Northern Erie Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio

Flood Warning, Areal Flood Warning
Statement as of 1:34 AM EST en Noviembre 23, 2014

The Flood Warning continues for the Ellicott creek near Williamsville * from late tonight until further notice. * At 1 am Sunday the stage was 2.5 feet and steady. * Flood stage is 8.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * The river is forecast to rise above flood stage late tonight and crest near 9.5 feet Monday morning. * Impact...at 10.0 feet...moderate flood, extensive flooding in Ellicott Creek Park and minor flooding in surrounding neighborhoods in Tonawanda. Ub bike path flooded and closed. Aero drive, Holtz to transit roads in Cheektowaga closed. Flooding around Bowmansville fire Hall. Areas east of North Forest from Maple to French roads subject to sewer backups.

Lat...Lon 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875 4295 7865 4293 7865

134 am EST sun Nov 23 2014

The Flood Warning continues for the Cayuga creek near Lancaster * from late tonight to late Monday night. * At 12 am Sunday the stage was 4.4 feet and steady. * Flood stage is 8.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late tonight and crest near 9.4 feet early Monday afternoon. * Impact...at 10.0 feet...moderate flood, flooding of backyards, basements and streets in Village of Lancaster. Some flooding of low lying areas in Alden, Marilla, and Cheektowaga, especially near Bowen Road and transit Road. Some flooding possible near Union Road too.

Lat...Lon 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864 4292 7848 4281 7846

134 am EST sun Nov 23 2014

The Flood Warning continues for the Buffalo Creek near Gardenville * from late tonight to late Monday night. * At 1 am Sunday the stage was 2.7 feet and steady. * Flood stage is 7.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early Monday morning and crest near 7.8 feet Monday morning. * Impact...at 8.0 feet...moderate flood, flooding is likely along low lying areas near the Buffalo Creek, especially near Collins Avenue, Elma Town Park, and in some sections of Elma Village North of the Bowen Road bridge.

Lat...Lon 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861 4282 7867 4282 7887

134 am EST sun Nov 23 2014

The Flood Warning continues for the Cazenovia creek near Ebenezer * from late tonight to late Monday night. * At 1 am Sunday the stage was 4.0 feet and rising. * Flood stage is 10.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early Monday morning and crest near 10.8 feet Monday morning. * Impact...at 10.0 feet...flood stage, minor flooding can be expected in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of Ridge Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in South Buffalo.

Lat...Lon 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858 4273 7857 4275 7870

124 am EST sun Nov 23 2014

...The Flood Warning remains in effect until 415 PM EST Monday for Erie...northern Chautauqua...Wyoming...southern Genesee and northwestern Cattaraugus counties...

At 120 am EST temperatures continue to remain well above freezing with readings expected to remain in the low to mid 40s through the rest of tonight.

Temperatures will steadily climb into the lower 50s on Sunday... before reaching 60 on Monday. While rainfall will generally be a quarter inch or less through Sunday night...significant snowmelt has begun and will now continue through the remainder of the weekend. It is this snowmelt that will ultimately cause the flooding concerns.

Core samples of the deep snowpack at the start of the weekend indicated that as much as 5 to 6 inches of water was locked in place...but as temperatures continue to climb...this water will be released...and in some cases fairly rapidly. Since many storm drains are snow clogged...many urban areas will likely be the first to experience flooding with several feet of water possibly accumulating on some stretches of Road. Residential basements will start to flood during this time as well.

Area tributaries...particularly Buffalo Creek...Cazenovia creek... Cayuga creek and Ellicott creek...will take a bit longer to experience significant rises with the potential to reach at least minor flood stage Sunday night and Monday.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or has been reported. Stream rises will be slow and flash flooding is not expected. However...all interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the roadway. The water depth may be too great to allow your car to cross safely. Move to higher ground.

Lat...Lon 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904 4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891 4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848 4244 7877 4230 7968

High Wind Watch
Statement as of 11:32 PM EST en Noviembre 22, 2014

...High wind watch remains in effect from Monday morning through Monday evening...

* locations...Erie...Niagara...Orleans...Genesee...Wyoming and Monroe counties.

* Timing...late Monday morning through midnight Monday night.

* Winds...southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Impacts...winds of this magnitude could bring down some trees and power lines resulting in scattered power outages. These winds would also make difficult travel for high profile vehicles. In addition...Holiday decorations could be damaged and other loose outdoor items such as trash cans could be blown away.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A high wind watch means that the potential exists for strong damaging winds to develop. These strong winds could bring down trees and power lines as well as cause property damage. If a High Wind Warning is issued...stay inside...and away from windows. Be prepared for trees blocking roadways and power outages. Stay tuned to weather radio or the other radio and TV stations for further details or updates.