The Atlantic is quiet; Pakistan monsoon rains continue; last day of Russian heat wave
A tropical wave in the Caribbean near Jamaica is generating disorganized thunderstorm activity over the central Caribbean. Wind shear is a moderate 10 - 20 knots over the region, and water vapor satellite images show that there is some dry air to the west of Jamaica that will interfere with any development that might occur. None of the reliable computer models develop this wave.
The GFS, NOGAPS, and ECMWF continue to predict that a tropical storm will form between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands 3 - 7 days from now. A strong tropical wave currently moving off the coast of Africa is a good candidate for such a development. The NOGAPS model is predicting the development of a strong tropical disturbance near the coast of Honduras this weekend.
Figure 1. Extreme flooding along the Indus River in Pakistan has swollen the river to 16 miles (24 km) wide in sections, as seen in the top image from yesterday. For comparison, and image taken a year ago at this time in August (bottom image) shows that the Indus is normally just 1 - 2 km wide during monsoon season. Image credit: NASA Natural Hazards web site.
Extreme flooding and monsoon rains continue in Pakistan
In flood-ravaged Pakistan, heavy monsoon rains hit the Punjab region in the northeastern portion of the country yesterday, dropping up to 113 mm (4.45") of precipitation. The main river in Pakistan, the Indus, continues to cause extreme flooding, and has expanded to 16 miles (24 km) wide in some sections (Figure 1.) Dr. Ricky Rood, who writes our Climate Change Blog, has a sister that works in Pakistan. He has a must-read analysis of the catastrophe in Pakistan, "Pakistan: A Climate Disaster Case Study".
Moscow hits 93°F on the final day of the Great Russia Heat Wave of 2010
Temperatures at Moscow's Domodedovo airport hit 34°C (93°F) today, which is 13°C (22°F) above average. However, pressures are falling rapidly and winds are picking up out ouf the southwest in advance of a powerful cold front that promises to sweep through all of European Russia tonight, finally bringing an end to the Great Russian Heat Wave of 2010. The latest forecast for Moscow predicts Thursday's high will be just 21°C (69°F)--essentially average. With tonight's cold front will come rain to help put out the fires that continue to plague Russia with toxic smoke. Cool temperatures near of below average over the coming week will also help fire-fighting efforts.
Jeff Masters
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Look at it real close. It is a 24 month running average. So that would eliminate the immediate ups and downs that occur most current.
not too loud....some of my peeps find out I hang with a bunch of cheap drunks I will never hear the end of it......smuldy I will say I am your drinking partner if I get caught....lol
possible home brew gom
I have never been to Miami Beach...only the area easing through to Islamorada to sit at the tiki bar...being the rough country redneck my experiences with Miami have all been negative....being a FSU graduate does not help either...lol
Ah nice, will see if I check with my doctor, these late nights got to stop, sorry XCool! XD
08 18 2100 11.47 -23.01 WNW 16 - 29.85
08 18 1700 11.47 -23.01 WSW 18 - 29.83
08 18 1600 11.47 -23.00 WSW 18 - 29.83
08 18 1400 11.47 -23.01 W 12 - 29.88
Buoy close to 31L, showing the pressure is falling and the winds are picking up, but where exactly is our forming low? XD
low forming
Post 1604:
Post 1871:
Pretty please?
That's because everyone in Ct are NY fans...lol
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