Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
1041 am EDT Wednesday may 22 2013
Update...morning satellite imagery showing abundant low level cumulus
field over the Florida Peninsula with West Coast sea breeze already
moving inland from the coast. 12z sounding showing moist and
unstable environment remains in place and SW flow low level flow
through about 10k feet. Expect isolated early afternoon convection
right along Bay breezes and West Coast sea breeze to increase in
coverage becoming scattered with increasing outflow boundary
interactions middle afternoon then numerous late afternoon as the
activity moves into interior areas and collides with East Coast
seabreeze. Some storms may be strong to marginally severe as we have
seen the last few days producing gusty winds...hail and frequent
lightning. Temperatures to warm into the upper 80s to lowers 90s as well.
Latest grids and forecasts on track.
&&
Aviation...marginal MVFR ceilings will continue to lift through the
morning with VFR prevailing through about 17 or 18z. Expecting
showers and storms to develop again along the sea breeze near the I
75 corridor. Will continue to with thunderstorms in the vicinity and tempo as necessary.
&&
Marine...weak high pressure remains over the East Gulf region
keeping winds and seas light this afternoon with Bay breezes and
sea breezes developing.
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 87 72 88 72 / 20 20 0 0
fmy 90 71 89 71 / 30 20 0 10
gif 89 70 91 71 / 60 30 20 0
srq 87 70 85 70 / 20 10 0 0
bkv 88 65 89 64 / 30 30 10 0
spg 86 75 87 74 / 20 10 0 0
&&
Tbw watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Gulf waters...none.
&&
$$
Update/marine...25/Davis
aviation...20/Barron
