is coughing up phlegm all the time.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
*yawn*

I hope the Sri Lankans can get enough food, though I know they aren't very wealthy.
And, I hope this is just a WAG, as it seems, and it isn't nearly as bad as it could be.
"much of Sri Lanka's agriculture has been severely damaged "
Member Since: Agosto 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
54. Inyo
People, global warming is important stuff but please don't forget the other reason floods have been increasing lately: degradation of watersheds.

We have no hope against more frequent storm events caused by global warming, if we don't get our watersheds in better condition.
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the earth is pretty old. so all the past climate changes would be blamed on what, the wrath of god?
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.....,,walking more.

Always a Healthy choice.

Plus the Ladies Love my Dog.

So thats a BONUS incentive
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:
Disasters taking place, throwing money to everything, gas prices soaring, debt soaring, when your stupid economy tanks into the ground and the crash of 2012 takes hold, global warming will be the least of your worries


DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
Member Since: Octubre 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1563
50. IKE
Quoting Xyrus2000:


You make this sound like a question of faith, which it isn't. It is a question of science.

Th closest comparison would be Intelligent Design. You have copious amounts of research and science on one side, and you have faith on the other.

The same stunts are being pulled regardless. And again, it's not the first time this has happened in regards to climatological findings (see what happened with the ozone hole research).


I don't have time to sit here and do a bunch of research. Nor do I care to.

I'm not doing anything to curb GW. I still use plastic bags at Wal-Mart..drink out of 2 liter plastic bottles and throw them in the garbage. Still burn leaves and branches each winter.

What are you doing personally to curb GW?
Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
A perfect example of infinity,the GW debate.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting IKE:
There is no such thing as anyone stating how they feel about GW and leaving it at that.

The believers vs. the non-believers. Fire away!


You make this sound like a question of faith, which it isn't. It is a question of science.

Th closest comparison would be Intelligent Design. You have copious amounts of research and science on one side, and you have faith on the other.

The same stunts are being pulled regardless. And again, it's not the first time this has happened in regards to climatological findings (see what happened with the ozone hole research).
Member Since: Octubre 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1563
46. IKE
Quoting Neapolitan:

Certainly everybody has the right to an opinion. You know, some people have the opinion that Brussels sprouts are tasty. I, on the other hand, loathe them. My opinion is that they taste like worms must taste.Now, someone can eat Brussels sprouts all day long, and it doesn't affect me one bit. Likewise, I can avoid them for the rest of my life and not affect those who love them. No harm either way.

But...

When the opinion of so many policymakers is that the planet isn't warming, it does affect me, as I and my kids have to live in the world they help shape. A simple analogy: if the crazy guy down the street believes we should nuke every country in the Middle East, that's his own delusional fantasy; I can just ignore him. But if a person in Congress believes that same thing, well, then, I'm going to have to disagree, because that's very worrisome.

You said, "Maybe [non-believers in AGWT are] right" Yeah, maybe. And maybe the Tooth Fairy is real; after all, there's about as much solid scientific evidence supporting its existence as there is denying AGWT. ;-)


And what are you doing about GW to curb it?
Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
Seriously..?




LOL


http://objectivistindividualist.blogspot.com/2010/08/satellite-temperature-record-now.html

The personal thoughts of Charles R. Anderson are presented here. He is a materials physicist, a benevolent and tolerant Objectivist, a husband and a father, the owner of a materials characterization laboratory, and above all a thinking individualist. The critical battle of our day is the conflict between the individual and the state. We must be ever vigilant and constant defenders of the unalienable and sovereign rights of the individual to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.
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Thats Ludicrous.

at best.

And who is We?









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Quoting IKE:
For the record, I haven't avoided my opinion on GW. I believe it exists. Is it reversable? Maybe. Could I be wrong? Yes. Do I feel like sitting here all day everyday trying to convince the non-believers? No. Maybe they're right.

Everyone has a right to an opinion. What I would like to know is...of the believers...what are you doing to curb GW?

Certainly everybody has the right to an opinion. You know, some people have the opinion that Brussels sprouts are tasty. I, on the other hand, loathe them. My opinion is that they taste like worms must taste.Now, someone can eat Brussels sprouts all day long, and it doesn't affect me one bit. Likewise, I can avoid them for the rest of my life and not affect those who love them. No harm either way.

But...

When the opinion of so many policymakers is that the planet isn't warming, it does affect me, as I and my kids have to live in the world they help shape. A simple analogy: if the crazy guy down the street believes we should nuke every country in the Middle East, that's his own delusional fantasy; I can just ignore him. But if a person in Congress believes that same thing, well, then, I'm going to have to disagree, because that's very worrisome.

You said, "Maybe [non-believers in AGWT are] right" Yeah, maybe. And maybe the Tooth Fairy is real; after all, there's about as much solid scientific evidence supporting its existence as there is denying AGWT. ;-)
Member Since: Noviembre 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13611



A story of a dog’s dedication to its family, following their deaths last week in Brazil. Translated from Fohla.com:

The former street-dog Caramelo helped rescue the bodies of its owners, whose were killed during last week’s rains, then did not want to leave the makeshift grave of his owner.

It lived with its owner, Cristina Cesário Maria Santana, and three other people in a house of the Caleme quarter, one of the most devastated in Teresópolis. The house was destroyed and the family died. The dog escaped, but dug for them until finding them.

When the rescue teams arrived, Caramelo guided them to the bodies. Caramelo was rescued, but did not want to leave the grave of its owner and now he is very depressed and needy.
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The United Nations has appealed for emergency aid to help victims of flood-hit Sri Lanka.

At least 38 people have lost their lives and many others are still missing.

Crops have been severely damaged and thousands of people are now homesless.

Al Jazeera's Veronica Pedrosa reports from one of the worst hit districts.

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(swoon)
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Once again were shown that "Leadership"is a learned trait too.

Alabama Governor Says Only Christians Are His 'Brothers And Sisters'
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The Earth dosent strip coal and burn it. Man Does.

The earth dosent dig and drill for Oil and Burn it 24/7 365..either last I checked.Man Does.

But if Exxon could get some Spider Monkeys to do it they certainly would maybe.


Ackk!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
32. IKE
For the record, I haven't avoided my opinion on GW. I believe it exists. Is it reversable? Maybe. Could I be wrong? Yes. Do I feel like sitting here all day everyday trying to convince the non-believers? No. Maybe they're right.

Everyone has a right to an opinion. What I would like to know is...of the believers...what are you doing to curb GW?
Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
Time to cut to the chase.

What is the carbon footprint of 18 billion people?

Birth to death.

That includes feeding, housing, cleaning up the resultant pollution from potty time for all those people.

What animals will be raised to feed those billions and what will their carbon footprint be.

Photovoltaic is the only carbon footprint free system of energy production. So no carbon there.

Hows about it math masters what cha say?

How does that footprint compare to the footprint of fossil fuels et al today.

Remember, the footprint of the 18 billion people assumes photovoltaic energy production.



For use at a later date: posted by Neo 011911

I'm not avoiding the subject; I'm just waiting for something more intelligent to be said about it (a non-scientific, error-filled diatribe about the "Global Warming Hoax" by an anti-environmental, "staunchly conservative", warmongering PR flack isn't worth addressing beyond this sentence).
Member Since: Octubre 10, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 716
Yup..for those without a clue,,well,they migrate here Like Snowbirds to Fla to hammer away on things they really havent a clue seems.

They cackle along with innuendo and nothing more than a inner fear that they may be causing the warming along with the rest of us,,the Guilt is moot.


Earth Warms with tonnages per day of emissions,24/7/365,,and changes the Face of Iracus.


Or do the Methane and Co2 Fairies come out and wave their magic Wands to clean the Planet while we sleep..?

All is well.

Ignore the signs and data,,and burn a pile of tires.

Its a free country.
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Quoting Patrap:



The Earth is closet to the Sun in January,,and Winter in Antarctica begins June 21st.
  

Coach or First Class in a C-17 is still kinda moot.


I know,I was thinking of that woman some time ago that needed medical attention and they couldn't evac. her. Just a tidbit of how brutally cold it gets down there.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
Now we have folks even trying to "avoid" a tender subject cuz they well...

Ill leave ya hanging on the rest,,

I'm not avoiding the subject; I'm just waiting for something more intelligent to be said about it (a non-scientific, error-laden, lie-filled diatribe about the "Global Warming Hoax" written by an anti-environmental, "staunchly conservative", warmongering PR flack--then cut-and-pasted here, without attribution, by a troll--isn't worth addressing beyond this sentence).
Member Since: Noviembre 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13611
2 Wars and a Baseball owner will do dat.

LOL

Seems some have missed the Dow this week so far.

ACK!!!

Index Value: 11,837.93
Trade Time: Jan 18
Change: Up 50.55 (0.43%)
Prev Close: 11,787.38
Open: 11,783.82
Day's Range: 11,777.99 - 11,858.78
52wk Range: 9,596.04 - 11,909.2

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The Earth is closet to the Sun in January,,and Winter in Antarctica begins June 21st.


Coach or First Class in a C-17 is still kinda moot.


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:
Disasters taking place, throwing money to everything, gas prices soaring, debt soaring, when your stupid economy tanks into the ground and the crash of 2012 takes hold, global warming will be the least of your worries


It certainly does seem to be going that way doesn't it.

As they say in the financial world, the pendulum swings both ways. We have been on the high end of the happy side of the pendulum swing for so long that many of us thought it was the permanent state of affairs. Now we are finding out otherwise.

Maybe it is time to begin battening down the hatches so to speak.


Member Since: Octubre 10, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 716
I have an Idea,get all the AGW'S to take a trip to Antarctica in the winter,Oh wait you can't fly into Antarctica in the winter it's too frickin' cold!  Oh well, i'll have to come up with another plan.
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On the Frontlines of a Warming World, 925 Million Undernourished People

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* Report Questions Role of Shale Gas as Bridge to Low Carbon Future
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* On the Frontlines of a Warming World, 925 Million Undernourished People
18 Jan 2011



content by SolveClimate

By Stacy Feldman at SolveClimate

Tue Jan 18, 2011 4:00am EST



The rapid surge in staple food prices in 2008 that sparked global riots and sent millions into poverty is back. Now, researchers say that because of global warming and trends in population, these dramatic price movements in the food economy are likely here to stay.

The influential Worldwatch Institute, based in Washington, D.C., gave warning last week that if current trends continue, extraordinary weather events like last year's Russian heatwave that wiped out 40 percent of the nation's wheat crop will recur more frequently, with effects felt everywhere and especially in the world's poorest regions.

"The frontlines of this crisis are occupied by the world's 925 million undernourished people," the group said in its annual State of the World report.

Every year since 1984, the institute has catalogued current environmental problems across the world; this is the first annual volume dedicated to food and agriculture.

Authors of the 270-page report say the second spike in world food prices in just two years is a "harsh reminder of the vulnerability of a world food system" amid "an increasingly unstable world climate." The drought in Russia rapidly boosted food prices by one third, with ripple effects that have spread across the entire food market.

The report's focus on food instability and global warming reflects what many environmental analysts have been working to do: making visible the link between increases in man-made greenhouse gases and cuts in world farm output.

Lester Brown, founder of both the Worldwatch Institute and the Earth Policy Institute (EPI), where he currently serves as president, says he is certain that climate change-induced droughts, water shortages and flooding from heavy rains pose urgent danger to global food security.

The 76-year-old pioneer of American environmentalism and sustainable development has authored or co-authored over 50 books in his decades-long career — many of which warn about the risks of the overconsumption natural resources. His latest work, "World on the Edge," details a planet teetering on the brink of "politically destabilizing food price rises."

The world is creating a "food bubble," he says, which could theoretically burst "at any time now."

"The new reality is that the world is only one poor harvest away from chaos," Brown told reporters on a conference call to launch his new book. If a heatwave on par with Russia's struck the U.S. — the world's largest grain exporter by far — it would trigger "chaos in world grain markets," he said.

Need to 'Stabilize Climate,' Not Chase Techno-Fixes

Something fundamental is affecting world supply of cereals, Brown continued, adding that "we need to be thinking about how to stabilize climate."

Nearly every year in the past century has been hotter than the year before as carbon dioxide levels increased. National science agencies from the U.S., Canada, the UK and India announced in recent days that 2010 tied with 2005 the warmest year ever recorded since records began in the late 19th century.

Between 2006 and 2008, wheat prices shot up by about 135 percent and corn by 125 percent, with knock-on effects on soybeans, rice and other basic foodstuffs, in part due to crop shortfalls from extreme weather events.

Now, the world is back again to record-high food prices. The U.N. Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) announced recently that its food price index jumped 32 percent in the second half of 2010, the highest ever recorded.

Of course, sudden grain price hikes are not new. Single weather events have caused crop failures many times during the last 50 years, sending prices soaring until they boomeranged back, usually within a year.

But today's "agflation" looks different to many observers.

"There is no norm to go back to," said Brown. "The world's climate is in the process of change." What we are seeing now, he said, are "trend-driven rises" not "event driven" ones.

Of course, factors affecting food prices are complex. They include fluctuations in oil prices, financial speculation in commodity futures, agricultural subsidies, soil erosion, aquifer depletion and the increasing appetite of ethanol refiners for the American corn crop, which directly affects the food market by diverting grain away from food for fuel.

This year, for instance, the U.S will use about 119 million tons of its harvest of 400 million tons to mix with oil — enough to feed about 350 million people for a year, according to EPI. Brown says the corn required to fill up an SUV tank can feed one person for a year.

Adding to the mix are several slow and tough-to-reverse trends. In addition to warming, Brown highlights the pressures of an annual population growth of 80 million people and increasing demand for meat in middle-class Asia, which is triggering demand for animal feedgrains.

Brown said quick-fix technological solutions in the agricultural sector designed to fine tune plant breeding — such as drought- or cold-tolerant seed strains — "are marginal" in terms of their effectiveness in raising grain yields. "I don't see anything with dramatic gains."

The Worldwatch Institute authors agreed. "The seeds and fertilizer are often too expensive for the vast majority of poor farmers, or they are simply unavailable," they wrote. "This is a seductively simple formula, but in many cases it has not worked."

'We Have to Move Fast': 80% Cut by 2020

"We have to move fast," Brown said. "And that means restructuring the world energy economy" to control the rise in global temperatures.

"It means shifting from fossil fuels, from oil and coal and gas to wind, solar and geothermal" by lowering income taxes and creating a carbon tax, he continued, "hopefully with the United States taking the lead."

Brown called for a dramatic 80 percent cut in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020, at a time when rich nations' collective carbon cuts add up to only a 12 to 19 percent reduction, according to figures from the World Resources Institute.

Wind energy is his solution of choice to slow the pace of warming. "We see a world where we would build maybe two million wind turbines at two megawatts each over the next decade. That would be enough to back out of coal fired power."

"It's entirely doable," Brown said. "We produce 70 million cars in the world every year."

Similarly, the writers of the Worldwatch Institute's report believe on a whole that agricultural production is at risk from climate change. On the hopeful side, they argue that farming could mitigate against dangerous climate changes if new management practices are urgently applied that help sequester planet-heating carbon in soil.

"To prevent disastrous climate change, it will help if farmers all over the world are rewarded for building up the carbon content of their soils," the report said.
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Seems we have some real haters this am,,If you dont like a poster,,use the site controls.

And maybe try some diaper rash meds.

Ack!!..

LOL
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Howdy all...Oh good, a fresh new topic...where's the coffee?
Member Since: Julio 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 491
17. IKE
Quoting HIPPOCRITT:


...........WAITING FOR JFLORIDA TO TELL US WE'RE ALL WRONG.............


As if we don't know how he feels about it. He'll be here in a few hours.
Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
Disasters taking place, throwing money to everything, gas prices soaring, debt soaring, when your stupid economy tanks into the ground and the crash of 2012 takes hold, global warming will be the least of your worries
Member Since: Julio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9648
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Now we have folks even trying to "avoid" a tender subject cuz they well...

Ill leave ya hanging on the rest,,
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Thanks for the update, Dr. Masters. Amazing: "...in terms of the numbers of people displaced and farmland inundated, the floods have been even more devastating than the tsunami of December 2004". That's saying quite a bit. And especially devastating is the news of land mines being unearthed by the flooding. I sincerely hope that no one--least of all innocent kids like the ones in the picture--lose life or limb because of man-made stupidity. How sad...
Member Since: Noviembre 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13611
Its boring to you,,Wunderful.



Somewhere,,leaves await.
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10. IKE
Quoting Neapolitan:

What?! Really!? Well, you've convinced me!

:-\


Good. End of a boring discussion that neither you or I can do anything about.
Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
Quoting HIPPOCRITT:
There is no such thing as GLOBAL WARMING.
where do you live i will sent you some global warming/climate shift weather just your state will be good enough
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Quoting HIPPOCRITT:
There is no such thing as GLOBAL WARMING.

What?! Really!? Well, you've convinced me!

:-\
Member Since: Noviembre 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13611

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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