Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

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Did anyone notice the wind barb above the African west coast 1010 Low? 135 knots?

Quoting Patrap:
Time until Friday, December 21, 2012 at 11:11:11 AM (UTC time)

It is 893 days, 12 hours, 46 minutes and 30 seconds until Friday, December 21, 2012 at 11:11:11 AM (UTC time)

??

Norcross is the man.

Only one that nailed it.

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Hurricane Andrew 1992 As it Happened Part-7

Where's the next one? XD

Andrewin no way affected me, but its still interesting to watch, I had one year by then LOL! :3

don't worry about that barb Ihave seen it on the caribbean map sometimes people make mistakes

Did anyone notice the wind barb above the African west coast 1010 Low? 135 knots?

Check the 12Z Tropical Surface Ananlysis from the TPC (NHC Tropical Wx Discussion)

????

There's more after this video...

Hurricane Andrew 1992 As it Happened Part 8 & Final

TS 3 in the W-Pac

Boring time

What strikes and strikes at me with these videos is how primative the knowledge was at 72 hours. We complain about our intensity reports in 2010, but these guys didn't know this storm would be more than a cat 2 as late as 36 hours ahead of time. Even the flop of Jeanne gave guidance on track 3 days out. By comparison with 1992, evacuations and other preps would have been well underway around the time the NHC was still debating the warning for SFL....

Quoting JLPR2:
TS 3 in the W-Pac

W-Pac... nice-looking though

Quoting klaatuborada:


Yes, we're s'posed to use Common Era, or Before Common Era, CE or BCE, with Common Era year one corresponding to AD year one, both using the Gregorian Calendar. But let's take this even farther, shall we? The Gregorian Calendar isn't used by everyone the world over, the Jewish Calendar is in year 4000 and something, and the Chinese calendar farther than that, the Buddist calendar, and then the Greek Orthodox use something different as well.

Here's my idea. We should have year 1 as 1945-1946, the year the first atomic bomb was dropped. We could call it AB, for after bomb, and BB for before bomb. Then we could call the days of the week, Sunao, Manuel, Tenisha, Wadi, Tung, Fred and Sezja. TGIF would still apply, and we wouldn't be offending anyone, just everyone. Works for me.

I think I'd like to go back and use the lunar calendar, as do the Jews, the Muslims, the Chinese, and some feminist pagans. Forgive me if I've forgotten anyone. Very interesting to me how most folks associate time with religion.

However in lieu of that, the afternoon thunderstorms are coming in. I'd better go make my milk and cookie offerring to Thor!......

You know tropics are dead if we are watching hurricane reruns!lol

Quoting BahaHurican:
What strikes and strikes at me with these videos is how primative the knowledge was at 72 hours. We complain about our intensity reports in 2010, but these guys didn't know this storm would be more than a cat 2 as late as 36 hours ahead of time. Even the flop of Jeanne gave guidance on track 3 days out. By comparison with 1992, evacuations and other preps would have been well underway around the time the NHC was still debating the warning for SFL....

i just attended an EOC meeting our new noaa weatherman, stated that @ 48+ hours out there model forecasts can been off by as much as 20mph +/-, which could mean the difference between an upgrade or downgrade in category

The continuation...

Hurricane Andrew 1992, Incredible Damage! Part-1



Hurricane Andrew 1992, Incredible Damage! Part-2



Hurricane Andrew 1992, Incredible Damage! Part-3



And yes, there are another 6 parts.

Quoting WindynEYW:
i just attended an EOC meeting our new noaa weatherman, stated that @ 48+ hours out there model forecasts can been off by as much as 20mph +/-, which could mean the difference between an upgrade or downgrade in category

What I saw was a 950mb pressure and 140 mph winds. We got REAL lucky with Alex this year. It was and really continues to be bad in MX, but it could have been so much worse.

18z GFS is out and is still forecasting a system in the SW Caribbean and head toward Honduras

Here are some images I saved from the landfall of Hurricane Alex:

thanks for the vids, MG09!!

and yes I do feel old.

I always do.

Quoting Patrap:
Time until Friday, December 21, 2012 at 11:11:11 AM (UTC time)

It is 893 days, 12 hours, 46 minutes and 30 seconds until Friday, December 21, 2012 at 11:11:11 AM (UTC time)

time is getting closer now
we are coming to a great crossroads
it is likly
that many are not going to make it

Quoting aquak9:
thanks for the vids, MG09!!

and yes I do feel old.

I always do.

No problem. LOL. You can access all these type of videos here. Just look under "uploads" in the right hand corner.

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


time is getting closer now
we are coming to a great crossroads
it is likly
that many are not going to make it

LMAO! Do you actually believe that garbage?

12z ECMWF 196 hours out. Probably a Tropical Storm on the 19th. I'm fairly confident in saying judging by the ECMWF's consistency on the wave that we'll eventually see at least a very interesting and well organized wave by next week.

yes I say our African AOI/Wave is naked but I got a felling that tonight is going to be a good night with D-Max and will blow up like a nuke

this year most be a MX year

I remember back when Grothar was just a Grot.

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
LMAO! Do you actually believe that garbage?

it is the time of the great purification and renewal of the earth friend and your age has nothing to do with it

Quoting wunderkidcayman:
yes I say our African AOI/Wave is naked but I got a felling that tonight is going to be a good night with D-Max and will blow up like a nuke

tonite gonna be a good nite :) mm already heard this somewhere lol

Quoting Baltimorebirds:
Eh I don't either.They said that back in 2000,and look we're still around.

That was a completely different set of events, 2000 had to do with the computer systems shutting down. 2012 is a whole different animal. I don't really buy into the whole "Dooms day" bit but I do believe there will be some huge changes, some maby catastrophic, but we're already seeing that now so.. ehh.. Only time will tell

Quoting CybrTeddy:

12z ECMWF 196 hours out. Probably a Tropical Storm on the 19th. I'm fairly confident in saying judging by the ECMWF's consistency on the wave that we'll eventually see at least a very interesting and well organized wave by next week.

oh! where?

Quoting TxKeef:



That was a completely different set of events 2000 was had to do with the computer systems shutting down. 2012 is a whole different animal. I don't really buy into the whole "Dooms day" bit but I do believe there will be some huge changes, some maby catastrophic, but we're already seeing that now so.. ehh..

Or, you'll wake up on December 13, 2012, realize everything is just as crappy as it always was, and wonder what the hubbub was all about...

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
it is the time of the great purification and renewal of the earth friend and your age has nothing to do with it

I will make it, KOG. One way or another, I know I'll be ok. I think you will be, too.

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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
it is the time of the great purification and renewal of the earth friend and your age has nothing to do with it

But do you really think that the world is going to end in 2012? I really see no factual proof of that. Same thing happened in 2000, and guess what we are still here. Also, this crust shift thing supposedly happens every 30,000 years. If that's going to kill us, how come we all didn't die 30,000 years ago? All that stuff doesn't make much sense to me as it is just talk.

this year is over

no more storms

this is 2009 part 2

primadonnagirl hmmm

i don't see anything in the ALT

THE winds are too strong and there is too much dust

we will have one more storm

then its over