Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:11 PM GMT en Enero 19, 2009 | +1 |

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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Slight chance but i'll TAKE it!
South Florida Stormwatch
Best status from NRL: 100kts 948 MB (T5.5)
Best status from SSD: 115 knots 927 MB (T6.0)
Best status from RSMC: 100kts 927 hPa (T6.0)
lol
Yes but nature taunts us first the prediction says snow and the day leading up are 15 degrees then the temperature raises to 34 and it rains then the temperature goes down to 15 again it is very annoying
this comment was a long time ago, but this has happened... a late season storm made landfall in Maine sometime in the 60s-70s, and it was snowing!!!
hehehe it sure was a fun day 12-11-08 in New Orleans,I hope you get your snow though.
remember, they use 10-min sustained and we use 1-min sustained for measurement...keeping that in mind, it is possible that is both a Cat 3 and a Cat 4 on the SSHS
4 yrs. in D.C....fyi
they have no idea, do they... (i'm from MI)
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center that has 100 knot is 1 minute sustained winds average.. even so it should actually have read 115 knots instead of 100 knots.
This cold suck, lol.
I thought it was making landfall.
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-F
9:00 AM FST January 21 2009
======================================
At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression Six-F (1006 hPa) located at 13.8E 158.2W is reported as moving slowly. Position GOOD based on infrared/visible imagery with animation, peripheral observations, and latest QUIKSCAT Pass. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.
Tropical Depression SIX lies embedded in a monsoonal trough under a 250 hPa diffluent region in a moderately sheared environment. Low level circulation center is exposed and lies to the west of the deep convection. TD SIX is expected to remain in this area under an upper ridge axis within the next 12-24 hours before moving into an area of increasing shear and cooler sea surface temperatures.
Global models (US/UK/GFS] has picked up the system and moves it southwest then south with little intensification.
POTENTIAL FOR TD SIX TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.
Tropical Cyclone Warning Number TWELVE
TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSE FANELE (07-20082009)
4:00 AM Réunion January 21 2009
===========================================
At 0:00 AM UTC, Intense Tropical Cyclone Fanele (927 hPa) located at 20.6S 43.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southwest at 6 knots
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5/6.0
Hurricane-Force Winds
======================
40 NM from the center
Storm-Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Gale-Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center
Near-Gale Force Winds
======================
100 NM from the center extending up to 150 in the southwestern semi-circle
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 22.0S 45.1E - (DEPRESSION sur terre)
24 HRS: 23.1S 48.1E - 20 knots (PERTURBATION Tropicale)
48 HRS: 25.1S 50.7E - (EXTRATROPICAL)
72 HRS: 27.5S 53.0E - (EXTRATROPICAL)
Additional Information
========================
On the last infrared imagery, eye is less well defined and has become cooler. The landfall is forecast in the south of Morondava, in the vicinity of Belo, within the next couple of hours.
The system is expected to quickly cross Madagascar and be back at sea within the next 24 hours, without significantly re-intensifying
Most of the available NWP models are in good agreement with the forecast track, but there is still some spread in speed.
I hate it
However, it will be interesting to see how far it goes down tomorrow.
Windchill could make it feel in the 20s
I think it's great! As long as it's not too long. I wonder if Florida's ever had a prolonged cold spell(not the wussy 60's but real cold)?:)
I take it the first 2 terms mean depression over land and tropical depression?
habla espanol?? vive en las filipinas, verdad?
oh no, that's my high!!! what will i ever do... jk... i think all you floridians need to come up to Michigan for a good, long winter.
Lol, I am from the caribbean, and we do not get weather like this.
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