Tropical Depression Eight no threat to land
Tropical Depression Eight formed last night near the coast of Africa, but is not destined to threaten land, and has only about a 50/50 chance of becoming Tropical Storm Grace. While wind shear is a moderate 10 - 20 knots, Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are right at the threshold for tropical storm formation--26°C. There is only a small amount of dry air that is interfering with the storm, but the combination of cool SSTs and moderate wind shear will make TD 8 slow to organize. By Monday, shear is expected to reach a very high 25 - 30 knots, and this should tear the storm apart.
None of the computer models are forecasting tropical storm formation elsewhere in the Atlantic over the next seven days.
Figure 1. Current satellite image of Tropical Depression Eight.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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You mean there is no Knights Templar for Hurricanes?
lol, sorry no secrete society of Mets that control storms; just those who tell and try to forecast what Mother Nature's gonna do next.
ah! Tis the Season to be brotherly.
I have good timing don't I?
He said hastily, knowing full well of the man in the shadows behind him…
Hi!
Yeah, he got his bell rung and ESPN goes to a commercial as he finally gets up.
Entire team is on the field.
Didn't someone predict a Kentucky upset on here? No.
Just had some rain as the first cold front is moving through this evening.
Those mid 50 lows in a few days will be nice.
If he is hurt you can kiss UFs chance at a title goodbye
then again I thought Kentucky would beat them tonight so what do I know
guess I was too bold, thought I staying at a holiday inn express but what happened was someone put a holiday inn sign over a days in logo. Hate when they do that
yep I checked the blog from last night and all his posts are gone, he was banned
Lets see if it manages to get a new one
very nice QS
You keep saying that, I keep waiting.
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 27 SEP 2009 Time : 001500 UTC
Lat : 18:52:15 N Lon : 36:15:20 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.2 /1007.4mb/ 32.0kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
2.2 2.3 2.3
Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb
Center Temp : +15.7C Cloud Region Temp : -6.0C
Scene Type : SHEAR (0.57^ TO DG)
Positioning Method : LINEAR EXTRAPOLATION
Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
They just played the replay, that was a hard and nasty hit. Hopefully just knocked the wind out of him. (I don't like to see any player get hurt..)
oh wow
seems to be 15 minutes pass 8 PM EDT
Well what can we do, he needed a break since he got a little annoying, I hope he comes back with better English and a better attitude :)
Anyone know what for? Off topic pic?
My one and only limerick (reprinted despite the lack of popular demand):
There once was a meteorologist
Who never intended for politics
To clog up his blog
Though he said with a shrug
I’ll only ban ‘em for posting off-topic pics!
We could just tell people who feel the season is over to learn how to read and understand a calendar
Hurricane season is not over until December 1st officially, not on September 26th
Pensacola....
Monday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 61.
lol lol
sadly we already tried that one but it didn't work :|
It doesn't work for just anybody.
I'll bet Doc M would have liked to have posted a <50kb *fish cartoon* on former TD8L, but of course he would have been banned. OK to post Santa Claus or a long religious or political discourse though.
the same with pre Erika....
yea, we've basically exhausted all explanations. I think it spiral downward just after 93L back in late June.
Also they have a strong argument, El Nino seasons rarely pass mid-October.
That's why if we get neutral next year, should be interesting.
lol but Erika looked much better xD
now that could easily initiate a debate here xD
Friday, September 25, 2009
From a site on Fox (http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,555501,00.html)
BANGKOK (AP) — A gecko with leopard-like spots on its body and a fanged frog that eats birds are among 163 new species discovered last year in the Mekong River region of Southeast Asia, an environmental group said Friday.
WWF International said that scientists in 2008 discovered 100 plants, 28 fish, 18 reptiles, 14 amphibians, two mammals and one bird species in the region. That works out to be about three species a week and is in addition to the 1,000 new species catalogued there from 1997 to 2007, the group said.
"After millennia in hiding these species are now finally in the spotlight, and there are clearly more waiting to be discovered," said Stuart Chapman, director of the WWF Greater Mekong Program.
Researchers working for WWF warned that the effects of climate change, including an upsurge in droughts and floods, threaten the diverse habitat that supports these species. That is on top of traditional threats such as poaching, pollution and habitat destruction.
"Some species will be able to adapt to climate change, many will not, potentially resulting in massive extinctions," Chapman said in a statement. "Rare, endangered and endemic species like those newly discovered are especially vulnerable because climate change will further shrink their already restricted habitats."
(more)
90L and 92L are good candidates, but 92L really deserved to be named.
I know, won't even need
so pretty new and looking at history it is some what getting stronger (from
AODT LIST 08L.ODT
===== ADT-Version 7.2.3 =====)
date and time: winds(kt): Final MSLP:
2009SEP26 204500 27.0 1010.8
2009SEP26 211500 27.0 1010.8
2009SEP26 214500 28.0 1010.2
2009SEP26 221500 29.0 1009.6
2009SEP26 224500 30.0 1009.0
2009SEP26 231500 31.0 1008.2
2009SEP26 234500 31.0 1008.2
2009SEP27 001500 32.0 1007.4
Not for long !!!!!
Low off NC coast is soaking Morehead City. Not too much here in New Bern.
On the football note, I could do with less coverage of Tebow blowing chunks.
eeewwwww!
I got a question...
why wasn't 92L named? XD
it was clearly a Sub-tropical storm
NHC is getting too conservative :P
It was likely the SSTs, since that is the only thing they mentioned in their TWO from June 1 to June 2. They even admit 92L was better organize.
Later, Gary Padgett stated that the warm-core found in 92L was not from the release of latent heat, it was stratospheric based. I disagreed with this statement since 92L had sufficient convection to release latent heat. The fact the core of strongest winds got closer to the center could only mean this warm-core was affecting the surface.
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