Debate de meteorólogos científicos

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford California 
345 am PDT Wednesday may 22 2013 


Synopsis... 
an unseasonably cool low pressure area is over the Pacific 
northwest. This is bringing a much cooler onshore flow to central 
California...and temperatures today will be some 10 to 20 degrees 
lower than yesterday. Little change is expected Thursday...then a 
very slow warming trend into the weekend. However it now looks like 
below normal temperatures will prevail into early next week. 


&& 


Discussion... 
deep 541dm 500 mb low is over or/WA...with axis extending south along 
the California coast. Temperatures this morning running 10-20 degrees cooler than yesterday 
and 1000-500 mb thickness plunging some 150 meters by this evening 
across central California. Gusty winds in the Kern Mountains/desert last evening 
into early this morning have diminished a bit...but will increase 
later this morning. No change to existing wad. Breezy in the sjv as 
well...with a few gusts around 30 miles per hour this afternoon...especially along I-5 
corridor with patch blowing dust. 


Little change in the pattern expected Thursday with upper low q-stationary 
over the pacnw. Continue cool temperatures with afternoon and evening breezes across 
central California. 00z models in reasonably good agreement over the 
course of the next 7-8 days. The upper low will begin to gradually 
fill Friday with increasing heights across central California and a very slow 
warming trend beginning. 850 mb temperature profile from the ecm/GFS fairly 
close into 1st half of next week...with temperatures not exceeding 15 
degs/c. This will keep maximum temperatures from getting any higher than low 
to middle 80s in the sjv through Tuesday...or 3-5 degrees below climatology. 


&& 


Aviation... 
VFR conditions will prevail across the central California interior. 


Wind gusts of 35 knots or greater can be expected along the 
Sierra crest through 18z Wednesday and through and below the 
mountain passes of Kern County through 12z Thursday. 


&& 


Air quality issues... 
none. 


&& 


Certainty... 


The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. 
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high. 


This information is provided as part of a trial project conducted 
by the National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford. 
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit 
www.Weather.Gov/hnx/certainty.Php /all lower case/ for additional 
information and/or to provide feedback. 


&& 


Climate... 
records 
site date hi_max:year lo_max:year hi_min:year lo_min:year 


Kfat 05-22 104:1967 67:2010 71:1892 43:1909 
kfat 05-23 103:1967 65:1916 71:2000 44:1960 
kfat 05-24 103:1943 64:1916 68:2001 41:1953 


Kbfl 05-22 102:2001 68:2010 73:1967 36:1903 
kbfl 05-23 107:1904 67:2010 73:2000 44:1903 
kbfl 05-24 107:1982 68:1980 76:1982 41:1916 
&& 


Hnx watches/warnings/advisories... 
Wind Advisory until 5 am PDT Thursday caz095-098-099. 


&& 


$$ 


Public...Bingham 
AVN/fw...durfee 
synopsis...Bingham 


Weather.Gov/Hanford