Flooding Continues Along the Rio Grande

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 8:52 AM GMT en Julio 10, 2010

Share this Blog
4
+

Hi everybody, Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Jeff while he's on vacation.

Things have quieted down in the tropics. No invests are active, and the tropical waves at sea don't have many thunderstorms associated with them. However, the moisture associated with Alex and TD Two is still bring widespread showers to Mexico/Texas which is contributing to flooding alon the Rio Grande. Here are several videos documenting the troubles along the Rio Grande.









Finally, here's a story about relief efforts in northern Mexico for villages cutoff by flood damaged roads and bridges.


Next update
Jeff should be back on Monday. Have a good weekend.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 2676 - 2626

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54Blog Index

2676. portcharlotte
9:48 AM GMT en Julio 22, 2010
The COC of 97L will probably reform to the north if the original COC goes into Cuba
Member Since: Septiembre 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 703
2674. Chicklit
3:56 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Good morning, looks like we may get more rain in florida today. GOMLoop
What is the spin over florida and what's going on in the Bahamas? Anyone?EasternUSLoop
Member Since: Julio 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11390
2673. stormy3
3:54 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
The Poofcaster
Member Since: Septiembre 3, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 198
2672. hcubed
3:33 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting CybrTeddy:


No you haven't, you just completely ignored my post at 2626. You predicted 2008 would be inactive, and don't go saying your not stormkat, you are, and you've never once been right with your predictions. In fact, I've learned the past few years whatever you say expect the opposite to happen.


And whatever you do, don't ask him about Dean, either...
Member Since: Mayo 18, 2007 Posts: 289 Comments: 1639
2671. PolishHurrMaster
3:08 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Link

GEM shows a 1004 mb low near Nicaragua in 144 hrs - what you think???
Member Since: Mayo 19, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 358
2670. BahaHurican
3:07 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting robert88:
The SAL sure did a number on that TW off the Africa coast. A good lesson was shown of how the SAL can break down any system and even if it's a little N of the convection. It doesn't matter if it's a forming TD with a COC or a TW. As long as you have a spin it will pull that dry air in. 00Z ECMWF says no development for at least another 10 days. On water vapor you can see a major amount of dry air in the Atlantic basin. Enjoy the lull folks. I guess now would be a good time to get supplies and check over your evacuation plans. The meat of the season shall be here soon enough.
Morning, Rob. interesting thing w/ that wave... the associated low was way up near 20N yesterday.... brought some dry air off w/ it... I think that did as much to inhibit formation as anything else. Now the wave is a bit more consolidated near the CVs, I'm going to be watching to see how strong the SAL impacts are. I still don't think this wave is just going to fade, though. I doubt it will spin up right away, but I can see small potential there for it if it hangs on past 45W....
Member Since: Octubre 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22583
2669. Squid28
3:07 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting Drakoen:
It is really amazing how much amplitude these wave have; they are creating large perturbations within the AEJ.



Okay, I consulted storms blog for the acronym list, and could not find this one listed what is AEJ?
Member Since: Mayo 23, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 343
2668. bwi
3:06 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
From the LWX morning discussion. Sounds like we'll be getting some welcome rains in the mid-atlantic states courtesy of TD2:

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS GETTING CLOSER TO CONSENSUS IN RELATIVELY ROBUST UPR
DISTURBANCE CROSSING INTO AREA ON TUE/TUE NGT. SLY FLOW WILL CONT
INCRG LLVL MOISTURE...WHILE APPROACHING SHRTWV TROF LOOKS POISED TO
LIFT UP AS SOME OF THE MOISTURE FROM RMNTS OF TD 2 AND CARRY IT ACRS
MID-ATLC. RESULT WILL BE RICH MOISTURE...WITH PWATS AOA 2 INCHES.
Member Since: Septiembre 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1390
2667. weathermanwannabe
3:04 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
The SAL has retro-graded along with this particular wave but still no guarantees that it will develop into a storm down the road.....I'd like to see how it looks after getting past the CV islands at about 30-35W.
Member Since: Agosto 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9330
2666. nrtiwlnvragn
3:03 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
NEW BLOG
Member Since: Septiembre 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11274
2665. Patrap
3:01 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
FEMA Montana Declaration

Montana Severe Storms and Flooding

Declared July 10, 2010
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2664. wunderkidcayman
3:01 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
hey stormw please look at my comment # 2582

let me repost it

Ok guys take a look at these images and look between the CV Is. and Africa

06Z yesterday



06Z today



and look at it in motion



seem that the SAL is backing away from the Tropical waves
Member Since: Junio 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12526
2663. angiest
2:59 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
I don't know if anyone posted this yet, but it appears most of the tarballs recently recovered on Galveston did not come from DWH:

Link

HOUSTON—New laboratory test results released Friday showed that most of the tar balls that washed up on Texas shores during the past week were not from the massive Gulf of Mexico oil spill, the Coast Guard said.

Officials had initially said on Monday that the tar balls that were rolling up over the weekend on Galveston and other Texas Gulf shorelines were from the BP-operated Deepwater Horizon rig that blew up April 20, killing 11 people and causing an oil spill that has yet to be controlled. Now, the Coast Guard said only tar balls found Monday were from the rig.

The tar ball sightings in Texas, and the news that it had originated from the BP well, created a stir because it had been the only Gulf state untouched by the oil spill.

From the beginning, officials were perplexed by what they called "the weathering" of the tar balls, saying it was inconsistent with oil that had traveled 400 miles. They speculated the oil had not arrived with the currents or naturally, but may have been carried in by a vessel.

On Tuesday, National Incident Commander Thad Allen said officials were investigating five vessels that may have carried the oil to Texas.

Coast Guard spokesman Petty Officer Richard Brahm said the confusion resulted from a mistake made at a lab in Houma, La.

"It turns out that almost all the tar balls are not BP," Brahm said.

The more accurate test results arrived Friday from a Coast Guard lab in Virginia, Brahm said.

The tar balls that are from the Gulf oil spill were found Monday on McFaddin Beach, a stretch of coast east of Texas’ Bolivar Peninsula.

All oil has a distinct DNA of chemicals and the government has a database of the different oils in the reservoirs where drilling and production is going on. Further testing should be able to help officials figure out the origin of the tar balls in Texas, Brahm said. If a match is not made, it is likely they are the result of natural seepages from the seabed.
Member Since: Agosto 26, 2006 Posts: 16 Comments: 4766
2662. Patrap
2:58 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Poofage is a delicate thing...

Esp when Parachuting from a C-130
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2661. CycloneUK
2:57 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
La Nina is strengthening



Member Since: Marzo 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 39
2660. Floodman
2:57 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
and it was said that that wave was to go poof last night and this moring well I don't see it poofing I I got a feeling that we won't see this one go poof


Lots of alliteration from precocious posters
Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
2658. Patrap
2:56 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010

re-loaded SAL 5-day JAVA Movie N Atlantic
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2656. Patrap
2:55 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting Drakoen:
It is really amazing how much amplitude these wave have; they are creating large perturbations within the AEJ.



Dats a lot of momentum Drak..
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2655. Patrap
2:54 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Rising Tide 5 Aug 28th
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2653. robert88
2:53 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
The SAL sure did a number on that TW off the Africa coast. A good lesson was shown of how the SAL can break down any system and even if it's a little N of the convection. It doesn't matter if it's a forming TD with a COC or a TW. As long as you have a spin it will pull that dry air in. 00Z ECMWF says no development for at least another 10 days. On water vapor you can see a major amount of dry air in the Atlantic basin. Enjoy the lull folks. I guess now would be a good time to get supplies and check over your evacuation plans. The meat of the season shall be here soon enough.
Member Since: Mayo 22, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 907
2652. Drakoen
2:52 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
It is really amazing how much amplitude these wave have; they are creating large perturbations within the AEJ.

Member Since: Octubre 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30615
2651. Drakoen
2:50 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting StormW:
Morning Drak!


Morning StormW!
Member Since: Octubre 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30615
2650. CybrTeddy
2:49 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting Drakoen:
MIMIC-TPW and visible satellite imagery shows the spin off the Africa coast has become much more pronounced and is located within a deep moisture maximum. If it does become anything it will at least clear the way for the wave behind it which is showing excellent structure and an 850mb maximum within a high amplitude wave length.



Figure1. MIMIC-TPW


Figure 2. PVU Theta, Wind, and 900hPa Relative Vorticitiy


Models are on and off with developing the wave behind the one off Africa. ECMWF keeps on developing it in some way shape or form same with the GFS.
Member Since: Julio 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24485
2648. Patrap
2:45 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
For reference and distribution

Real-Time Weather Plots for the Northern Hemisphere Tropics



Synoptic-Dynamics Maps
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2646. Patrap
2:44 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
..Lemme get a pencil and a I-pad..
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2645. Drakoen
2:44 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
MIMIC-TPW and visible satellite imagery shows the spin off the Africa coast has become much more pronounced and is located within a deep moisture maximum. If it does become anything it will at least clear the way for the wave behind it which is showing excellent structure and an 850mb maximum within a high amplitude wave length.



Figure1. MIMIC-TPW


Figure 2. PVU Theta, Wind, and 900hPa Relative Vorticitiy
Member Since: Octubre 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30615
2640. Patrap
2:39 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2639. CybrTeddy
2:38 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting hurrkat05:
cyber right on lol you do your homework well..


See I know I am. I'm not trying to insult your or nothing, but we all just want to to set down facts like images to support your claim, compare them with climo, look for analog seasons, ect, we've all been wanting this from you for the past 3 years.
Member Since: Julio 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24485
2637. Patrap
2:38 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Atlantic Ocean View (Updated ~3 hours)


Member Since: Julio 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
2635. Goldenblack
2:36 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
2629 - Storm..

Thank you, it was starting to sound like a broken record in here...

The conditions I see with sheer, thcp, climatological norms for July in comparison to this year, and schedule of oscillation prediction seem much more confirming to the forecasts than negative, no matter what conditions are at present.

Member Since: Junio 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 706
2632. CybrTeddy
2:33 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting hurrkat05:
ok jeff we will see...the shear is about to come back in earnest in the caribbean in august...i just cant see a very active season for 2010...not to say the us mainland will not get hit by a hurricane we will have to see who is right on this..the last 4 years i have been on the money..


No you haven't, you just completely ignored my post at 2626. You predicted 2008 would be inactive, and don't go saying your not stormkat, you are, and you've never once been right with your predictions. In fact, I've learned the past few years whatever you say expect the opposite to happen.
Member Since: Julio 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24485
2630. wunderkidcayman
2:32 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
and it was said that that wave was to go poof last night and this moring well I don't see it poofing I I got a feeling that we won't see this one go poof
Member Since: Junio 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12526
2627. Goldenblack
2:29 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Hi all,

Not trying to draw anyone's ire here, but we are 6 weeks into Hurricane season and several people (who sound awfully anxious for a tropical system) are already saying "this is going to be an inactive season", or "no way the conditions will match Dr. Gray's and others' forecasts. The conditions can change on a dime and June and July are typically not the most active months. You cannot write off a season in early July! Just seems like all I am reading here lately.....
Member Since: Junio 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 706
2626. CybrTeddy
2:28 PM GMT en Julio 12, 2010
Quoting hurrkat05:
well cyber we will see i go through this every year with you guys and you are always way off base...im not sying its going to be a bust im just saying we are going to have a hard time getting 14 storms this year..if im wrong which i dont think i will be i will apologize...


Your attacking the bloggers predictions and mine from previous years. That only proves that you admit your wrong like every single year. Remember this StormKat?

67. stormkat 9:40 AM CDT on July 08, 2008 Hide this comment.
i told you guys last thursday bertha was going to be a fish storm..i told you the strong trough off the east coast would cause a major weakness in the high and bertha would pass 200 miles to the east of bermuda...well jw what happen to the storm that you said was going to develop in the leeward islands...thats the reason why i do my own forecasting i dont need these computers...you guys think they are gospel..if you continue to follow them you will very seldom be right in a forecast...jw it looks like you really bombed on that one but like i said we all makes mistakes..i was right on with bertha and my forecast for the rest of the month is no tropical storms the shear has kicked in all over...guys like i said all along the famous dr gray blew it again this year and he will have to revise his forecast from 15 named storms to 7 if he gets that many...the dust is starting to develop on the coast of africa so that could kill anything from developing ...my latest data shows the tropics to be very quiet for july unless a cold front heads into the GOM then we will have to watch it closely...but thats not expected to happen guys...i will keep you informed and ill be back in 3 weeks unless something develops in the GOM...if you guys would like to email me feel free to do so...i will answer any questions you might have...im here to help you...stormkat
Member Since: Julio 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24485

Viewing: 2676 - 2626

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
62 ° F
Nublado