Posted by:Grothar, 11:44 AM GMT en Agosto 17, 2012
As I've written before, 94L does NOT have much of a chance of making it across the Atlantic. It should be steered west, then WNW around the periphery of the high in a few days. However, early indications are that this could be our first major hurricane of the season.
Depending on the strength of the system, there could be a big model shift in the next few days. Of course things can change. (I have to add that in case I'm wrong, then I could always say, "I told you it could change)
TD7 has a good chance for at least TS development. Only two models currently bring it to minimal hurricane strength. However, as Dr. Masters has explained many times, the geography of the BOC can help cause a spin to any system there. It is looking very good this morning.
Early models of the EMCWF show 94L to be further south than the other models for right now.