Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
243 PM CDT Tuesday may 21 2013
Short term...tonight through Friday night
latest radar observations indicate that the strongest convective
activity is developing just to the southwest of the County Warning Area...in a
region of enhanced instability...and overall forcing. Earlier
convection has provided some convective overturning across the
northwest half of the forecast area. However...a brief period of
recovery will occur before the loss of solar heating.
Still expect the best chance for damaging wind/tornado threat along
and just north of observed instability gradient.
Severe/flooding threat will continue through late evening...and then
slowly diminish from northwest to southeast late tonight.
&&
Long term...Saturday through Monday
an upper ridge over high pressure will be over the central u...
including Arkansas...through the period. A warm front moves through
the state Sunday. Lacking moisture...will keep the forecast dry at
this time. Near normal temperatures are expected through the period
with a definite warming trend.
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Batesville Arkansas 62 83 57 81 / 100 60 10 0
Camden Arkansas 66 85 60 88 / 80 60 10 10
Harrison Arkansas 56 79 53 80 / 100 30 10 0
Hot Springs Arkansas 63 84 58 85 / 100 50 10 0
Little Rock Arkansas 65 85 61 85 / 100 60 10 0
Monticello Arkansas 67 85 62 88 / 60 70 10 10
Mount Ida Arkansas 61 83 57 84 / 100 50 10 0
Mountain Home Arkansas 58 80 54 79 / 100 40 10 0
Newport Arkansas 64 84 60 82 / 90 60 10 10
Pine Bluff Arkansas 67 85 62 86 / 80 70 10 0
Russellville Arkansas 60 83 57 84 / 100 50 10 0
Searcy Arkansas 64 84 59 83 / 100 60 10 0
Stuttgart Arkansas 66 85 63 85 / 80 70 10 10
&&
Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for Arkansas-Clark-
Cleburne-Faulkner-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Jackson-
Jefferson-Lonoke-Monroe-Montgomery-Perry-Pike-Polk-prairie-
Pulaski-Saline-Scott-white-Woodruff-Yell.
Flash Flood Watch until 9 PM CDT this evening for Baxter-Boone-
Conway-Fulton-Izard-Johnson-Logan-Marion-Newton-Pope-Searcy-
sharp-stone-Van Buren.
&&
$$
Short term...55 / long term...51
