Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Snow is coming down a bit harder now here.

Quoting tropicfreak:


Doing well. To tell you the truth, I didn't think we will see "The Big One" until later in the winter(it hasn't even officialy started yet)I certainly never thought it would happen in December. FYI some forecasters are hinting we may see a fresh blanket of snow on the ground Christmas morning but we have to get through this one first before we worry about anything else.

yea, lets get through this one first...but i do know what your talking about...its just gonna depend on how much cold air sticks around this week to determine if it will be a rainy or snowy christmas eve...

It's already sticking to the grass here.

Has the snow started to accumulate in your area yet watch?

Quoting watchingnva:


yea, lets get through this one first...but i do know what your talking about...its just gonna depend on how much cold air sticks around this week to determine if it will be a rainy or snowy christmas eve...

is it all snow even though radar says mix for you?

I have a hunch that this thing will bomb off the Carolina coast!

Wow we are in the middle of what could be a historical winter storm and it is silent on this blog.

Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


is it all snow even though radar says mix for you?

The snow is mixing with a little sleet. Should be this way overnight and by morning we will wake up to heavy snow.

Well after that band past to the South of US i am now at comfort that there will be no flooding issues for my house this time around :).

its just now sticking slightly to the grass and cars...

Quoting P451:
Ch7 in NYC hints at 15-18 for central NJ possible when the banding sets up. With widespread 12" totals. So I stand to get a substantial storm if this holds.

Good OL' WABC :)!! Does anyone have an updated surface map? Last one on NCEP is 18Z.

yea...here its almost all snow...had a few sleet pellets here and there in the start...no liquid...all frozen....which wont hurt storm totals...most of the area all the way down to the tidewater depends on the distance from the coast the low is....

Look at this!!



Already mixing in Williamsburg

Quoting tropicfreak:
Look at this!!



Already mixing in Williamsburg

winds gonna pick up off the ocean though, and drive those temps back up.

Messy travel on I-95 and especially I-64

vabeach...is it all rain fro you right now?...

looks like the freezing/mixing line is dropping se fairly quickly...maybe you'll get more frozen out of this than you think...we will see...

Louisa, Va here

Snow is coming down pretty good. Roads just wet.

They have changed our forecast totals to be 20+ inches

John Bernier for 8News says he's got a gut feeling it's going to be a foot of snow. His gut forecasting is usually accurate. Yesterday he put us in the 10-15" area.

Quoting leftyy420:
Louisa, Va here

Snow is coming down pretty good. Roads just wet.

They have changed our forecast totals to be 20+ inches

That quickly?? That sounds promising for us.

Quoting watchingnva:
vabeach...is it all rain fro you right now?...

looks like the freezing/mixing line is dropping se fairly quickly...maybe you'll get more frozen out of this than you think...we will see...

yep all rain, and the faster it drops the better, but temps have gone up 1 degree in the past 1 and a half :(

Quoting tropicfreak:


That quickly?? That sounds promising for us.

Yup temps went from 36 to now 32 and dropping.

Our forecast from Wakefiled NWS

Tonight: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 28. East wind 5 to 8 mph increasing to between 14 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 31. North wind between 14 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible.

Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


yep all rain, and the faster it drops the better, but temps have gone up 1 degree in the past 1 and a half :(

that sucks, but dont fret...i see you getting some down there this winter...this will be the first of many storms we will have to watch over the next 4 months...

Quoting tropicfreak:


That quickly?? That sounds promising for us.

Just an hour or so west of you on 64 has lots already. Traffic cams hard to see right now, but couple seem to have night vision.

Quoting leftyy420:


Yup temps went from 36 to now 32 and dropping.

Our forecast from Wakefiled NWS

Tonight: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 28. East wind 5 to 8 mph increasing to between 14 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 31. North wind between 14 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible.

WOW, 17 to 25 INCHES!!!!

Quoting PcolaDan:


Just an hour or so west of you on 64 has lots already. Traffic cams hard to see right now, but couple seem to have night vision.

Yeah for us here in Richmond its comin down pretty good and accumulating to the grassy surfaces. Only been snowing an hour. A little sleet mixed in as well.

Many are saying the warm air should get no further than 95. It could be the biggest one since Jan of 1996.

tf....john is one of my dads good friends...my dad is the chief engineer there at the station...i know john well and talk to him from time to time when i stop by the station...hes usually pretty good...he has missed a few times...but im looking at atmosheric conditions and the radar...and we have a solid band thats getting stronger and stronger from west of phowatan through chesterfield and richmond all the way over to west point...if it continues to get stronger and filling in to the south...we may get much more tonight that originally forecast...i mean look at the wu forecast for chester...

Tonight
Snow this evening...then snow and sleet after midnight. Snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches.

if it gets heavy in the next few hours....were gonna get more than 2-4 inches overnight...

Quoting leftyy420:
Louisa, Va here

Snow is coming down pretty good. Roads just wet.

They have changed our forecast totals to be 20+ inches

Oh snap, it's Lefty!!! I haven't seen you on the blogs in ages!

SNOWFLAKE!

Quick pic of my front yard





Snow has been falling less than a hour.

Quoting 1900hurricane:

Oh snap, it's Lefty!!! I haven't seen you on the blogs in ages!

Yeah. I usually Lurk so I am always around lol. I have to live blog this storm some. We in the bulls eye lol

ive been watching dewpoints in the area...it only took 2 hours, if that, for that band to bring dewpoints from the teens up to around 30 or so.

Quoting leftyy420:
Louisa, Va here

Snow is coming down pretty good. Roads just wet.

They have changed our forecast totals to be 20+ inches

WOW! That's some storm
Nice to see you back.

LEFTYY!!!!!


whoa DUDE!!!

Quoting leftyy420:
Quick pic of my front yard





Snow has been falling less than a hour.

I have a feeling you may have a hard time finding those flowerpots tomorrow morning.

Quoting CosmicEvents:

WOW! That's some storm
Nice to see you back.

I figured the old members would enjoy my presence lol :-D

Quoting leftyy420:


Yeah. I usually Lurk so I am always around lol. I have to live blog this storm some. We in the bulls eye lol

Yep, I'm in that bullseye too up in the DC burbs in VA. I'd better grab my computer and head for home. Might even bring the snow shovel inside for easier finding in the AM.

Quoting watchingnva:
ive been watching dewpoints in the area...it only took 2 hours, if that, for that band to bring dewpoints from the teens up to around 30 or so.

Yeah, this system has plenty of subtropical moisture mixed in. It has nearly everything a strong nor'easter would need, the biggest question is placement in relation to the coast.

old members?

goodness I feel like a little kid again, seeing lefty AND cosmic at the same time. And it looks like Lefty has spellcheck, hahaha!

oh man, real good to see ya.

Quoting Kittykatz:


Yep, I'm in that bullseye too up in the DC burbs in VA. I'd better grab my computer and head for home. Might even bring the snow shovel inside for easier finding in the AM.

Drive safe!

WOW... lefty. Bet you're enjoying the snow. Stay safe and warm, man. Some of us have missed you around here!

Quoting leftyy420:
Quick pic of my front yard





Snow has been falling less than a hour.

That's not a lot by our standards, but I do realise it's supposed to snow close to 20 inches (50 cm) at your location. "A lot" by the standards here (S. Ontario) would be more than 25 cm (10 in).

Quoting aquak9:
old members?

goodness I feel like a little kid again, seeing lefty AND cosmic at the same time. And it looks like Lefty has spellcheck, hahaha!

oh man, real good to see ya.

Oh yeah. Spell checker is awesome. Love me some Google chrome

Quoting Kittykatz:


Yep, I'm in that bullseye too up in the DC burbs in VA. I'd better grab my computer and head for home. Might even bring the snow shovel inside for easier finding in the AM.

Nice. Been a good 5 or 6 years since we seen one of these storms round here lol

Quoting jeffs713:

Yeah, this system has plenty of subtropical moisture mixed in. It has nearly everything a strong nor'easter would need, the biggest question is placement in relation to the coast.

you are correct sir...how close to the coast has my snowfall range from 3-6 inches to 12-16 inches...id prefer the smaller amount only because people in this area tend to lose brain function when it comes to snow...and Virginia, esp. central and eastern don't have the equipment to handle large amounts...anything over 4-6 and back roads aren't touched for days...

Snow is now sticking to the Roads. Conditions are going down hill fast.

Will post new pics in a few mins.

Quoting leftyy420:
Louisa, Va here

Snow is coming down pretty good. Roads just wet.

They have changed our forecast totals to be 20+ inches

Nearest I64 cam to you is here.

HaHaHoHoHeeHee...DC Mayor Adrian Fenty just declared a Snow Emergency -- and we haven't seen a flake yet! Our local NBC-affiliate met -- This is going to be one for the record books...historical...massive, etc. etc.

Oh, Gov. Tim Kaine has declared one for VA, too, but maybe someone already mentioned that -- just hopped back on.