Flooding Continues Along the Rio Grande

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 8:52 AM GMT en Julio 10, 2010

Share this Blog
4
+

Hi everybody, Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Jeff while he's on vacation.

Things have quieted down in the tropics. No invests are active, and the tropical waves at sea don't have many thunderstorms associated with them. However, the moisture associated with Alex and TD Two is still bring widespread showers to Mexico/Texas which is contributing to flooding alon the Rio Grande. Here are several videos documenting the troubles along the Rio Grande.









Finally, here's a story about relief efforts in northern Mexico for villages cutoff by flood damaged roads and bridges.


Next update
Jeff should be back on Monday. Have a good weekend.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 726 - 676

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54Blog Index



MIMIC imagery is very telling. The "moisture contraction" seen in the last few frames at the African coast is usually indicative of a powerful and organizing tropical wave. Most waves don't survive that phase and go POOF when they emerge over water. This one looks to be doing just peachy.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
725. JLPR2
The GFS was right on target with the wave, the ParaGFS had no clue, so it seems the regular GFS is better at predicting Cave Verde lows.
Member Since: Septiembre 4, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 8514
724. xcool
Member Since: Septiembre 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15626
Quoting HurricaneLovr75:
What is this new pop up asking for your user name and password?


I got that too, I'm not dumb enough to fall for it though. WU works the same without it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


GAME ON.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
721. xcool
yellow come soon
Member Since: Septiembre 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15626
Quoting Grothar:


You obviously don't know me well? Yes, of course I was kidding. I throw those little things out there to see if atmoaggie corrects me. Sigh, he always does.
No, I don't! (just did it again)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
GFS 18z initialized a 1010mb low about the area where the Windsat showed

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
718. xcool
i fix it
Member Since: Septiembre 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15626
717. xcool
?/
Member Since: Septiembre 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15626
Prolly xcools imagery, since it's not visible... there's a particular website one has to avoid, iirc...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
GFS 18z continues to indicate the possibility of development before the system undergoes cyclolosis.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
What is this new pop up asking for your user name and password?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
713. JLPR2
Quoting xcool:



Xcool remove that link
Member Since: Septiembre 4, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 8514
something posted on this page is requiring authorization, please remove it
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
711. xcool
delete
Member Since: Septiembre 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15626
If the GFS verifies we are going to be in for some pretty nasty tropical activity. Be back in a bit.



Member Since: Septiembre 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21091
Quoting stormlvr:


Better get used to that nearby trough BaHa. It is likely to be a recurring theme this season though the ridge will have its moments. There should be enough troughing draped near or over the SE Coast and Eastern Gulf to impact storm tracks and lead to a great deal of forecast uncertainty. The European mid range pressure pattern strongly hints at this possibility. Unlikely to be a Carribean-Mexico-Texas only year as I have seen mentioned a few times lately. Might reconsider if the La Nina comes on strong and a strong negative NAO develops.
Yah, all of that is why I keep feeling so glum about that trough location.... I'd be so much happier if t were much further east....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Oil gushing from broken well as BP replaces cap

10/07/2010 2:56:41 PM

CTV.ca News Staff
Underwater robots removed a containment cap over the gushing oil well in the Gulf of Mexico Saturday, the start of at least a two-day period where crude will flow freely into the water before a new cap is set in place.


BP spokesperson Mark Proegler said the cap was removed at 12:37 p.m. CDT to make way for the new, tighter cap, which will funnel more oil to a tanker on the water's surface.

"Over the next four to seven days, depending on how things go, we should get that sealing cap on. That's our plan," said Kent Wells, a BP senior vice president.








Company executives say the best-case scenario is that the cap starts to collect all of the oil leaking from the broken well by Monday.

The previous cap had been in place since June 4, but was failing to capture all of the crude.

The new cap -- dubbed "Top Hat Number 10" -- is expected to fit more snugly.

However, oil will gush unabated from the well for at least 48 hours while the cap is being replaced. That could mean as much as five million gallons of crude spilling into the ocean.

But the new cap will not fix the broken well. Both company and government officials say two relief wells being drilled so that heavy mud and cement can be injected to stop the flow remain the most promising permanent solution.

"I use the word 'contained,"' said retired coast guard admiral Thad Allen. "Stop is when we put the plug in down below."

After the cap was removed Saturday, work began on removing a bolted flange, or overhang, so what's called a flange spool can be placed over the drill pipe, to be connected to the new cap.

That work may continue into Sunday and it could be days after the new cap is installed before tests prove whether it's working.

The company is also trying to hook up another containment ship -- the Helix Producer -- to another part of the leaking well. The ship is capable of siphoning more than one million gallons of oil per day, and could be operational by Sunday.

Combined with the new cap, all of the estimated 2.5 million to 3.4 million gallons gushing from the well per day can be contained, Allen said.

The BP oil spill crisis began on April 20 when the Deepwater Horizon drilling platform exploded, killing 11 workers.

The spill is considered the worst in U.S. history.

With files from The Associated Press
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
707. xcool
wave big ...hmmm
Member Since: Septiembre 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15626
Quoting jasoniscoolman2010x:
new picture
Pretty impressive. The wave seems to be sucking in all the thunderstorm activity to its east.
Member Since: Septiembre 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21091
Quoting IKE:


I've heard it could be 4-7 days before the new cap is placed over the oil-volcano.
it will run un-abated for 48 hrs while the new cap is lowered and positioned by monday where at that time the oil flow may be finally contained for the first time since entire event began also note it will be the most pressure on BLOW OUT PREVENTER as well once the cap is placed to stop flow of oil and achieve 100 percent containment
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BahaHurican:
I can't explain the way this unusually lingering trough / shortwave / low just off to our E / NE is making me feel somewhat perturbed...

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC ALONG 31N70W
26N74W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 26N-32N
BETWEEN 68W-73W.



Better get used to that nearby trough BaHa. It is likely to be a recurring theme this season though the ridge will have its moments. There should be enough troughing draped near or over the SE Coast and Eastern Gulf to impact storm tracks and lead to a great deal of forecast uncertainty. The European mid range pressure pattern strongly hints at this possibility. Unlikely to be a Caribbean-Mexico-Texas only year as I have seen mentioned a few times lately. Might reconsider if the La Nina comes on strong and a strong negative NAO develops.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
BP

Live feed



It makes me ill watching that. God help us the lake of methane located below the ocean floor doesn't ignite.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Drakoen:
Windsat pass

Evident broad area of low pressure. But I'm reluctant to trust the WindSAT on whether or not there actually is a low pressure area. Also, most of the data is rain contaminated/suspect.
Member Since: Septiembre 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21091
698. xcool
Member Since: Septiembre 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15626
Quoting Drakoen:
Windsat pass



some suspect data but you can certainly see a circulation there
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Drakoen:
Windsat pass

Hmmm... pretty clearly defined SW of Freetown, there...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
695. txjac
Quoting IKE:


Any guess as to what they make an hour? I'll say they're on salaries of $75,000-$100,000/year or about $50 an hour?



Salaries for ROV technicians vary greatly, depending on who the technician is working for and what


their skills are. Aside from just being the operator of an underwater robotic device the technician may also be trained in specific industrial skills, such as corrosion inspection or pipe-fitting, even explosives placement. ROV technician jobs in industry tend to pay more than those in scientific research. The oil and gas industry offers some of the highest salaries. The range of salary for remotely operated vehicle technicians may run from as low as $150 a day for research jobs to over $1000 per day for complex industrial jobs. As one progresses up the ladder to supervisor or company representative the
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
694. IKE
Quoting txjac:


I've been watching them all day ...man, those ROV operators are good!


Any guess as to what they make an hour? I'll say they're on salaries of $75,000-$100,000/year or about $50 an hour?
Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Windsat pass

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
692. txjac
Quoting IKE:


I've heard it could be 4-7 days before the new cap is placed over the oil-volcano.


I've been watching them all day ...man, those ROV operators are good!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KarenRei:


Hey, can anyone help me with this? I'm trying to fast forward in the stream to see what it looks like once they put the new cap back on -- but it won't let me. What am I doing wrong?

;)


because you cant fast forward into the future. lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
689. IKE
Quoting KarenRei:


Hey, can anyone help me with this? I'm trying to fast forward in the stream to see what it looks like once they put the new cap back on -- but it won't let me. What am I doing wrong?

;)


I've heard it could be 4-7 days before the new cap is placed over the oil-volcano.
Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
688. IKE
Caribbean and GOM look good the next 4-5 days....

SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
530 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 77W WILL MOVE INTO THE W
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND MON THEN INLAND TUE. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE
IN THE E CARIBBEAN ALONG 66W WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN
MON AND TUE THEN INLAND WED.



SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
430 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE ALONG 27N WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK SHIFTING SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH TO ALONG 29N TUE THROUGH THU.

Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Quoting Patrap:
BP has removed the Collection cap.

Live feed



Hey, can anyone help me with this? I'm trying to fast forward in the stream to see what it looks like once they put the new cap back on -- but it won't let me. What am I doing wrong?

;)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BahaHurican:
Well, there really isn't much else to watch worldwide...

Please enjoy the lull in the tropical Atlantic. However, please don't expect it to last too long :o)!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting goalexgo:


Imnot getting suckered in to this wave
Well, there really isn't much else to watch worldwide...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting IKE:
Good news for SJ,PR....

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
301 PM AST SAT JUL 10 2010

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST THROUGH SUNDAY. UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL LINGER NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL AREA NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST SECTION OF PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALSO OBSERVED. REST OF PUERTO RICO WAS MOSTLY SUNNY. ONLY ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT.
TROPICAL WAVE IS PASSING SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA...AND IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BRING ANY SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA. SUBSIDENCE AIR...IS MOVING IN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...WITH
SOME SAHARAN DUST SEEN IN LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES. LATEST
MIMIC TPW PRODUCT FROM CIMSS INDICATED ALSO A DECREASE IN
MOISTURE. THIS AREA OF DRY AIR WILL LINGER ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AT
LEAST THROUGH SUNDAY. HOWEVER...PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
BEHIND THE TROPICAL WAVE...WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT THE CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND MONDAY.
ALSO...A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW...CURRENTLY NORTHEAST OF THE
LOCAL AREA...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST NORTHWEST
AND WILL LINGER ENOUGH CLOSE TO THE LOCAL AREA...TO ENHANCE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS EACH AFTERNOON. IN THE LONG TERM...NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENTS ARE FORECAST TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA
DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK.




well considering this wave is more than 7 days away from PR, than that discussion is correct, but has very little bearing on what this wave or the one behind it will do
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I can't explain the way this unusually lingering trough / shortwave / low just off to our E / NE is making me feel somewhat perturbed...

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC ALONG 31N70W
26N74W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 26N-32N
BETWEEN 68W-73W.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
BP

Live feed

Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127647
681. IKE
Good news for SJ,PR....

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
301 PM AST SAT JUL 10 2010

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST THROUGH SUNDAY. UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL LINGER NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL AREA NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST SECTION OF PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALSO OBSERVED. REST OF PUERTO RICO WAS MOSTLY SUNNY. ONLY ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT.
TROPICAL WAVE IS PASSING SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA...AND IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BRING ANY SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA. SUBSIDENCE AIR...IS MOVING IN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...WITH
SOME SAHARAN DUST SEEN IN LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES. LATEST
MIMIC TPW PRODUCT FROM CIMSS INDICATED ALSO A DECREASE IN
MOISTURE. THIS AREA OF DRY AIR WILL LINGER ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AT
LEAST THROUGH SUNDAY. HOWEVER...PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
BEHIND THE TROPICAL WAVE...WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT THE CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND MONDAY.
ALSO...A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW...CURRENTLY NORTHEAST OF THE
LOCAL AREA...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST NORTHWEST
AND WILL LINGER ENOUGH CLOSE TO THE LOCAL AREA...TO ENHANCE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS EACH AFTERNOON. IN THE LONG TERM...NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENTS ARE FORECAST TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA
DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK.


Member Since: Junio 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
All the conditions are right for this wave to develop
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


Try wave #35, lol.


Imnot getting suckered in to this wave
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
678. xcool
Member Since: Septiembre 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15626
Quoting plywoodstatenative:
Baha did you ever get the rain you were expecting. Cause it was just plain bloody hot here.
It's been overcast here all day. Rained heavily in my area for about 20 minutes or so this a.m. Outside it's really humid, with occasional wind (southerly last time I looked) but not hot due to the cloud cover.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
GOES-12 Atlantic Low cloud Image
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127647

Viewing: 726 - 676

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
76 ° F
Muy nublado